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Why mortgage stress could be worse than the RBA thinks
Roger Montgomery
July 28, 2022
The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Michele Bullock, last week offered a cheerful, if not upbeat, interpretation of the circumstances faced by Australian mortgage holders, who are facing the brunt of the RBA’s interest rate rises. For Bullock, and presumably for the RBA, there’s no need to stress. I hope she’s right, but I fear things could get very difficult for a lot of borrowers. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Is Flight Centre part of the recovery theme?
Roger Montgomery
July 27, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger discusses Flight Centre (ASX:FLT). This week Flight Centre saw its stock jump more than five per cent on the day it declared travel is recovering slightly faster than expected, and consequently, its losses should be smaller. Is the share price prematurely pricing in a recovery? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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The Polen Capital Global Growth Strategy is now available via BT Panorama
Dean Curnow
April 29, 2022
Our partnership with the U.S. based Polen Capital has evolved since we formally announced the relationship in March last year. Since then, we have launched two of their strategies in Australia with a third, the Polen Capital Global Emerging Markets Growth Fund, in the works. The first strategy, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund, is now accessible to investors via the BT Panorama platform. The fund is accessible to investors via Netwealth and HUB24 IDPS and Super/Pension. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Montgomery News and Updates.
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Musical chairs for Australian financial planners in 2021
Dean Curnow
February 21, 2022
If you only look at the headline data published annually by RainmakerLive on changes in the advice industry, 2021 will read much the same as 2020. The exodus from the advice space continued, with total registrations down 11 per cent in 2021, continuing the trend which saw 12 per cent of registered planners leave the industry in 2020. However, if you look underneath this data you will see some interesting trends continuing at the licensee level which are outlined below. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Financial Services.
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Why I think 2022 will be a very good year for investors
Roger Montgomery
January 5, 2022
A year ago, I wrote an article in The Australian which set out the factors I thought would make it a very good year for equities. So far, the local market has behaved as expected – despite all the turmoil in the world – with the All Ordinaries up 13.6 per cent for the 12 months to 31 December 2021. Looking ahead, I think markets will continue to reward investors, particularly those who invest in quality businesses. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Six companies that have caught my eye in reporting season
Roger Montgomery
August 23, 2021
The COVID-19 pandemic, and associated lockdowns, have impacted some businesses very positively, but been less kind on others. These impacts are coming to light in the current FY21 reporting season. Here, I’d like to highlight the results of six companies I’ve been following for a while. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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oOh!Media screens as a cheap recovery story
Dominic Rose
June 29, 2021
Economic reopening and cyclical reflation trades have rewarded investors handsomely over the past six months or so, particularly those offering immediate leverage to the stronger than expected demand recovery scenario currently playing out. Continue…
by Dominic Rose Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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What you need to know about NFTs and the blockchain
Roger Montgomery
April 13, 2021
Move over cryptocurrencies. There’s a new kid on the block(chain) – non-fungible tokens (NFTs). And if you’re an investor, you need to know about them. Because there is real money being spent, and fortunes being made. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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Where are Australian SMSFs investing their money?
Dean Curnow
December 14, 2020
According to recent research by Rainmaker, the self-managed super fund (SMSF) market in Australia reached $700 billion as of 30 June 2020. At Montgomery, almost half of our directly invested clients enter under a SMSF and there is no doubt SMSFs are here to stay. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Investing Education.
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The consumer businesses that should thrive in 2021
Roger Montgomery
November 30, 2020
The COVID-19 lockdowns brought massive changes to consumer behaviour this year. Now, the economic re-opening is bringing a new set of changes. These should benefit many of the consumer businesses that suffered during the lockdowns, thus providing some great opportunities for investors. Let’s look at some of the businesses that should thrive in 2021. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Are Aussie home prices are about to boom?
Roger Montgomery
November 30, 2020
If you think residential real estate in our major cities is already too expensive, then hang onto your hat. Because I think the conditions are right for home prices to explode.
Continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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To Vaccinate your portfolio or not?
Roger Montgomery
October 15, 2020
How to position portfolios for a potential (but not certain) vaccine is currently front of mind here at Montgomery. A vaccine feeds into the ‘reopening’ theme as well as the narrative about a broader economic recovery and companies that are leveraged to it – the ‘economic sensitives’. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What the Age of Disorder means for investors
Andreas Lundberg
September 16, 2020
As you’ve no doubt noticed, the news these days is awash with reports of social unrest across the world. It’s prompted Deutsche Bank’s global strategists to argue that we’ve entered the Age of Disorder. They point to six major trends that, together, support their thesis – and which could have a big impact on equity returns in coming years. Continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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How COVID-19 has changed the way we spend
Roger Montgomery
September 9, 2020
New data from the Commonwealth Bank and ANZ confirms what you likely already knew – COVID-19 has spurred a major change in our spending habits. However, some of the retailers that have thrived during the lockdowns may find the going tougher in the months ahead. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why it might be time to rebalance your portfolio
Roger Montgomery
August 14, 2020
Government stimulus measures and lockdowns have led to behavioural changes that have benefited some businesses while hampering others. But, as these stimulus measures taper, and restrictions ease, we’re likely to see a lot of spending habits return to ‘normal’. And that could have a big impact on many businesses, and their share prices. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Nanosonics has a long runway for growth
Dominic Rose
July 21, 2020
It’s a testing time for investors, with so many hitherto great businesses on their knees, and others looking well over-priced. But it’s still possible to identify structural winners with a long growth runway at reasonable prices. I think one of these could be Sydney-based medical device innovator, Nanosonics (ASX:NAN). Continue…
by Dominic Rose Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Crisis? What crisis? The market says it’s time to buy
Roger Montgomery
June 10, 2020
If you’re scratching your head over the market’s strong rebound since March, then join the club. Because there’s still a large cohort of economists and analysts who continue to see tough times ahead. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Beware wealth destroying capital raisings
Roger Montgomery
April 9, 2020
The stock market sell off validated an internal decision to abstain from the bubble in the months leading up to January 2020, but it wasn’t the only forecast that came to pass. We also discussed at length the likely prevalence of deeply-discounted capital raisings by companies needing to shore up balance sheets, to weather the COVID-19 lockdowns or simply be rescued from insolvency. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market Valuation.
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COVID-19 Testing data – Part 3 NSW data update
Gary Rollo
March 25, 2020
In our third update tracking COVID-19 testing data, NSW Health started reporting data on 25 January. The data released regularly reported case epidemiology, with a high trace rate, as well as good data on disease incidence by age cohort. NSW Health also appeared to have started early with a testing plan, and we note that when that testing regime scored a hit, testing volumes jumped, and kept ramping. Continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary.
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COVID-19 Testing Data – A Montgomery analysis
Gary Rollo
March 24, 2020
Here at Montgomery we have been tracking COVID-19 testing data, rather than just cases alone. Our logic is that testing drives cases, and that case growth would drive markets. So understanding testing might give us some early insight as to the likely preparedness of governments, and also to the dynamism of their response upon realising that a COVID-19 problem exists. Continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary.
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