Property
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Cash-strapped borrowers are hammering the housing sector
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2023
Rising interest rates are already having a major impact on the Australian housing sector. Dwelling approvals are down, an increasing number of off-the-plan buyers are trying to exit their purchases, and furniture and appliance sales are declining. If you’re looking to invest in companies exposed to housing, I’d suggest it’s a case of buyer beware. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
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Why paying down your mortgage could be your best investment
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2023
With interest rates rising, many of you are probably wondering if it would be beneficial to pay more off your mortgage. The good news is that if you have sufficient funds, and you are in a high personal tax bracket, it could be your best investment right now. Let me explain why. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Will house prices drop once fixed rate mortgages mature?
Roger Montgomery
November 16, 2022
In this week’s video insight Roger addresses wave of fixed-rate mortgages that will soon revert to much higher rates and the impact this will have on national property prices. So exactly how many mortgages were written and is there actually a cliff we need to worry about? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property, Video Insights.
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House prices fall as access to credit gets tighter
Roger Montgomery
September 2, 2022
Investors wondering where property prices might go next need only watch one indicator: access to housing credit. Because, as access to credit tightens, house prices fall. With credit getting harder to access since the end of 2021, it’s small wonder August saw the largest monthly decline in house prices in nearly 40 years. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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More pain to come as the RBA lifts rates again
Roger Montgomery
August 4, 2022
Back in May, Montgomery CEO, David Buckland, said he saw New Zealand as Australia’s ‘canary in the coal mine’. As the Kiwis had raised rates earlier and more frequently than our Reserve Bank, their experience would be a good pointer to what we could expect. If he’s right, we now have the answer: big declines in consumer and business confidence, and falling property prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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WHITEPAPER
ARE WE THERE YET? WHAT TO DO WHEN THE BOTTOM OF THE MARKET IS UNKNOWN
Roger Montgomery’s latest whitepaper is now available. It explores the challenges of investing when no one knows whether equity markets have reached the bottom of the latest volatility cycle. The paper offers a framework to help you navigate today’s market and invest in quality, profitable companies with growth potential.
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Why mortgage stress could be worse than the RBA thinks
Roger Montgomery
July 28, 2022
The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Michele Bullock, last week offered a cheerful, if not upbeat, interpretation of the circumstances faced by Australian mortgage holders, who are facing the brunt of the RBA’s interest rate rises. For Bullock, and presumably for the RBA, there’s no need to stress. I hope she’s right, but I fear things could get very difficult for a lot of borrowers. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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A bad policy proposal
Andreas Lundberg
May 18, 2022
It is closing in on the election date and we are seeing some stupid proposals coming as politicians are worried over getting re-elected/elected. The LNP’s proposal for first home buyers to access their superannuation balances for a deposit for their first home purchase is one I am highlighting. I consider this a thoroughly bad proposal from an overall society point of view for several reasons. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Property.
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Australia’s residential property market to soften
David Buckland
May 10, 2022
It never ceases to amaze me that when a sector that has enjoyed a roaring bull market starts to turn the ‘experts’ try to out-do one another in giving pessimistic forecasts. And that is now happening with Australia’s residential property market, where the general consensus is that prices could soon drop by 15 to 25 per cent due to rising interest rates. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Why Goodman Group remains sanguine about looming headwinds
Joseph Kim
May 10, 2022
The share price of Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) has plunged around 27 per cent since the start of the year as some investors began to price in headwinds for the commercial and industrial property business. Nick Vrondas, Group CFO, addressed these issues at the recent Macquarie Group investment conference, and explained why he is confident that growth remains on track. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Companies, Property, Stocks We Like.
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Rates go up; house go down
Roger Montgomery
May 6, 2022
As we predicted last November, Australian house prices have now topped out and begun their march lower. A quick visit to any of Australia’s holiday hotspots will reveal a testament to the sudden end of the most recent boom – a plethora of properties advertised for sale at the vaguest possible price known; ‘Contact Agent’. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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