Foreign Currency
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U.S. recession risks for the regions
Roger Montgomery
May 7, 2025
The global economy faces a complex landscape as trade tensions between the United States and China persist, threatening economic stability. This week, Ric Deverell, the highly regarded Chief Economist at Macquarie, shared insights on the potential for a U.S. recession, the resilience of China’s economy, and the ripple effects on global markets, including Australia and Europe. Our interpretation of his comments follows, and where data is independently available, we have provided that data along with sources. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Global markets, Market commentary.
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FAREWELL FISCAL 2024, HELLO FISCAL 2025
David Buckland
July 2, 2024
The Magnificent Seven (Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Meta (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which rose by an average 111 per cent over calendar 2023, continued their strong upward trajectory, increasing a further 37 per cent, on average, over the six months to June 2024. This helped drag up the Nasdaq, which jumped 18.1 per cent and 28.5 per cent for the 6 and 12 months to June 2024, respectively. The S&P 500 also did very well, up 22.7 per cent for the year and up 14.5 per cent for the six months to June 2024. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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The relentless growth of U.S. government debt
David Buckland
March 25, 2024
I was very lucky to attend the Harvard Business School Owner/ Presidents Management program over the three years to 2006. In my class of 100 mature–age students, around half were from the U.S., and the remainder were from several other countries. I know it is a gross generalisation, but it would be fair to say the U.S. students excelled at any “marketing” related case studies but noticeably under-performed in any case studies related to “accounting”. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency.
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Is a BRICS gold-backed currency and bad idea?
Roger Montgomery
August 24, 2023
The idea of a gold-backed currency proposed by the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) as an alternative to the U.S. Dollar has gained attention. However, there are numerous reasons why this concept is considered impractical and unwise. This article explores the challenges and drawbacks of adopting a gold-backed currency, highlighting historical evidence and expert opinions that point to its shortcomings. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Global markets.
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How much energy is Bitcoin mining really using?
Andreas Lundberg
December 9, 2021
If Bitcoin mining were a country, it would rank as the world’s 55th largest electricity consuming nation, just ahead of New Zealand. And that’s the best-case scenario. In reality it could rank even higher. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Foreign Currency.
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What you need to know about NFTs and the blockchain
Roger Montgomery
April 13, 2021
Move over cryptocurrencies. There’s a new kid on the block(chain) – non-fungible tokens (NFTs). And if you’re an investor, you need to know about them. Because there is real money being spent, and fortunes being made. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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Why I’m still not convinced by the Bitcoin bulls
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2021
I regularly pop on to Philip Clarke’s ABC Nightlife radio show to discuss, and answer questions on, investing and markets. This week, the board lit up with people wanting to ask about the topic du jour – Bitcoin. Is this explosion in interest a signal that Bitcoin is in bubbly territory, or a pointer that it’s here to stay? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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What do you think of Bitcoin?
Roger Montgomery
March 2, 2021
It is the question I am most frequently asked by young people that stop me in the street. Indeed, even my own kids ask me for a view. What follows is a few thoughts I share with them. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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Is bitcoin delivering on its promise?
Tim Kelley
October 22, 2020
2017 saw an extraordinary surge in the price of a Bitcoin. After beginning the year at around $1,000, the world’s first cryptocurrency reached prices of close to $20,000 in late 2017, before quickly dropping below $10,000 in early 2018 and below $5,000 by the end of 2018. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Foreign Currency.
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Bitcoin: down but not out
Tim Kelley
June 11, 2019
Towards the end of 2017, the price of Bitcoin (along with that of many other crypto currencies) surged to extraordinary highs. At that time, we turned our mind to whether this price growth could make sense, and several of the Montgomery team members wrote opinions (search ‘bitcoin’ on the rogermontgomery.com website) which varied between “maybe” and “certainly not.” continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Foreign Currency.
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