Insightful Insights

I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss rising U.S. bond yields and what higher interest rates could mean for markets. We also explored growing U.S. government debt, competition for capital from the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, and the warning signs to watch across mortgages, highly leveraged companies and credit markets.

Watch here: The $40 trillion debt problem facing U.S. markets 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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In recent months, the chart shown in Figure 1., has been doing the rounds, inspiring fear among some observers that a stock market crash is imminent. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation.

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I explain how we’re using AI in two key areas: to support investment research by synthesising information, generating ideas and identifying changes or inflection points in company reporting, and internally to improve how we allocate capital across the portfolio. Our internal AI operates offline, allowing us to use our proprietary research while keeping that information secure.

by Sean Sequeira Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.

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In this video, I discuss why we see the build-out of AI in Australia as an investable opportunity, from the infrastructure supporting it to the businesses positioned to benefit. I also explain our approach to investing early, starting with smaller positions and increasing exposure as potential winners emerge.

by Gary Rollo Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Small Caps, Video Insights.

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In my recent article for The Australian, I explore the growing competition for capital between the U.S. government and the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. As government borrowing and AI infrastructure spending accelerate, the resulting pressure on bond yields could reshape the investment environment, with important implications for equity valuations and long-duration growth stocks.

Download the article here: A new battle for cash has begun – and it could sink stocks

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Technology & Telecommunications.

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In this video, I discuss why Megaport (ASX: MP1) has become one of our highest-conviction holdings, including its position in AI infrastructure, differentiated data centre strategy and potential to benefit from growing demand for AI inference.

Disclaimer: The Montgomery Small Companies Fund owns shares in MP1. This video was prepared 14 September 2026 with the information we have today, and our view may change. It does not constitute formal advice or professional investment advice. If you wish to trade MP1, you should seek financial advice.  continue…

by Gary Rollo Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.

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• POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Video Insights

I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to unpack the key lessons from the 2026 reporting season. We discussed why results were generally better than feared, the importance of revenue growth over cost cutting, the volatility across individual companies, and what the results could signal for the year ahead.

Tune in from 1:45:36 here: ABC Statewide Drive

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.

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On Ausbiz today, I discussed why the artificial intelligence (AI) boom may be reaching a crossroads. I looked at the enormous capital being deployed by hyperscalers, falling free cash flow and rising depreciation, and why growing competition and higher funding costs could make it increasingly difficult for these companies to generate sufficient returns on their AI investment.

Watch here: The AI spending spree investors should fear

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances.

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The Financial Year 2026 (FY26) reporting season has concluded with corporate Australia in considerably better shape than many had feared.

Before getting too excited, however, it’s worth noting corporate Australia may not be in as good shape as the headline numbers suggest.

Aggregate profits rose by around 11.6 per cent.  Excluding mining and energy, however, the increase was just 5.3 per cent. Only 36 per cent of companies beat earnings expectations, below the historical average of about 40 per cent. Meanwhile, analysts have been cutting FY27 forecasts. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.

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Australia’s FY26 reporting season looked reasonably strong on the surface, with aggregate profits rising by around 11.6 per cent. But underneath the headline numbers, the recovery was much narrower – and investors were often more interested in what companies said about FY27 than the profits they had just reported.

I speak with Michael Thompson from Fear + Greed, about my 10 lessons from reporting season. We discuss why consumers are still spending but demanding value, expensive bank valuations, the limits of cost-cutting, opportunities in healthcare and why stock selection is becoming increasingly important. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Podcast Channel, Popular.

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