In this article for the Herald Sun Andrew questions whether the governments have an option on removing stimulus packages and support. Five months into the pandemic and one thing has become clear: eradication of COVID-19 is not a viable option for most nations. Instead, most are pursuing various forms of containment strategies aimed at buying time until widespread vaccinations can enable the return of more normal times. Read here. 

by Andrew Macken Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the fact that more than half a year has passed since the coronavirus emerged and many of the world’s most populous countries are failing at their attempts to flatten their curves. The pandemic appears far from over which means equity investors who have enjoyed multi-year returns in just a few months would be wise to reconsider their exposure to growth assets. Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Andrew discusses how developments abroad impact much of what is happening here in our own economy. As foreign capital has been pushed into the Australian economy, household borrowing costs have declined, access to credit has become easier and, perhaps not surprisingly, housing prices have increased. Read here.

by Andrew Macken Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the decision from Qantas to cut 6000 staff and a further 15,000 people will remain stood down and 100 aircraft would be grounded for 12 months. Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the current market status. Whether the current economic disaster can be repaired through the printing of money remains a multitrillion-dollar question. The same goes for whether it leads to inflation, or possibly hyperinflation after excess productive capacity is soaked up. Our most recent analysis suggests market prices are broadly at their most extreme valuations since The Montgomery Fund’s inception, but we have added to our holdings. Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Andrew questions why we pay taxes. If the Fed can simply buy an infinite amount of government debt, then it must be true that the government can issue an infinite amount of debt. And if this is true, then government spending will be financed by the central bank. So why bother with any taxes at all? Read here. 

by Andrew Macken Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Andrew identifies the economic cost from Australia’s ability to flatten the COVID-19 curve. If COVID-19 were not as bad as the forecasters led us to believe, did we need to impair the economy the way we did? Read here. 

by Andrew Macken Posted in In the Press

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In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the two camps when it comes to stock markets – the buyers and sellers and they typically have divergent views about the future. In the first camp are investors who believe economic activity, revenues and profits will recover easily and quickly. On the other hand are those who believe the recovery will be slow and halting. Which camp are you in? Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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In this article for Money Magazine Roger discusses how the market volatility from COVID-19 will provide opportunities, as it did during the tech wreck and GFC. It then makes sense to divide the market into two categories of opportunity. There are those companies adversely impacted by the outbreak with share prices that are even more adversely impacted. Then there are those relatively unaffected by a mild outbreak. This column looks at one company in the first category and two in the latter. Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press

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