Market commentary
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A random walk, a pattern in the making or businesses as usual?
Scott Phillips
July 21, 2017
As we pass through another financial year we can stop, record the data and reflect on what has transpired to try make sense of it. Reflecting on this financial year just past, it may be helpful to look at the returns of the major asset classes over this year and then for the last 20. Morningstar produce a neat checker board visual (Chart 1) for each of the major asset classes that Australian investors typically invest in. The glaringly obvious admission here is direct residential property but let’s not let that stop us. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Market commentary
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Watch out for stock valuations when QE ends
Stuart Jackson
July 20, 2017
Central banks could soon end their bond buying activities, thereby unwinding quantitative easing. Should this occur, real interest rates would again be driven by the normal forces of supply and demand. And this could affect stock valuations. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Financial Services, Market commentary
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What will be of the new financial year?
Andrew Macken
July 17, 2017
Australia is one of the few countries in the world that close out their financial year in June. So to Australian investors, we wish you a happy financial new year and ask what will be of the twelve months to come? continue…
by Andrew Macken Posted in Market commentary
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Falling purchasing power could hit retail spending
Andreas Lundberg
July 14, 2017
In June, Australia took the record for the longest run of uninterrupted growth in the developed world. In the same week, it was reported that the share of Australian GDP going into workers’ pockets hit a record low. It’s therefore timely to look at the difference between total GDP and GDP per capita, and the outlook for retail spending and consumer-driven businesses. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary
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Identifying rising stars
Stuart Jackson
July 13, 2017
At Montgomery, we focus our efforts on identifying high quality companies with bright prospects. When combined with a disciplined and patient approach on buying at a discount to fair value, we believe that in the long term, these companies provide an attractive combination of stronger returns with lower than average risk. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Market commentary
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The power of scale in our new digital world
Andrew Macken
July 6, 2017
If you are an Australian CEO, you are probably wondering if Amazon will one day disrupt your business. The threat of Amazon to Australian business is the topic du jour all of a sudden, so it is worth understanding exactly why Amazon is so scary. continue…
by Andrew Macken Posted in Companies, Market commentary
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Farewell Fiscal 2017, Hello Fiscal 2018
David Buckland
July 3, 2017
As fiscal 2017 draws to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary
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The higher the price you pay, the lower your returns
Roger Montgomery
July 3, 2017
The higher the price you pay, the lower your returns. This is a fundamental truth of investing, a law, like gravity, and an impost that cannot be escaped. And yet it is always the case that when future returns are the least attractive, enthusiasm for assets is highest. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary
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Why we stay ‘married’ to quality businesses
Tim Kelley
June 15, 2017
Last year saw a ‘junk rally’ in equity markets: higher quality businesses delivered generally weaker returns, while lower quality businesses did better. This made it hard for fund managers like us – who are wedded to the high-quality end of the market – to keep up with the benchmark. Is our adherence to quality, through thick and thin, the right approach? We think so, and the research bears this out. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary
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Borrowers hit again
Roger Montgomery
June 10, 2017
The following table reveals the financial stress on interest only mortgagors is mounting. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary
