Market commentary
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Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill Act
Roger Montgomery
July 4, 2025
In what some have described as a ‘dramatic’ 218-214 vote, the U.S. House narrowly passed President Trump’s US$3.4 trillion “Big Beautiful Bill Act,” a nearly 900-page tax-and-spending package that does mark a major victory for Trump and GOP (Republican Party) leaders. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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The latest AI goldrush – its not what you think
Roger Montgomery
July 4, 2025
The race to lead in artificial intelligence (AI) feels like a modern gold rush, but instead of more power or better performance, the latest race is for people – brilliant minds. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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A reflection on today’s market landscape
Roger Montgomery
July 3, 2025
Stepping back from the tidal wave of Trump’s pronouncements, backtracks and absurdly weak understanding of basic arithmetic (“egg prices have fallen 400 per cent!”), today’s investing environment is one of the most dynamic in recent history, shaped by transformative technological advancements, the threat of war, dynamic and unpredictable economic policies, and evolving investor behaviours. From the disruptive potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to the resurgence of retail investing and the spectre of market bubbles, the current landscape demands a little reflection. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Farewell fiscal 2025, hello fiscal 2026
David Buckland
July 1, 2025
The Magnificent Seven; Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Meta (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which rose by an average 111 per cent over calendar 2023, continued its strong upward trajectory, increasing a further 63 per cent, on average, over calendar year 2024. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency, Market commentary.
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Emerging signs of a deepening construction slowdown
Roger Montgomery
June 30, 2025
Keeping an eye on the condition of the U.S. economy is necessary for international equity investing, as changes will ultimately influence whether rates are cut. One recent data point suggests another sector of the economy there is slowing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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The real battle within the U.S.
Roger Montgomery
June 27, 2025
With all the chaos unfolding, unwinding and unfolding again in the Middle East, it’s easy to forget the bigger battle – the one for democracy in the U.S. – is still being waged. Back in early April, during the chaos of the tariff war-induced market turmoil, Donald Trump issued an executive order headed: “Maintaining Acceptable Water Pressure in Showerheads.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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China deflates – persistent price drops signal economic strain
Roger Montgomery
June 26, 2025
The latest data out of China reveals the country is sliding deeper into deflation. In May 2025, consumer prices fell 0.1 per cent year-on-year, the fourth consecutive monthly decline, while producer prices plunged 3.3 per cent – the steepest drop since mid-2023. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle Mornings – the impact of global events on the market
Roger Montgomery
June 25, 2025
Yesterday, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to unpack the recent developments in the Middle East and their implications for global markets, with a specific focus on stock performance and oil prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Radio.
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MEDIA
ABC Nightlife – the impact of geopolitics on markets and more
Roger Montgomery
June 25, 2025
Last night on ABC Nightlife with Tim Webster, we unpacked the impact geopolitical tensions can have on markets, the Australian housing market and China’s deflation dilemma. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Radio.
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Tariff time bomb – could it remove one of the three legs of market support?
Roger Montgomery
June 25, 2025
Notwithstanding Trump’s concerted efforts to create disharmony, civil unrest and global tensions, there are three things that will determine broader equity market returns for investors. These are inflation, economic growth and liquidity. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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