Editor’s Pick
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The RBA acknowledges boomers win and mortgagees lose
Roger Montgomery
November 29, 2023
Central banks across the globe find themselves in a challenging predicament, and our own Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) faces a particularly delicate situation. In Australia, an intricate interplay of demographics and home ownership dynamics creates a paradox where those who bear the brunt of rising interest rates are not the ones fuelling the inflationary fire through their spending habits. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Why I believe REA Group is one of Australia’s highest quality businesses
Roger Montgomery
November 28, 2023
I believe REA Group (ASX:REA), is one of Australia’s highest-quality businesses. REA Group’s online portal – realestate.com.au – is the go-to destination for people wanting to buy, sell or rent property. Price rises in all property related areas have led to substantial revenue and earnings growth and have turbo-charged REA Group’s share price. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Property, Stocks We Like.
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Is forecasting a waste of time?
Roger Montgomery
November 24, 2023
I have had my fair share of bad calls. After more than three decades of investing, it’s safe for me to predict that there is next to no advantage in making predictions. What does make sense is to invest in great businesses and great managers and allow enough time to pass to allow the process of wealth creation within these businesses to occur. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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The RBA is in a bind along with mortgagees and renters
Roger Montgomery
November 20, 2023
Just 48 hours after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifted rates for the 13th time by 25 basis points to 4.35 per cent, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Chair Jerome Powell said at a conference in Washington that “we are not confident” the Fed has tightened enough to bring inflation down to its 2 per cent goal. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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The market’s “weighty” overreaction
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2023
Markets often resemble their participants, and the stock market is particularly vulnerable to the human psyche, prone to bouts of elation and despondency with each new trend. The recent euphoria surrounding a novel class of weight-loss and diabetes management drugs is a textbook example of this phenomenon. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Health Care, Market commentary.
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Why are property prices surging as rates are rising?
Roger Montgomery
November 8, 2023
In the thriving metropolises of Australia, the real estate horizon is gleaming brighter than ever. House prices have surpassed previous highs, putting a final nail in the coffin of those pessimistic forecasters who predicted 25-30 per cent declines. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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Rally in the offing? Canaccord’s market strategist weighs in
Roger Montgomery
November 1, 2023
In a recent briefing, Canaccord’s seasoned stock market strategist outlined his perspective on the current market environment. Amidst concerns of an impending recession and financial stress, there’s a silver lining that might lead to a market rally. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Super Retail Group’s sales are tracking ahead of analysts’ estimates
Roger Montgomery
October 31, 2023
It’s annual general meeting (AGM) season and our teams are furiously note-taking at dozens of company briefings where the opportunity to provide analysts with an update on trading conditions over the months of September and October is taken seriously. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.
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Big Australia policy fuelling inflation and a housing crisis
Roger Montgomery
October 27, 2023
Post-pandemic Australia is experiencing a remarkable surge in its population. Predominantly driven by a sharp incline in net migration after border restrictions were lifted, this boom, which of course brings more customers for businesses, also puts pressure on prices, entrenches inflation when supply is unable to keep up and poses essential questions for the country’s housing sector. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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There’s a good reason the S&P/ASX200 has gone nowhere in 16 years.
Roger Montgomery
October 24, 2023
Yes, to elaborate on the title, there is a good reason as to why the S&P/ASX 200 has gone nowhere in 16 years. As is seen in the table below, from November 2007 to October 2023, there has been no capital gain. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
