Feature Article
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“Australian residential property prices never fall”
David Buckland
October 15, 2026
I can’t tell you how many times I have heard the expression, “Australian residential Property prices never fall”. Admittedly these “experts” have enjoyed an enormous 40-odd year bull market. However, they don’t believe that asset prices can be cyclical, and they likely missed the 1993 London headline which read “One million homes in negative equity”.
As Australia’s unemployment rate hits 4.7 per cent, a five year high, and inflation reaches 4.0 per cent in the 12 months to August 2026, it appears a period of stagflation – slow or negative real economic growth per capita, higher unemployment and persistent inflation – will likely be with us for the foreseeable future. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Popular, Property.
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ASX: From System Error to System Upgrade
Sean Sequeira
October 13, 2026
ASX (ASX:ASX) is a high-quality market infrastructure business with strong competitive advantages across listings, cash equities, derivatives, clearing and settlement and data services. Historically, these businesses generated attractive margins and relatively resilient earnings but the investment case deteriorated as years of underinvestment in technology became increasingly apparent. The most visible failure was the original CHESS (Clearing House Electronic Subregister System) replacement program, which was abandoned in 2022 after significant delays and write-offs, while subsequent operational incidents and regulatory scrutiny further damaged confidence in management and execution. The company also went through considerable leadership turnover with the most recent appointment being ASX’s third CEO in relatively quick succession. continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Financial Services, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Stocks We Like.
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Sovereign debt yields continue to climb – is a debt crisis on the cards?
David Buckland
October 12, 2026
In the past six years, French Government ten-year bond yield has jumped from negative 0.3 per cent to 4.9 per cent, the highest level in 24 years. Investors are starting to differentiate between each euro-denominated country with German and Dutch ten-year bonds yielding 3.5 per cent and 3.6 per cent, respectively. Meanwhile, Greek and Italian ten-year bonds yield 4.55 per cent and 4.65 per cent, respectively, indicating potential contagion as confidence appears to be in short supply. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Silver lining in bond market carnage
Roger Montgomery
October 8, 2026
For decades, the 60/40 Balanced Portfolio was zealously and even religiously adhered to. The fixed income component was the dependable anchor, providing a steady yield, protection against stock market volatility, while allowing investors to sleep soundly at night.
More recently, bond returns have given sleeping investors a rude awakening.
U.S. analyst Ben Carlson recently highlighted this shift, pointing out that modern bondholders have endured a catastrophe, describing the market as “…the most brutal bond market in modern finance history,” adding, “It’s no wonder bonds are the most hated asset class in the world.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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How we invest in AI
Gary Rollo
September 15, 2026
In this video, I discuss why we see the build-out of AI in Australia as an investable opportunity, from the infrastructure supporting it to the businesses positioned to benefit. I also explain our approach to investing early, starting with smaller positions and increasing exposure as potential winners emerge.
by Gary Rollo Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Small Caps, Video Insights.
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WHITEPAPER
THE PROPERTY RUG PULL
Discover how proposed changes to negative gearing, Capital Gains Tax and holiday home tax rules could reshape property investing, and why investors may consider private credit as property returns become less certain and tax advantages diminish.
READ HERE -
Why MP1 is a high-conviction holding
Gary Rollo
September 14, 2026
In this video, I discuss why Megaport (ASX: MP1) has become one of our highest-conviction holdings, including its position in AI infrastructure, differentiated data centre strategy and potential to benefit from growing demand for AI inference.
Disclaimer: The Montgomery Small Companies Fund owns shares in MP1. This video was prepared 14 September 2026 with the information we have today, and our view may change. It does not constitute formal advice or professional investment advice. If you wish to trade MP1, you should seek financial advice. continue…by Gary Rollo Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
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10 lessons from the FY26 reporting season
Roger Montgomery
September 3, 2026
The Financial Year 2026 (FY26) reporting season has concluded with corporate Australia in considerably better shape than many had feared.
Before getting too excited, however, it’s worth noting corporate Australia may not be in as good shape as the headline numbers suggest.
Aggregate profits rose by around 11.6 per cent. Excluding mining and energy, however, the increase was just 5.3 per cent. Only 36 per cent of companies beat earnings expectations, below the historical average of about 40 per cent. Meanwhile, analysts have been cutting FY27 forecasts. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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MEDIA
Fear + Greed Podcast Q&A – 10 lessons for investors from reporting season
Roger Montgomery
September 1, 2026
Australia’s FY26 reporting season looked reasonably strong on the surface, with aggregate profits rising by around 11.6 per cent. But underneath the headline numbers, the recovery was much narrower – and investors were often more interested in what companies said about FY27 than the profits they had just reported.
I speak with Michael Thompson from Fear + Greed, about my 10 lessons from reporting season. We discuss why consumers are still spending but demanding value, expensive bank valuations, the limits of cost-cutting, opportunities in healthcare and why stock selection is becoming increasingly important. continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Podcast Channel, Popular.
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SkinKandy’s FY26 maiden result
Roger Montgomery
August 27, 2026
SkinKandy (ASX: SK1) is Australia and New Zealand’s self-proclaimed leading specialty piercing and body jewellery retailer. Operating a ‘service-led retail model,’ the company delivers over 60 distinct types of professional body and ear piercings alongside a range of high-margin jewellery and specialised aftercare products. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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What did Coles bring to the checkout in FY26?
Roger Montgomery
August 27, 2026
Supermarket giant Coles Group released its FY26 full-year earnings this week, delivering metrics that were modestly ahead of market expectations.
Despite persistent cost-of-living pressures facing Australian households, the company reported solid execution, robust supermarket growth, and strong efficiency measures.
Initial market excitement, however, is being tempered by an elevated capital expenditure outlook and a softer-than-expected early trading update for FY27.
Consequently, investors will weigh the solid historical performance against near-term cash-flow headwinds and competitive threats. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular.
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