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JB Hi Fi – a difficult environment with negative like-for-like sales over recent months
David Buckland
August 18, 2026
Despite the utterings from our senior politicians when discussing Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), this figure takes neither the rate of inflation, nor our population growth into consideration.
When our real GDP per capita for the June 2026 Quarter is released on Wednesday 2 September, I am concerned we will see another negative number, delivering lower living standards for Australians, as experienced over recent years. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Market Valuation.
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Overseas ownership continues at pace
David Buckland
August 19, 2026
In recent days, we have seen three ASX listed companies receive offers by private equity, and in each case, it appears their ownership will likely head overseas.
I Squared Capital
New York based “Sophisticated and long-term infrastructure investor”, I Squared Capital has bid $1.70 per share for oOh!media Limited (ASX: OML), thus valuing the company at over $1.0 billion in Enterprise Value (EV), including the $130 million of net debt as at June 2026. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Economics, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation.
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Record highs and the great market debate
Roger Montgomery
August 17, 2026
The S&P 500 has once again notched fresh record highs, surging more than 13 per cent year-to-date (YTD) and comfortably outpacing its historical average annual return. Driving the rally is a combination of robust earnings, apparently stabilising geopolitical friction, and the relentless build-out of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications.
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The hidden cracks beneath the rally – we can only know that which can be measured
Roger Montgomery
May 25, 2026
On December 11, 1974, influential Austrian-born British economist and philosopher, Friedrich von Hayek, best known as a champion of free-market capitalism and classical liberalism, and a fierce critic of socialism and state intervention, delivered “The Pretence of Knowledge” as his Nobel Memorial Lecture. It was later published as an essay and remains one of his most famous critiques of central planning and hubris in economics. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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ABC Statewide Drive – Consumer confidence and a standout ASX debut
David Buckland
July 10, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the latest ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Survey, which shows confidence is gradually recovering after falling to its lowest level in 53 years, while remaining fragile amid high household debt, rising rents and ongoing cost-of-living pressures. We also discussed the successful ASX debut of FDC Consolidated, highlighting its strong growth, specialist construction and fit-out business, attractive forecast yield and why its listing may signal renewed investor appetite for high-quality IPOs.
Listen from 1:46:00 here: ABC Statewide Drive Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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Is Australia becoming a bureaucratic, state-dependent puddle of its former self?
Roger Montgomery
July 1, 2026
I recently read the musings on Substack of a British citizen who is watching “the country I was born in dissolve into a managed, bureaucratic, state-dependent puddle of its former self.” They say, “Britain is not failing. Britain has failed,” and they’ve assembled a comprehensive solution. I wonder to what extent their economic reforms should be applied to Australia. Do you think any of it makes sense for us? Are we failing as a nation? Do these ideas represent solutions? Some ideas would have labels attached to them, such as ‘regressive’ and ‘protectionist’, but forget the labels. You have to look at the whole, not the individual measures, which, of course, is how we got to the mess we are in. Perhaps we need a telescope not a microscope. Would it be better than what we have? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle Mornings – Housing market shake-up
Roger Montgomery
July 21, 2026
I joined Kylie Morris on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the impact of Labor’s changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax (CGT) on the housing market. We looked at why first home buyers may be finding it harder to enter the market, the effect of tighter lending rules, and how changes to self-managed superannuation borrowing could affect housing supply.
We also touched on ASIC’s record civil penalties over the past financial year and why it’s important that companies engaging in misconduct are held accountable.
Tune in from 35:50 on ABC Newcastle Mornings Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Radio.
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MEDIA
ABC News – The SpaceX IPO takes off
Roger Montgomery
June 15, 2026
I joined ABC Weekend Breakfast to discuss the record-breaking SpaceX Initial Public Offering (IPO), which briefly pushed Elon Musk’s wealth beyond US$1 trillion and valued the company at more than US$2 trillion. We explored what drove the strong debut, why much of SpaceX’s revenue now comes from its AI and data centre businesses rather than its space operations, and how NASDAQ’s decision to fast-track the stock into its index could force ETFs and index funds to buy shares. We also discussed the potential impact of insider selling in the months ahead and what the IPO could mean for everyday investors. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary, Popular, TV Appearances.
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Another look at the AI bubble
Roger Montgomery
August 18, 2026
While the debate continues over whether the artificial intelligence (AI) thematic is a bubble, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq continue to climb a wall of worry. You’d think this would cause at least some of the AI sceptics to throw in the towel, but if anything, it has reinforced their resolve and reinforced their scepticism.
One of the most vocal is English author and tech columnist Ed Zitron.
In a recent interview with Adam Taggart, Zitron dismantled the core promises of the AI boom, suggesting current Large Language Models (LLMs) are an unsustainable, highly subsidised circular economy that fails to solve basic business problems. He also highlights immediate balance sheet pressures, and extreme market concentration. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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MEDIA
The Australian – Global markets face reckoning as triple threat fractures appear
Roger Montgomery
August 10, 2026
In my latest article for The Australian, I explore the growing risks facing global markets as cracks emerge across technology, fixed income and inflation. With artificial intelligence (AI) investment increasingly circular, government debt climbing and inflation remaining stubborn, investors may need to prepare for a more volatile and challenging market environment.
Download here: Global markets face reckoning as triple threat fractures appear Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation.
Right now, concentration is your portfolio’s biggest threat. Learn why here.









