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The relentless growth of U.S. government debt
David Buckland
March 25, 2024
I was very lucky to attend the Harvard Business School Owner/ Presidents Management program over the three years to 2006. In my class of 100 mature–age students, around half were from the U.S., and the remainder were from several other countries. I know it is a gross generalisation, but it would be fair to say the U.S. students excelled at any “marketing” related case studies but noticeably under-performed in any case studies related to “accounting”. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency.
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Ausbiz – Roger pops the market bubble myth
Roger Montgomery
March 8, 2024
In my recent interview with Ausbiz, I discussed the current state of the stock market and addressed the question of whether it is in a bubble. I noted that the typical euphoria seen in market bubbles is absent and highlighted that both the U.S. and Australian market gains, along with current initial public offering (IPO) trends, do not align with typical bubble indicators. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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U.S. stocks have already jumped 10%. Where are the opportunities for 2024?
Roger Montgomery
March 22, 2024
Have you noticed this year’s improvement in market sentiment? Having intimated its possibility throughout 2023, global equities are now demonstrating a broadly robust rise.
Despite economic and geopolitical uncertainty, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund’s portfolio has also demonstrated striking performance, with expectations for continued success through the cycle.by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education.
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Cruising through the icebergs
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2024
Back in October 2020, in the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic, in a blog titled “why cruise lines could be worth buying again,” we proffered an investment thesis that the sharp drops in the share prices of the major listed cruise line companies did not reflect the then fast-advancing technology that would facilitate a reopening of global activity even in the absence of a vaccine, and that pent-up demand (82 per cent of passengers are repeat cruisers) for travel would see a surge in cruising activity exceeding the expectations then implied in share prices. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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RBA holds rates steady amid moderating inflation
Brett Craig
March 25, 2024
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) board left the cash rate on hold at 4.35 per cent last week, in line with market expectations. The decision was made off the basis that “inflation continues to moderate, but remains high.” Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Economics.
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Household spending increases
Brett Craig
April 10, 2024
The monthly household spending indicator released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) last week, is an additional data point crucial to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA’s) ongoing monitoring and decision making. Household spending was 3.6 per cent higher than this time last year. This follows a slight dip we saw in December 2023. The ABS reported a 1.2 per cent increase in December 2023 and 2.9 per cent increase in January 2024. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Economics.
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Inflation remains steady
Brett Craig
April 3, 2024
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) last week, released the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for February. The consumer price index is a measure of inflation published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The monthly CPI read came in at 3.4 per cent in the 12 months to February 2024. The rate has now remained unchanged for three consecutive months. When excluding the volatile items, which included fuel, fruit and vegetables, and holiday travel, the CPI level was 3.9 per cent. This is a downward revision from the 4.1 per cent reported in January. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Gen Y winning the spending race
Roger Montgomery
March 22, 2024
The latest e-commerce report from Australia Post simultaneously reinforces what we know about the ineffectiveness of monetary policy and recent Commonwealth Bank household spending insights reports.
The headline data from Australia Post reveals Australians reduced their online spending by 1.2 per cent in calendar year 2023, compared to the year before, to $63.6 billion. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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Navigating future rate cuts and long-term investment strategies
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) recent decision to maintain current interest rate levels and anticipate the upcoming announcement from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), where no changes are expected. Instead, the focus shifts onto potential indicators regarding future rate cuts. With recent market shifts and economic data influencing expectations, I delve into the broader implications for investors, highlighting the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective amidst short-term economic and financial fluctuations.
Continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Video Insights.
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Australia’s private credit potential: a quick start guide for savvy investors
Roger Montgomery
April 15, 2024
In a constantly evolving investment landscape, private credit stands out as an important opportunity, especially for those seeking alternatives to traditional income solutions and volatile public markets. Private credit is an option for investing that, for example, can generate potentially superior income streams to those from owning bank shares, but without the risk to capital that comes with the stock market. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.
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