Popular Articles

One of the most frequently asked questions by investors following Trump’s election victory is: what sectors will do well? While much remains unknowable about Trump’s second term, his “promises made, promises kept” statement during his victory speech suggests not all is a mystery.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.

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Every day, I am met with articles quoting commentators telling me that the market is high and, therefore, on the precipice of a correction. Let’s get one thing straight – markets don’t fall just because they are high. They can stay high and continue upwards for a long time. It is also a mistake to believe that a catalyst is required to cause the market to crash. Investors, to this day, debate the trigger for the 1987 crash. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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Since 2022, we have predicted that small cap stocks, especially those representing innovative businesses with pricing power, would do well in an environment of disinflation and positive economic growth.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Small Caps.

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As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.

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That’s a headline designed to capture your attention. If it has done so, it is highly probable that a crash is one of your fears. And for some people with that fear, the concern is great enough that it has impacted their investing outcomes and returns. For example, they may have held off buying shares in a company that subsequently rocketed higher, simply because you feared the market was due for a correction or crash. You may have also sold a stock too early, even though nothing about the company in which you owned the shares had changed. You simply thought some exogenous event would trigger a broad market correction. And, in a more extreme example, you were right in your prediction about the market falling, but the shares you owned continued to climb. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.

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There comes a point in our lives where we are exposed to the thought or process of retiring. It could come one day when we open our annual superannuation statement. Or it could come when a parent or workplace mentor announces their intentions to hang up the tools and move into the next phase of life… Continue…

by Michael Gollagher Posted in Companies, Property, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.

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The question, ‘my parents are cash-strapped, so why don’t they sell their house?’ is a familiar topic of discussion among us, Gen X’ers, aged between 43 and 59 in 2024.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Property.

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In this week’s video insight, Brett Craig, Director at Aura Credit Holdings, our partner in private credit, and I discuss some common myths surrounding private credit. Together, we explore the evolving landscape of lending to small and medium-sized corporates in Australia, shedding light on the risks, returns, and opportunities. Brett provides valuable insights into the Aura Private Credit Income Fund, and we take a closer look at the strategies used to mitigate risks in this growing market. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.

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Australia is experiencing a population and demographic transformation, with nearly 50 per cent of our population able to claim at least one parent born overseas. George Tharenou of UBS analysed the implications in his recent report entitled “How will a ‘Big Australia’ impact the economy and the ‘intergenerational contract’?” The report dives deep into the effects of Australia’s population boom on the economy, asset prices, productivity, housing, and superannuation. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Economics, Editor's Pick.

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Over 11,000 Australian companies entered administration in the 2023/ 24 financial year. The bad news continued with a further 3,300 insolvencies in the September 2024 quarter. This is around four times the quarterly average since the business insolvency data was collated (from 1999). However, when we consider the total number of companies registered with the ASIC, the data doesn’t look that bad. 

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by David Buckland Posted in Economics.

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