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Investors beware: the warning light has begun to flash amber
Roger Montgomery
April 3, 2018
Warren Buffett recently observed that markets can quickly turn from green to red, without pausing at yellow. It was a veiled warning that when valuations are at extremes – as they are today – it doesn’t take much to trigger something serious. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Whitepaper: A fork in the road
Roger Montgomery
April 9, 2018
We are value investors for many reasons, one of which is that establishing an estimated intrinsic value provides an anchor or a solid point of reference from which the turbulence of markets can be viewed dispassionately. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Whitepapers.
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Why we see value in Telstra
Tim Kelley
May 29, 2018
In this week’s video insight Tim discusses our view on Telstra. We have been reasonably critical of Telstra over the years, although given the extent of the share price decline we think Telstra has now reached a point in which it offers value upside. Continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Why the ‘new age’ businesses are still too expensive
Roger Montgomery
May 22, 2018
I’ve been fascinated by the soaring trajectory of some of our smaller ‘new age’ companies – like A2M, PushPay, Afterpay and Kogan – whose share prices have rallied over 600 per cent since 2017. We’ve never owned these companies as they haven’t met our tough intrinsic valuation hurdles. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Is the Coles demerger a good idea?
Tim Kelley
March 22, 2018
Recently, Wesfarmers Limited (ASX: WES) announced its intention to demerge the Coles business into a separate ASX-listed company. While WES will retain up to a 20 per cent stake in Coles, the demerger effectively splits the company into two separate entities, with WES owning Bunnings, Kmart, Target, and Officeworks, as well as WES’ Industrials and “Other” divisions.
Continue…by Tim Kelley Posted in Companies.
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The US market is massively overpriced – but is that a problem?
Roger Montgomery
May 23, 2018
The US bull market is now 110 months old, and many stocks are looking expensive – despite reports of exceptional profit margins. Which is why we continue to hold a larger proportion of our portfolio in cash than many, if not most, of our peers. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Retiring and contributing to super – what’s our current position?
Scott Phillips
April 18, 2018
After 25 years, and from modest beginnings, the Australian superannuation system has a lot to be proud of. As one of the largest superannuation and pension systems globally it is well on the way to meeting its ultimate purpose of supporting all Australians as they move toward their retirement years. Continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Investing Education.
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Could the housing market be hit by tighter lending standards?
Andreas Lundberg
April 18, 2018
The Royal Commission into the Australian financial sector seems to be taking a dim view of the way lenders assess the expenditure of loan applicants. It’s possible it will recommend that banks check the actual level of spending of each applicant. This could have big ramifications. Continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Financial Services.
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Jeremy Grantham says beware the market ‘melt-up’
Roger Montgomery
April 11, 2018
Alas, there’s no magic signal to tell us when this market could savagely correct. The latest note of caution comes from famed US investor, Jeremy Grantham. He believes we are seeing a ‘melt-up’ in the stock market – the final stages of a great bubble near to bursting. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Are rising mortgage arrears a sign of trouble up ahead?
Andreas Lundberg
March 27, 2018
A new report confirms that mortgages in arrears are rising sharply. Is this just a blip, or a worrying sign that more and more Australian borrowers are struggling to meet their commitments? Continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Editor's Pick, Financial Services.
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Wesfarmers shows the risk of acquisition-based growth read here
