-
144-year-old mystery exposes an AI bubble
Roger Montgomery
March 4, 2026
While investors look to the next Nvidia earnings call or the latest OpenELM (Open-source Efficient Language Models) release to predict the future of artificial intelligence (AI), Michael Burry – made famous for making billions shorting markets ahead of 2008 subprime crisis – recently turned to an article entitled Thought without Language, The Narrative of a Deaf-Mute, His First Thoughts and Experiences, in the June 19, 1880, edition of the New York Times.
“The case study is of a teacher at the Columbia Institute for the Instruction of the Deaf and Dumb. This particular teacher, Melville Ballard, is also a deaf mute and a graduate of the National Deaf Mute College.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
-
MEDIA
ABC Statewide Drive – Markets look through conflict as volatility creates opportunity
Roger Montgomery
April 17, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss how markets have responded to the recent Middle East conflict, noting that history shows geopolitical shocks often lead to short, sharp sell-offs followed by relatively quick recoveries as investors refocus on earnings and opportunities. I also highlighted that defence and modern warfare technology stocks have been key beneficiaries, while investors who remain disciplined or hold cash can take advantage of volatility, with history suggesting that even if markets weaken, downturns are often followed by strong rebounds. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
- LISTEN
- save this article
- POSTED IN Radio.
-
How war could shape markets – Potential scenarios and what they could mean for portfolios
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2026
With the International Energy Agency’s 32 member countries agreeing to release 400 million barrels of oil, the largest ever since its creation in the 1970s, to lower crude prices from the war with Iran, it might inspire some investors to believe the threat to markets has been assuaged. But at the same time, Iran has attacked approximately 20 commercial vessels in or near the Strait of Hormuz so far.
The Strait is now part of the Middle East war’s frontline as Iran seeks to inflict maximum economic pain on the world in response to U.S.-Israeli strikes on its territory. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary.
-
What will the market do after the war is over?
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2026
The Trump administration’s decision to initiate a wide-scale military campaign against Iran, recently coined Operation Epic Fury, can be viewed through a number of lenses. Some might say the strikes have been framed by Washington as a multifaceted necessity for global and domestic security. Others may simply say, the justifications for the strikes keep changing. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary.
-
Who’s right about the future of AI?
Roger Montgomery
February 27, 2026
Rodney Brooks is the Panasonic Professor of Robotics (emeritus) at MIT. For the last eight years, he has been publishing his predictions each year on self-driving cars, electric vehicles (EVs), robotics, artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning, and human space travel. Each year, Brooks reviews his prior forecasts without fear or favour. Brooks has promised to review his predictions annually until 2050 (right after his 95th birthday), for a total of 32 years. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary.
-
The Great AI reckoning: when innovation becomes disruption
Roger Montgomery
February 25, 2026
The stock market is experiencing a dramatic bifurcation. While traditional sectors surge – energy companies are up over 20 per cent and materials firms 15 per cent – a different story is unfolding in the technology and financial services sectors. Established players are watching their valuations crumble as investors grapple with the answers to a simple question: which companies will survive the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
-
Is the transition from GPU to CPU the next phase of the AI bull market?
Roger Montgomery
May 8, 2026
Trump recently boasted on Truth Social of the US$45 billion he made for the U.S. by investing in Intel. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
-
Planting the seeds: Is this the best high-yield option for 2026?
Roger Montgomery
March 10, 2026
How to maximise your savings with higher-yield funds with competitive returns and risk.
Looking to make your money work harder this year? Whether you’re looking to fund a better lifestyle, build your nest egg or simply grow some savings, you may want to read this article.
For many retirees – and particularly people who may be navigating their finances independently for the first time – the stock market can feel less like an ‘opportunity’, and more like a rollercoaster you never asked to board. When you are at a stage in life where preserving what you’ve built is as important as growing it, the daily ups and downs of the stock market can keep anyone awake at night.
The traditional “safe” bets, like term deposits, often fail to keep pace with the lifestyle you’ve worked so hard to earn. So, where do you turn when you want the yield of a high-performer but the stability of a fortress? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Popular.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Aura Group, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Popular.
-
Victoria – the corrupt state
Roger Montgomery
March 19, 2026
While many of us here in Australia are left aghast after spending any time doom-scrolling through the latest chaotic headlines from the Republican Administration in the United States, a far more immediate and flagrant brand of political decay is festering closer to home, in the state of Victoria.
It is a curious phenomenon of modern life that we are often more outraged by a tweet from Washington than by the systematic erosion of integrity in our own backyard, yet after twelve years of Labor government, the Garden State has become a case study in self-interest and institutionalised corruption.
Last week, Victoria’s Liberals and Nationals introduced a bill to give Victoria’s anti-corruption watchdog, Independent Broad-based Anti-corruption Commission (IBAC), the powers it has been asking for since 2017 – the power to follow the money and investigate $15 billion of corruption in the Big Build. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
- save this article
- POSTED IN Market commentary.
-
A robot butler in your home by 2036 is a fantasy
Roger Montgomery
March 5, 2026
If you’ve spent any time on social media lately, you’ve seen them: sleek, metallic bipeds performing backflips in China, dancing to Motown, or gingerly stacking the dishwasher or placing a singular box on a shelf. The robotics hype cycle suggests that in four years’ time (2030), a robot will be folding your laundry and helping your nanna out of bed.
Despite billions of dollars invested, however, they remain science experiments confronting daunting technical challenges. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
Recession ahead? Tune into ABC Newcastle Mornings to learn more here.









