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ABC Newcastle Mornings – February 2024
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio yesterday to discuss the potential impact of rate cuts, the key drivers of the U.S. market’s strong performance, and what investors should focus on moving forward. We also touched on how markets are reacting to the deferral of tariffs, adding uncertainty to the outlook. Given these factors, I emphasised the importance of focusing on businesses with steady earnings growth rather than trying to predict macroeconomic trends, as long-term returns will ultimately reflect the strength of the underlying companies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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ABC Statewide Drive – The consequences of Trump’s tariffs on the global economy
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2025
I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Radio’s Statewide Drive yesterday on ‘Liberation Day’, to discuss the consequences of Trump’s tariffs on the global economy.
We took a step back in time to explore the similarities between the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act and Trump’s newly announced tariffs. Given the striking similarities of these policies, we explored the consequences of the 1930s tariffs and considered the potential parallels for today’s global economy such as slowing global trade, slowing global growth, and the risk of recession. Continue…
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Shares for beginners – liquidity lubrication
Roger Montgomery
February 26, 2025
I joined Philip Muscatello on the Shares for Beginners podcast to discuss the outlook for 2025, shifting market conditions, and where investors should focus in the year ahead. We explored the impact of disinflation, robust economic growth, and liquidity shifts on global markets, as well as the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and innovative companies. I also shared insights on individual stock picks, highlighting companies such as Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), REA Group (ASX:REA), Nick Scali (ASX:NCK), ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB) and more, which are strengthening their competitive advantages and positioning for long-term growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
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AUSBIZ – THE IMPACT OF ON-AGAIN, OFF-AGAIN TARIFFS ON THE ECONOMY
David Buckland
April 23, 2025
I joined Juliette Saly from Ausbiz last week to discuss the market reaction to Trump’s on-again off-again tariffs. The unpredictable nature of these trade measures has fuelled volatility in markets, further compounded by China’s retaliatory actions. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in TV Appearances.
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A return to fundamentals
Roger Montgomery
April 29, 2025
In the second week of April, the S&P 500 recorded a historic day, on Tuesday the key Wall Street index’s intraday swing marked the first time since at least 1978 the benchmark hit an intraday high up more than 4 per cent – only to close down more than 1 per cent. And the Nasdaq blew its biggest intraday gain since at least 1982. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – FEBRUARY 2024
Roger Montgomery
March 5, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio to discuss the recently announced tariffs and their impact on global markets. The market reacted swiftly, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining as investors weighed the potential consequences. Many economists believe these tariffs could have negative long-term effects, despite being designed to encourage onshore manufacturing, particularly in the technology sector. However, such policies also carry risks, including escalating trade wars between countries and disruptions to imports and exports, which could have broader economic implications. Continue…
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ABC Statewide Drive – U.S. and China trade tensions
David Buckland
April 22, 2025
Last week, I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the trade tensions between China and the U.S, and what this means for investors. Continue…
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The art of investing – finding and keeping the winners
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2025
We recently published a blog post here showing that all of Berkshire Hathaway’s alpha between 2016 and 2023 came from just one stock – Apple. Without Apple, Berkshire would have underperformed the S&P 500.
I know firsthand how challenging it can be to invest in equities. Pursuing exceptional returns requires the ability to identify rare out-performers and the discipline to hold them through inevitable market turbulence. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education.
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Over the Back Fence – 100th episode – building money confidence for women
Roger Montgomery
April 23, 2025
This week, I had the pleasure of joining Nicola Dale and Di Edwards on their Over the Back Fence podcast to celebrate their milestone 100th episode, and to talk about the financial challenges women over 50 are facing today. Continue…
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Ausbiz – 100 days of Trump
Roger Montgomery
May 1, 2025
I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss the first 100 days of the Trump administration, which has been marked by controversial executive orders, mass deportations, ‘January 6’ pardons, and of course – tariffs.
Economically, we see fears of stagflation loom (with Goldman Sachs forecasting minimal GDP growth or even a mild recession), a 19 per cent S&P drop, rising inflation expectations, falling consumer confidence, and small business strain. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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End of an epoch - Warren Buffet retires. What do investors need to know? READ HERE to learn more.
It seems like a distant memory now, but 2025 began with an upbeat outlook, buoyed by deregulation and robust earnings. By February, however, the mood shifted as the U.S. released a significant trade policy document, hinting at a tough stance towards its trading partners.