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Bill Gates and his latest AI essay
Roger Montgomery
September 15, 2026
Billionaire philanthropist Bill Gates has waded into the artificial intelligence (AI) debate again, this time with a near-6,000-word essay on the transition to the AI era, describing it as one of the most turbulent periods in human history, and warning, “AI is improving faster than anyone expected…and could begin to act against our interests and we could lose control.”
While AI carries enormous potential to improve lives, Gates says the world is currently underprepared for the speed with which it will impact us socially, politically, and economically.
In his latest essay published on his website GatesNotes.com, Gates writes, “The transition to the AI era will be one of the most turbulent times in human history. Right now, we are not preparing adequately for that transition,” adding, “in terms of equity, AI will either be the greatest equalizer ever invented, or the worst source of injustice.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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ABC Statewide Drive – Looking under the bonnet of a balanced portfolio
Roger Montgomery
August 21, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss why traditional approaches to diversification may no longer offer investors the same protection they once did. We explored how persistent inflation has changed the relationship between shares and bonds, the growing concentration of global share markets in a handful of artificial intelligence (AI) linked companies, and why investors may need to diversify beyond traditional asset classes and markets by considering a broader range of investment strategies.
Listen to the full segment from 1:46:20 – ABC Statewide Drive Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio.
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Seeing red? Look at the bigger picture
Roger Montgomery
August 5, 2026
In this week’s Video Insight, I explain why market volatility is a normal part of investing. While market pullbacks can feel unsettling, history shows they’ve often been temporary and have regularly occurred even in years that finished with strong returns. The key is staying disciplined and keeping your focus on the long term. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Intrinsic Value, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Video Insights.
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Go Harvey Go
Roger Montgomery
September 9, 2026
Harvey Norman Financial Year 2026 (FY26) results: Australian squeeze, overseas drag, and what it signals for the broader economy
Harvey Norman Holdings (ASX: HVN) released its FY26 full-year financial results and early FY27 trading update. While property revaluations boosted top-line profit, the underlying retail and franchising operations reflect the well-documented challenges in the domestic consumer environment, as well as overseas operational challenges. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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A market without rules
Roger Montgomery
September 2, 2026
Michael Burry, the Wall Street legend made famous for shorting the 2008 U.S. housing bubble in Michael Lewis’s book The Big Short, is ramping up his short thesis again, while taking direct aim at the “idiots” (his term) in what he calls “Trump’s market”. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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The source of the next crisis: winner takes all
Roger Montgomery
September 11, 2026
I have spent the better part of the last 18 months warning investors the pattern of past returns from investing in new technology – what we refer to as General Purpose Technologies (GPT) – are likely to apply to the latest GPT- artificial intelligence (AI).
Quite simply, there’s a point in every technology investment boom when the technology stops being the most important question, and the money takes over. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why Computershare caught our attention
Sean Sequeira
August 26, 2026
In this video, I discuss Computershare (ASX: CPU), a global provider of share registry and shareholder administration services, and why it caught our attention during the year. I explain how the company’s decision to sell lower-returning businesses and refocus on its core operations has improved the quality of the business, while a significant fall in the share price presented a more attractive valuation. Together, these factors led us to establish a position in Computershare. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Financial Services, Insightful Insights, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
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Potential ground floor opportunity for Magellan investors
Roger Montgomery
September 10, 2026
Magellan Financial Group’s operating profit for the 2026 financial year (FY26) modestly beat consensus, but the quality of the result was read as weaker, with pressure in investment management and a softer-than-expected contribution from Barrenjoey offset by unusually strong distribution income. Meanwhile, the conference call revealed several additional headwinds that lower the starting point for the 2027 financial year (FY27). Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Financial Services.
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How Aura protects investors
Scott Phillips
August 20, 2026
I speak with Brett Craig, Director of Private Credit at Aura Credit Holdings, about how Aura structures its private credit portfolios with multiple layers of protection aimed at preserving investors’ capital. Brett explains how this begins with selecting quality Australian businesses, rigorous credit assessment and tangible loan security, before adding further protection through lender equity that sits below Aura’s investment in the capital structure.
We also discuss the role of diversification across thousands of underlying loans, short loan durations of typically three to five months, and independent monthly risk assessments by Open Analytics. Together, these measures are designed to manage risk across the portfolio and provide multiple avenues of protection should a borrower experience financial difficulty.
Learn more about private credit.
Alternatively, you can speak with David Buckland or Rhodri Taylor here at Montgomery on (02) 8046 5000. Continue…by Scott Phillips Posted in Aura Group, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Video Insights.
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ABC Statewide Drive – What did reporting season tell us?
Roger Montgomery
September 4, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to unpack the key lessons from the 2026 reporting season. We discussed why results were generally better than feared, the importance of revenue growth over cost cutting, the volatility across individual companies, and what the results could signal for the year ahead.
Tune in from 1:45:36 here: ABC Statewide Driveby Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.
Right now, concentration is your portfolio’s biggest threat. Learn why here.








