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The bears are waking up (again)
Roger Montgomery
January 31, 2025
The chorus of equity market bears is growing louder. This time, they’re suggesting the emergence of new, more energy-efficient artificial intelligence (AI)-powered large language models (LLM) combined with massive investment in the infrastructure required for legacy models will result in oversupply and crashing prices akin to that seen during the development and life cycles of previous technologies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.
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Why the collapse of building companies is a wake-up call to private credit investors
Roger Montgomery
April 14, 2025
With our own construction industry grappling with challenges and vulnerabilities highlighted by a wave of recent high-profile collapses, investors – especially private credit investors – you need to sit up, pay attention and make some decisions. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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What the Fed actually said this time: Jerome Powell’s own words on rates, inflation, and the economy
Roger Montgomery
February 6, 2025
One of the biggest challenges for investors and market watchers – especially those with a shorter-term bias – is deciphering Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Typically, they rely on headlines, media soundbites, and second-hand analyses. But every so often, it pays to look directly at what the Fed is actually saying. Below is a recap of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s most recent press conference – highlighting key quotes from Powell himself – so you can form your own views on where monetary policy and the economy might be headed. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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Does winning the AI race still require massive spending?
Roger Montgomery
February 11, 2025
The artificial intelligence (AI) arms race shows no signs of slowing, and this week’s fourth quarter results announcement by Google, owned by Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), suggests that significant investment is still seen as a necessity – especially when it comes to powering the next generation of AI models. Following the release of China’s DeepSeek, the question is not only whether the hefty spending is sustainable, but whether it truly gives U.S. tech giants the edge they’re hoping for? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Fear + Greed – Is the ASX in trouble?
Roger Montgomery
March 25, 2025
I joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear and Greed podcast to explore what happens when companies are taken over. We discussed James Hardie’s planned merger with U.S. giant AZEK – a deal that will shift the company’s primary listing to Wall Street, with a secondary listing on the ASX. Meanwhile, Australian investors are increasingly buying U.S. shares. So, is the local stock exchange at risk? Should the ASX be concerned?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
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Australian Eagle Asset Management in the Australian Financial Review
Sean Sequeira
February 27, 2025
In this article for the Australian Financial Review, I shared some of my investment milestones throughout my 30-year career. I discussed the Australian Eagle Asset Management team’s strategy of identifying pivotal changes in businesses, highlighting successful investments in Fortescue (ASX:FMG) and Altium (ASX:ALU), as well as lessons learned from early exits like TechnologyOne (ASX:TNE). I also shared some insights into Australian Eagle’s investment philosophy, some stocks we believe have potential, including Dexus (ASX:DXS) and Silex Systems (ASX:SLX). Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in In the Press.
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TUAS delivers strong half year results
Roger Montgomery
April 17, 2025
TUAS Limited (ASX:TUA), an emerging player in the Singapore telecom market, has caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. With its subsidiary, Simba, driving robust subscriber growth and a bold expansion into broadband and innovative eSIM products, TUAS is positioning itself as a formidable contender in a highly competitive landscape. A 31 March, 2025 report from broker, Peloton Capital, paints an optimistic picture, valuing the stock at A$8.04 and offering significant upside potential.
Let’s see if this ASX-listed telecom stock deserves further investigation. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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ABC Nightlife – tariffs, superannuation, and gold
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2025
I joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to unpack the recent market volatility, sparked by Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements – and what’s next for equities, interest rates, and global markets. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Thinking about asset allocation…
Roger Montgomery
February 3, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I dive into the topic of asset allocation and how to approach balancing risk and return. Using the analogy of a boat, I explain how equities can act as the engine driving growth, while credit serves as the hull that keeps you steady. The right strategy depends on your stage of life and financial goals. I also touch on the growing appeal of private credit for its potential to deliver strong returns with less volatility. The ultimate goal is to build a portfolio that’s built to last through all conditions.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Video Insights.
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Breville Group’s half-year results
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2025
Breville Group (ASX:BRG) is a high-quality company, profitably held in the Montgomery Small Companies Fund. Breville released its half-year earnings this week – and the numbers point to a robust underlying performance. Nevertheless, investors will debate whether the guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year is deliberately conservative or signalling a more challenging road ahead. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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Should you invest in gold? WATCH NOW to compare the bull and bear perspectives
If you haven’t noticed, the U.S. construction sector is that economy’s wildcard, and it’s sounding an alarm bell that can be heard across the Pacific all the way to Australia.