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Have investors considered less dynamism in interest rates?
Roger Montgomery
October 5, 2023
I have a great deal of respect for the team that has been assembled at Barrenjoey, and I have every confidence they will add enormous value to investors through their insights and contribution to the ongoing conversation about the economy and markets. Barrenjoey recently penned a note revealing their outlook for economies and markets, and it’s safe to say, it isn’t the consensus view, which makes it particularly compelling reading. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary, Stocks We Like.
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Qantas’ past, present, and uncertain future: A CEO’s departure raises questions
Roger Montgomery
September 5, 2023
“I leave knowing that the airline is fundamentally strong and has a bright future,” are today’s parting words from Mr. Alan Joyce, now ‘former’ Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Qantas (ASX:QAN) and pictured below with Australia’s current Prime Minister, Anthony Albanese. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Airlines, Companies.
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Big Australia policy fuelling inflation and a housing crisis
Roger Montgomery
October 27, 2023
Post-pandemic Australia is experiencing a remarkable surge in its population. Predominantly driven by a sharp incline in net migration after border restrictions were lifted, this boom, which of course brings more customers for businesses, also puts pressure on prices, entrenches inflation when supply is unable to keep up and poses essential questions for the country’s housing sector. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Property.
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Streaming TV ain’t what it used to be
Roger Montgomery
September 12, 2023
In 1999, I was working at an investment bank. It was a terrible year to be advising investors to invest in high-quality companies making a profit and to take profit on the technology-related initial public offerings (IPO) listed at massive first-day premiums despite being unprofitable businesses. It was the year of the first technology boom, now known as the Dotcom boom and subsequent bubble. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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The investment thesis behind Workday – a holding in the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund
David Buckland
September 26, 2023
In this week’s video insight I joined Damon Ficklin, Head of Team and Portfolio Manager from Polen Capital to shed some insight into the strategy behind the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund. Damon highlights how the Fund invests across the growth spectrum owning companies like Amazon or Workday, higher growth businesses although it is also happy to own companies on the other end of the spectrum like a L’Oreal or an Abbott Laboratories. Damon also shares how the investment thesis behind Workday and why it is currently a holding in the Fund. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
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Qantas CEO quits after airline allegedly sold tickets for cancelled flights
Roger Montgomery
September 8, 2023
Mike Cherney published an article on The Wall Street Journal discussing all the buzz around Qantas’ damaged reputation and Alan Joyce’s subsequent departure from Qantas. Cherney asks for my insights and the main one of note is that the airline will be much less profitable in the foreseeable future. Read the full article here
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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Who will emerge as the winners and losers of AI?
Roger Montgomery
September 21, 2023
In the ever-evolving landscape of technology, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has become an undeniable force of change. Amidst the hype and speculation, one question stands out: who will emerge as winners and losers as AI adoption accelerates among consumers? While many uncertainties remain, it is increasingly clear that AI has the potential to revolutionise the way we interact with the digital world. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Polen Capital.
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How soon will another property construction boom emerge?
Roger Montgomery
September 8, 2023
The Australian bureau of statistics’ (ABS) building approvals data paints a sorry picture for the supply of apartments today but also points to a much brighter future. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Property.
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Retirement planning assumptions and solutions
Roger Montgomery
September 28, 2023
Recently, Morningstar’s director of personal finance, Christine Benz, penned an insightful note explaining some common and dangerous assumptions individuals make when planning for retirement. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education.
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Why the Australian Future Fund has turned bearish
Roger Montgomery
September 6, 2023
The Australian Future Fund, valued at $258 billion, is undergoing significant strategic shifts under the guidance of Chief Executive Raphael Arndt and Chair Peter Costello. These changes are driven by expectations of prolonged inflation, overvalued stocks, and the heightened risks stemming from China’s economic slowdown. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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In my recent interview with Ausbiz, I wanted to give my insights on prevailing economic trends, the Australian economy, and the equity market. Watch here