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The bull case for small caps
Roger Montgomery
September 26, 2025
If you were listening carefully during reporting season, you might have noticed a growing buzz around small-cap stocks, both here in Australia and in the United States.
More investors are now seeing small caps as a hidden gem. Small caps seem undervalued, overlooked, and are showing signs of a strong recovery.
If you don’t already have an allocation to small caps in your portfolio, now could be the right time to take a closer look. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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In gold we trust
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
With trust in central financial institutions being undermined, and with the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s unassailable reserve currency being called into question, it comes as no surprise that gold is the asset cementing its place in the spotlight.
As Figure 1., reveals the exponential ascent of gold’s price. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Private credit’s equity-like returns without the volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 18, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to explore why private credit is attracting growing interest from investors. It can offer equity-like returns with far less volatility, while providing both diversification and income. With stretched markets and retirees prioritising stability, private credit is fast emerging as a mainstream asset class in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
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CEOs behaving badly
David Buckland
September 17, 2025
It is amazing when a Board of Directors goes “all in” with their Chief Executive Officer (CEO). And a short time later, despite reviews from “independent external advisers” that no allegations were substantiated, the directors do a collective about-face and terminate the employment of the CEO. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies.
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Sky high bond yields: a reckoning for equity investors?
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
A falling U.S. dollar, China and Russia stacking gold and angling to take Taiwan, surging U.S. debt and a President dismantling the independence of America’s central bank. It’s no wonder bond yields are high.
Fiscal recklessness is stirring in the bond markets, and long-dated government debt appears to be under siege once again. Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries were at 4.97 per cent at the start of September – now at 4.66 per cent – and near their highest level since 2007, Britain’s 30-year gilts spiked to a 27-year high of 5.75 per cent at the start of September, while Japan’s 20-year notes flirted with levels unseen since 1999. French and Australian sovereign bonds yields are soaring too. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Aura Private Credit funds receive ratings from Lonsec
Dean Curnow
September 16, 2025
We are pleased to announce that independent research house Lonsec has completed its inaugural reviews of the Aura Private Credit Income Fund (for wholesale investors) and Aura Core Income Fund (for wholesale and retail investors). Both strategies have received an ‘Investment Grade’ rating, meaning Lonsec have conviction the strategies can meet their respective investment objectives. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Aura Group, Montgomery News and Updates.
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ABC Newcastle mornings – Branch closures, job cuts and the future of Australian banking
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the banking sector, where ANZ is reportedly set to cut 10 per cent of its workforce, with similar moves from NAB, CBA and Westpac. These cuts reflect the impact of automation and artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs and wages, even as younger generations turn to online and AI-driven businesses. The challenge for banks is finding savings without hurting service or limiting future growth, especially as many customers still rely on branches.
Tune in from 35:15 to catch the conversation: ABC Newcastle Mornings.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Radio.
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Where will baby boomers put their $42 billion?
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2025
As we approach September 22, 2025, Westpac is set to redeem all $1.7 billion of its Westpac Capital Notes 5 (WCN 5, ASX code: WBCPH). It’s the beginning of an avalanche of cash to be returned to investors – mostly Boomers – that will need to find a home elsewhere. Why? Because the Hybrid market is being closed down, shuttered or phased out. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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OpenAI is a high-stakes bet on ever-bullish markets
Roger Montgomery
November 14, 2025
This week, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) lifted the lid on the internal financial projections of OpenAI and Anthropic – the companies at the centre of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
By way of background, Dario Amodei, once a senior leader at OpenAI, parted ways with Sam Altman in 2021 amid strategic and perhaps personal differences and launched Anthropic that same year, seeded it with a $124 million Series A. The debut of ChatGPT in late 2022 blindsided the Amodei and handed OpenAI 100 million users overnight, along with an 18-month revenue lead. Anthropic pivoted sharply to enterprise-grade deployments of its Claude models, a bet that has now propelled its private-market valuation to $183 billion – still trailing OpenAI’s $500 billion mark, but closing the gap through disciplined business to business (B2B) focus. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Liquidity is tightening, so risks are rising
Roger Montgomery
November 7, 2025
Since my last column Is there a stock market bubble? Here are the warning signs, which was on the topic of recognising bubbles, subtle shifts have been occurring in the risk postures of major global investors that suggest you now need to behave more cautiously than before.
Some of those behaviours have been reflected in the relative outperformance over the last month of defensive sectors such as healthcare and utilities, beating technology, artificial intelligence (AI) and defence. And some of the same behaviours also reflect the changing picture of liquidity, which, of course, is the fuel that inspires all thematically driven rallies.
This article was first published in The Australian on 30 October 2025. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Market commentary.
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