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Parts of America’s industrial heartland are being transformed, and smokestacks and steel mills are being replaced by the scream of Graphic Proocessing Units (GPUs) housed inside concrete bunkers known as data centres. The transformation of parts of the U.S., such as Pennsylvania, is being mirrored globally as the world’s biggest tech names pour hundreds of billions into the physical infrastructure powering artificial intelligence. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.

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Private credit is on the rise, capturing headlines and investor attention alike – but what’s driving the surge? In this conversation, I take us back to basics, cutting through the hype and fear to explain how private credit works, why it’s grown so rapidly, and what investors need to know to navigate the space wisely. From returns and risk to liquidity and diversification, this session dives into the real mechanics of this evolving asset class. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.

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This week I explored the growing warning signs lurking beneath the market’s strong performance. From ballooning U.S. fiscal deficits and overexposure to a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, to sky-high artificial intelligence (AI) valuations that echo the dot-com era – there are clear signals that caution is warranted.

While the current market resilience is impressive, now is the time to focus on quality stocks and diversifying your portfolio. Exploring alternative asset classes like private credit – which remains uncorrelated to public markets – could help investors navigate what comes next.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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Trumps massive deficit spending plan coincides with an unprecedented refinancing burden that could drain market liquidity. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE), a top 10 company in the portfolios of The Montgomery Fund and The Montgomery [Private] Fund, has delivered an impressive 2025 first-half result, significantly outperforming analyst expectations across key metrics.

Bolstered by strong investment income, favourable underlying prior-year claims development (PYD), and below-budget catastrophe (CAT) claims, QBE’s results underline its operational strength and strategic progress. Despite challenges such as moderating premium rate increases and elevated large losses in North America, the company’s reaffirmed financial year 2025 (FY25) guidance and robust capital position signal further upside potential. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Insurance, Stocks We Like.

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Last night I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to explore Kenneth Rogoff’s warnings on the looming U.S. debt pile and the end of the “free money” era, and why investors should stay cautious. With debt levels near WWII highs, foreign buyers showing less appetite for U.S. bonds, and Trump’s tax cuts paired with massive borrowing, the risks of a crisis are mounting. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Value.able.

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You might not like the man or his personality, but I wonder whether a new brand of capitalism and a new brand of government are emerging that prioritise the greater good. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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I am fascinated by the standard descriptions of returns cited by commentators in the real estate market. I am also disappointed that a regular opportunity to educate investors about returns is so frequently missed. 

Back in July, an article in The Australian Financial Review, entitled Renovators’ return: How to maximise property value in 2025, observed, “The nurse and engineer have transformed the house they bought in Adelaide’s seaside Glenelg for $450,000 back in 2012. They’re now looking to sell for $1.9 million, a four-fold return compared with the doubling of house prices over the same period.” Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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There’s a lot going on in cryptocurrency markets and while many still dismiss them as a fad, recent announcements and enacted legislation in the U.S., demands investors begin to pay attention to the emerging asset class, if they haven’t already. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In April this year, as U.S. equity markets fell – dragged down by Trump tariff headlines and inflation fears – long bond yields, arguably, should have declined as investors fled to safety. At first, the 10‑year Treasury yield dipped to 3.86 per cent on April 4, but by April 9, rather than continuing to fall, yields surged, with the 10‑year up to around 4.50 per cent and the 30‑year jumping 54 basis points – breaking the usual inverse correlation between stocks and bonds. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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