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How DeepSeek has exposed the short lifespan of monopolies
Roger Montgomery
February 12, 2025
What are the best businesses? The answer to that question is “monopolies” and investors need to ask whether the current crop of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven large language models (LLM’s) and the suppliers of their chips, storage and energy need have the monopoly characteristics they assumed.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Australian reporting season: strong start with surprises on dividends and upgrades
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2025
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Video Insights.
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HUB24 half-year results
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
Held in the portfolio of the Montgomery Small Companies Fund, the investment and superannuation platform provider HUB24 (ASX:HUB) has risen 116 per cent in the last 12 months. This week, the company released its results for the first half of 2025, with a lot to like. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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Ausbiz – is 2025 the year for small caps?
David Buckland
January 23, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to discuss the 2025 market landscape, exploring themes like whether the return of President Trump is driving market sentiment. I highlighted the disparity between the US’s GDP and its global market capitalisation, attributing it to sentiment around big-cap stocks like the “Magnificent Seven.” I also addressed China’s deflation and its impact on commodities like iron ore. Additionally, I pointed out opportunities in the small-cap space, particularly as Australia faces potential interest rate cuts this year. You can watch the interview here: Ausbiz – is 2025 the year for small caps?
by David Buckland Posted in TV Appearances.
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Ausbiz – Should you be greedy when others are fearful?
Roger Montgomery
March 6, 2025
This morning, I joined Ausbiz to break down the “Trump slump” and its impact on equity markets, with major indices and big technology stocks facing pressure. We explored how central bank liquidity, bond market fluctuations, and artificial intelligence (AI) revenue concerns are shaping investor sentiment. With bearish sentiment on the rise, the question now is whether this environment presents a real opportunity for active investors and selective stock picking.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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Firstlinks – An alternative asset class for income-seeking retirees
Roger Montgomery
February 3, 2025
In my latest article for Firstlinks, I unpack a fundamental question: why do investors react differently to market fluctuations when they own a listed company versus a private business? If a private enterprise consistently grows its profits, owners dismiss lowball offers. Yet in public markets, investors often panic over short-term price movements, even when the business is thriving. This disconnect has important implications for portfolio construction, particularly for retirees navigating sequencing risk. I also explore whether private credit could offer a more stable income alternative. Read the full article here: Firstlinks – An alternative asset class for income-seeking retirees Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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ABC PM – Bank customers urged to shop around following rate cut
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2025
This week, I joined David Taylor on ABC PM to discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut and why bank customers should take action. Many of us are effectively lending money to banks for free, and inertia prevents us from seeking better returns. With no guarantee of further cuts, now is the time to shop around and make our cash work harder. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Radio.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – February 2024
Roger Montgomery
February 5, 2025
Yesterday morning, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss U.S. President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs – 25 per cent on Mexico and Canada, 10 per cent on China, and their impact on inflation, interest rates, and global markets. We also covered the emergence of DeepSeek artificial intelligence (AI), Elon Musk’s support for Trump, and what I think it all means for the Australian economy.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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EVs still on the brakes
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2025
For years, we’ve been fed a whimsical story that battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are on an unstoppable march to dominate our roads – spurred on by ambitious government targets, subsidies, that hydrocarbons are evil, and a steady drumbeat of headlines proclaiming that “electric is the future.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing.
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Disinflation’s bumpy road
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2025
Last year, the stars were aligned for gains in equities. In 2023, we alerted investors to three key ingredients pointing in the right direction for 2024. Disinflation, positive economic growth and a massive injection of liquidity all helped investors feel confident about piling into the AI thematic, which drove equity indices to new all-time records. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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