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QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE), a top 10 company in the portfolios of The Montgomery Fund and The Montgomery [Private] Fund, has delivered an impressive 2025 first-half result, significantly outperforming analyst expectations across key metrics.

Bolstered by strong investment income, favourable underlying prior-year claims development (PYD), and below-budget catastrophe (CAT) claims, QBE’s results underline its operational strength and strategic progress. Despite challenges such as moderating premium rate increases and elevated large losses in North America, the company’s reaffirmed financial year 2025 (FY25) guidance and robust capital position signal further upside potential. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Insurance, Stocks We Like.

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• POSTED IN Companies, Insurance, Stocks We Like.

Parts of America’s industrial heartland are being transformed, and smokestacks and steel mills are being replaced by the scream of Graphic Proocessing Units (GPUs) housed inside concrete bunkers known as data centres. The transformation of parts of the U.S., such as Pennsylvania, is being mirrored globally as the world’s biggest tech names pour hundreds of billions into the physical infrastructure powering artificial intelligence. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.

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Private credit is on the rise, capturing headlines and investor attention alike – but what’s driving the surge? In this conversation, I take us back to basics, cutting through the hype and fear to explain how private credit works, why it’s grown so rapidly, and what investors need to know to navigate the space wisely. From returns and risk to liquidity and diversification, this session dives into the real mechanics of this evolving asset class. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.

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This week I explored the growing warning signs lurking beneath the market’s strong performance. From ballooning U.S. fiscal deficits and overexposure to a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, to sky-high artificial intelligence (AI) valuations that echo the dot-com era – there are clear signals that caution is warranted.

While the current market resilience is impressive, now is the time to focus on quality stocks and diversifying your portfolio. Exploring alternative asset classes like private credit – which remains uncorrelated to public markets – could help investors navigate what comes next.

Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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I am fascinated by the standard descriptions of returns cited by commentators in the real estate market. I am also disappointed that a regular opportunity to educate investors about returns is so frequently missed. 

Back in July, an article in The Australian Financial Review, entitled Renovators’ return: How to maximise property value in 2025, observed, “The nurse and engineer have transformed the house they bought in Adelaide’s seaside Glenelg for $450,000 back in 2012. They’re now looking to sell for $1.9 million, a four-fold return compared with the doubling of house prices over the same period.” Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Last night I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to explore Kenneth Rogoff’s warnings on the looming U.S. debt pile and the end of the “free money” era, and why investors should stay cautious. With debt levels near WWII highs, foreign buyers showing less appetite for U.S. bonds, and Trump’s tax cuts paired with massive borrowing, the risks of a crisis are mounting. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Value.able.

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I joined David Taylor on ABC The Business to discuss signs that the market might be entering bubble territory.  

Sharemarkets continue to climb, driven by fear of missing out (FOMO), expectations of interest rate cuts, and easing global tensions. But these same forces are also evidence that this boom could be shifting into the early stages of a bubble. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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Bitcoin recently hit another new all-time high just above US$124,000, reflecting a bull story that has matured from a niche tech narrative into a macro thesis with institutional support. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency.

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Temple & Webster’s (ASX:TPW) financial year 2025 (FY25) results underline a business scaling rapidly in two markets still in the early innings of digital disruption. Revenue rose 21 per cent to $601 million, capped by a 28 per cent June surge that has flowed into FY26, where year-to-date (YTD) sales (1 July–11 August) are also up 28 per cent.

With market share at just 2.7 per cent in the $19 billion Australian furniture and homewares market – and online penetration a modest 20 per cent versus 35 per cent in the U.S. and 29 per cent in the UK – the runway is long. The $18 billion home improvement segment is even more fragmented, with only 5-10 per cent of sales online and no dominant digital-first player. Here, Temple & Webster grew revenue 43 per cent to $42 million in FY25, with management convinced this category can eventually deliver higher margins than furniture. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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What does 30 June means for investors in managed funds? While the broader public may focus on tax returns and winter holidays, investors — particularly those in actively managed equity funds like those offered by Montgomery — may notice distributions being paid around this time. Continue…

by Rhodri Taylor Posted in Investing Education.

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