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Two months into 2025 and a palpable sense of disquiet seems to have settled over equity markets. Far from the jubilant ascents of the previous two years, the stock market’s performance this year has been a sobering affair, marked by a notable absence of vigour. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.

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In this week’s video insight, I discuss the growth of Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX). When the Montgomery Fund, The Montgomery [Private] Fund, and the Australian Eagle Trust Long Short Funds first invested in TLX, the share price was around A$11. Since then, the company’s share price has risen to A$26.75 with a market capitalisation of A$9 billion. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.

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On the surface, evidence shows that the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) may be at a crossroads. Companies like James Hardie are jumping ship for U.S. primary listings, Australian investors are piling into American stocks, and local unicorns like Canva might not even glance at the ASX for their big initial public offering (IPO) debut. It’s not a collapse – yet; remember, Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) chose Australia over a U.S. listing – but the cracks are starting to show. Is the ASX in trouble or just stuck in a tough spot? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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U.S. President Donald Trump has embarked on what some say is a belligerent and dangerous mission to upend and reshape the international economic and competitive landscape through a series of aggressive tariff policy changes. His approach which is characterised by sudden shifts and strategic reversals, aims to bolster American manufacturing and fill government coffers. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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The U.S. is a flawed country, but many believe, as the New York Times’s David Brooks noted, is fundamentally a force for good. Citing the Marshall Plan, the defeat of fascism, and the defeat of the Soviet Union, as examples, and acknowledging Iraq and Vietnam, as mistakes of stupidity, naïveté and arrogance, Brooks believes the U.S. has always been well-intentioned. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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The recent relief rally in the S&P 500 is welcome, but is it sustainable? The stock market’s vulnerability is a weakness in Trump’s arsenal against China, and it’s also a barometer of his popularity. Meanwhile, the market and the U.S. economy are heavily reliant on consumer spending, with personal consumption expenditures accounting for approximately 70 per cent of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, I discuss tariffs; what they are, how they work, and their broader impact. While much attention is on recent geopolitical theatrics, tariffs are reshaping trade and markets. Rather than speculating on their effects, I break down their mechanics, from taxation, to supply chains and consumer prices. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.

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In the final part of this series, I speak with June Lui, Portfolio Manager and Analyst from Polen Capital’s Emerging Markets Growth Team, to explore China’s dominance in artificial intelligence (AI), and innovative technologies.

We discuss how Polen Capital – our investment partner in global equities – evaluates whether new technology companies are capable of generating profitable growth. June shares insights on the excitement around AI developments, such as DeepSeek, and whether these companies will be able to compete with established technology giants. We also discuss the potential for opportunity in large and small language models. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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A great deal has already been written about President Trump’s tariff policies, which have ignited a fierce debate among global investors and reshaped the landscape of international trade and economic strategy.

If every nation played fair, laid down their weapons, worked in harmony, peace and unity for a global common good, there would be no need for tariffs. But of course, such a world doesn’t exist on this side of Armageddon. In a world shaped by competition, dishonesty and insecurity, Trump sees tariffs as a way of resetting the compass. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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