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In my recent interview on ABC Statewide Drive with Jess McGuire, I shared insights on the outlook for the stock market in 2025. We discussed how focusing on the combination of disinflation and positive economic growth can be key drivers of success, rather than getting caught up in the noise from the broader financial commentary. You can listen to my segment from the 1:45-minute mark here. ABC Statewide Drive – What’s ahead for the stock market in 2025

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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Last year, the S&P/ASX 200 Index, along with many of its largest companies, reached multiple record highs. This raises the question – is the market now overvalued? And if so, is a correction imminent? I joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear + Greed podcast to explore these questions. Looking at traditional indicators like the price-to-book ratio and the CAPE Shiller P/E, the market does appear overvalued. However, a deeper analysis suggests that valuations might not be as stretched as they seem, or that there are valid reasons for some ratios to be elevated. As long as disinflation continues alongside positive economic growth, I believe quality companies will continue to perform well. Listen to the full podcast below:

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Podcast Channel.

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I joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear + Greed podcast to discuss one of the current key themes for markets – artificial intelligence (AI). AI is shaping the world and transforming industries including healthcare and transportation but there are always winners and losers. So which companies are thriving and which are most at risk? Find out in the full podcast below:

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Podcast Channel.

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I sat down with Paul Turton to discuss what’s been happening in investment markets so far this year. They talked about the impact of President Trump’s inauguration on markets and the continued strong performance of the Magnificent 7 Technology stocks.

David also shared insights into the opportunities for small-cap stocks, which have underperformed large caps by 30 per cent in recent years, and explained why the current economic climate might finally work in their favour. He gave his perspective on interest rate cuts, the cost-of-living pressures affecting Australians and businesses.

It’s a great conversation if you are keen to hear about what’s been shaping markets in 2025. You can listen to my segment from the 31:40-minute mark here: ABC Newcastle – How is 2025 shaping up for investment markets?

by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary, Radio.

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In this week’s video insight, I discuss the potential shift in the artificial intelligence (AI) and tech landscape following the emergence of DeepSeek-RI, an open-source AI rivaling Western models at a fraction of the cost. With Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) recent sharp share price drop and questions around energy-intensive data centers, I explore how these developments could challenge U.S. tech dominance and reshape the AI market’s cost dynamics. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.

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First, it was DeepSeek, and now it’s tariffs. Investors will need to endure more volatility, while those hoping for cheaper prices to enter the market might have their wish granted this week.

You might not think Trump’s imposition of tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada and China has anything to do with your Australian equity portfolio but think again. The next few days could see markets move materially. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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The chorus of equity market bears is growing louder. This time, they’re suggesting the emergence of new, more energy-efficient artificial intelligence (AI)-powered large language models (LLM) combined with massive investment in the infrastructure required for legacy models will result in oversupply and crashing prices akin to that seen during the development and life cycles of previous technologies. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.

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In this Livewire article, I highlight key factors for investors to watch in 2025. The rise in tech stocks, including the Magnificent Seven, is driven by share price momentum fuelled by disinflation and economic growth, rather than strong fundamentals. While concerns about a market correction persist, I argue that shifts in liquidity and investor sentiment are more likely to trigger downturns than elevated valuation metrics. You can read the full article here:

Livewire: What matters for 2025 and beyond

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, On the Internet.

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ResMed’s (ASX:RMD) half-year FY25 results reflect a company that is not only thriving in its core business but is also strategically positioned to capitalise on future growth opportunities. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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In yesterday’s interview on Statewide Drive with Jess McGuire, I discussed how 2025 is shaping up for investment markets. As we approached the U.S. presidential inauguration, global markets performed strongly, with the S&P 500 up 3 per cent and tech stocks, predominantly led by the ‘Magnificent 7,’ also showing gains. Meanwhile, Chinese markets struggled, down around 3 per cent year-to-date, driven by deflationary pressures impacting consumer spending. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Radio.

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