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You’re fired! Another day, and another example of Trump commercialising the office of President for personal gain
Roger Montgomery
May 20, 2025
The U.S. Copyright Office recently released a detailed report on the complex issue of using copyrighted materials to train artificial intelligence (AI) models, which has sparked heated debate in the tech and creative industries. However, the report’s measured recommendations were overshadowed by the Trump administration’s swift dismissal of the office’s director. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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The art of investing – finding and keeping the winners
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2025
We recently published a blog post here showing that all of Berkshire Hathaway’s alpha between 2016 and 2023 came from just one stock – Apple. Without Apple, Berkshire would have underperformed the S&P 500.
I know firsthand how challenging it can be to invest in equities. Pursuing exceptional returns requires the ability to identify rare out-performers and the discipline to hold them through inevitable market turbulence. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education.
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Insuring its own future – the QBE turnaround
Sean Sequeira
May 21, 2025
QBE (ASX:QBE) has been a long-term holding of the Australian Eagle Long portfolio, albeit one that has faced its share of missteps over the years. However, in recent periods, the business has undergone a clear and deliberate transformation under current management, with a renewed focus on profitability, discipline and simplification. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Keep one eye on U.S. bond yields
Roger Montgomery
May 27, 2025
Global financial markets are enjoying a period of relative calm, with investors seemingly unperturbed by the unpredictability of U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term. The spectre of a trade war between the United States and China, which once loomed large, has, for now, receded, with optimism about deregulation and tax cuts replacing those concerns. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Walking the tariff tightrope
Roger Montgomery
May 5, 2025
A great deal has already been written about President Trump’s tariff policies, which have ignited a fierce debate among global investors and reshaped the landscape of international trade and economic strategy.
If every nation played fair, laid down their weapons, worked in harmony, peace and unity for a global common good, there would be no need for tariffs. But of course, such a world doesn’t exist on this side of Armageddon. In a world shaped by competition, dishonesty and insecurity, Trump sees tariffs as a way of resetting the compass. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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REA Group Q3 FY25 result – yield resilience aids solid performance amid softer listings outlook
Roger Montgomery
May 13, 2025
Last week, REA Group delivered a broadly in-line third quarter result, highlighting the resilience of its pricing power and disciplined cost management, even as listing volumes soften into the final quarter.
Revenue for the period rose 12 per cent year-on-year to A$374 million, essentially matching market expectations, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) excluding associates increased 12 per cent to A$199 million, just shy of consensus estimates. Free cash flow was robust at A$132 million, marking a 19 per cent year-on-year increase. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Property.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle Mornings – market volatility
Roger Montgomery
April 16, 2025
I recently joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the market turmoil triggered by Trump’s tariffs. Investor sentiment plays a significant role in the rise and fall of markets, and right now investor confidence is shaken. During this segment we explored what investors should keep in mind during this period of heightened volatility. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Keep an eye on developments in the U.S. economy
Roger Montgomery
June 6, 2025
Most of the time, you can ignore monthly economic data – it rarely, if ever, changes trends in markets. But with Trump fiscal profligate ways, a huge global debt refinancing event coming in 2026/27 and threats to democracy itself, it probably now pays to keep a closer eye on how the U.S. economy is faring. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Bonds are flashing red
Roger Montgomery
June 3, 2025
In this week’s video insight I discuss why the bond market is setting off warning signs for investors, policy makers and the economy. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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MEDIA
ABC Nightlife – tariffs, superannuation, and gold
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2025
I joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to unpack the recent market volatility, sparked by Donald Trump’s latest tariff announcements – and what’s next for equities, interest rates, and global markets. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Watch our latest Ausbiz event: Private credit – calm amid market mayhem WATCH HERE.