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Could Trump’s tariff scheme be a real-life ‘Hudsucker Proxy’?
Roger Montgomery
April 11, 2025
One of my favourite movies of all time was a 1994 commercial flop. A comedy directed by the otherwise hugely successful Coen Brothers. The Hudsucker Proxy follows Norville Barnes, a naive young man from Muncie, Indiana, who arrives in New York City with big dreams and an invention. Barnes lands a low-level mail-room job at Hudsucker Industries just as the company’s founder, who is also its president, commits suicide by jumping out of a window. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Trump’s tariff gambit – reshaping global trade or stirring economic chaos?
Roger Montgomery
March 21, 2025
U.S. President Donald Trump has embarked on what some say is a belligerent and dangerous mission to upend and reshape the international economic and competitive landscape through a series of aggressive tariff policy changes. His approach which is characterised by sudden shifts and strategic reversals, aims to bolster American manufacturing and fill government coffers. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Tariffs: how they work and their real impact
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I discuss tariffs; what they are, how they work, and their broader impact. While much attention is on recent geopolitical theatrics, tariffs are reshaping trade and markets. Rather than speculating on their effects, I break down their mechanics, from taxation, to supply chains and consumer prices. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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Improving the return on your liquid assets
David Buckland
March 27, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I discuss how investors can potentially improve the return on their liquid assets by incorporating private credit in their portfolios.
Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) recent interest rate cut, Aura’s two private credit funds – the Aura Core Income Fund and the Aura Private Credit Income Fund – currently deliver higher yields when compared to traditional term deposits. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.
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The ASX needs a NAD+ pill
Roger Montgomery
April 3, 2025
On the surface, evidence shows that the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) may be at a crossroads. Companies like James Hardie are jumping ship for U.S. primary listings, Australian investors are piling into American stocks, and local unicorns like Canva might not even glance at the ASX for their big initial public offering (IPO) debut. It’s not a collapse – yet; remember, Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) chose Australia over a U.S. listing – but the cracks are starting to show. Is the ASX in trouble or just stuck in a tough spot? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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The reality check from the DeepSeek-RI breakthrough
David Buckland
January 29, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the potential shift in the artificial intelligence (AI) and tech landscape following the emergence of DeepSeek-RI, an open-source AI rivaling Western models at a fraction of the cost. With Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) recent sharp share price drop and questions around energy-intensive data centers, I explore how these developments could challenge U.S. tech dominance and reshape the AI market’s cost dynamics. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.
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The bears are waking up (again)
Roger Montgomery
January 31, 2025
The chorus of equity market bears is growing louder. This time, they’re suggesting the emergence of new, more energy-efficient artificial intelligence (AI)-powered large language models (LLM) combined with massive investment in the infrastructure required for legacy models will result in oversupply and crashing prices akin to that seen during the development and life cycles of previous technologies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.
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What the Fed actually said this time: Jerome Powell’s own words on rates, inflation, and the economy
Roger Montgomery
February 6, 2025
One of the biggest challenges for investors and market watchers – especially those with a shorter-term bias – is deciphering Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Typically, they rely on headlines, media soundbites, and second-hand analyses. But every so often, it pays to look directly at what the Fed is actually saying. Below is a recap of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s most recent press conference – highlighting key quotes from Powell himself – so you can form your own views on where monetary policy and the economy might be headed. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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Does winning the AI race still require massive spending?
Roger Montgomery
February 11, 2025
The artificial intelligence (AI) arms race shows no signs of slowing, and this week’s fourth quarter results announcement by Google, owned by Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), suggests that significant investment is still seen as a necessity – especially when it comes to powering the next generation of AI models. Following the release of China’s DeepSeek, the question is not only whether the hefty spending is sustainable, but whether it truly gives U.S. tech giants the edge they’re hoping for? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications.
Investing in gold – Should you be bullish or bearish? LISTEN NOW
With all the current talk of a stockmarket correction, you might have entirely missed another example of irrational exuberance followed by despondency. What we have here is another period that offered an important lesson for investors – the need to adapt.