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In this week’s video insight, I explore whether we’re in the midst of a genuine market boom – or drifting into bubble territory. While strong earnings, high margins, and a pause in rate hikes have fuelled the rally, valuations are stretching well beyond historical norms. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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Since the advent of the car, railroads or electricity, few technologies have captured investor imagination quite like generative artificial intelligence (GenAI).  

The debut of AI tools like ChatGPT has attracted billions in research and development (R&D) and related construction investment at the same time that share market investors have poured trillions into AI-related stocks, inflating valuations to levels that some suggest should make even the dot-com era blush.   Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, I unpack the leaked Treasury report warning the Albanese Government that Australia’s budget cannot be sustainably repaired without both raising taxes and cutting spending. The report also casts doubt on the government’s ambitious housing targets, with rising construction costs and surging demand making them increasingly unrealistic. Political support for a ‘Big Australia’ is compounding the strain on housing supply and intensifying the cost of living crisis. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.

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At one point, back in 2022, the market cap of U.S. technology giant Meta (formerly Facebook) dropped as low as US$230 billion. The company and its investors had lost US$800 billion in market capitalisation in just one year, and the shares were down 75 per cent from their previous all-time high.

While the detailed reasons for the company’s significant decline are debatable – the broader market and its peers also fell significantly – the official reasons seem to be that the company experienced slowing growth in its daily active users and rising competition from TikTok.

This article was first published in The Australian on 16 July 2025. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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The Magnificent Seven; Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Meta (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which rose by an average 111 per cent over calendar 2023, continued its strong upward trajectory, increasing a further 63 per cent, on average, over calendar year 2024. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency, Market commentary.

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Have you heard of the FIRE movement? FIRE – Financial Independence Retire Early is a lifestyle and investment philosophy and movement that’s focused on aggressively saving and investing to achieve financial independence and retire much earlier than the traditional retirement age. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education.

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In this episode of Over the Money Fence, I join Nicola and Di to explore the Three Bucket Strategy – a simple yet powerful way to take control of your finances with structure and confidence. Life can get busy and complicated, especially when juggling adult children and aging parents, life events like divorce, or inheritances can also complicate your finances. This strategy helps you stay grounded by dividing your money into three clear categories: cash for now, income for soon, and growth for later. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.

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In this week’s video insight, I explore the rally driving equity markets, led by technology stocks and the artificial intelligence (AI) boom – which are being fueled by a flood of central bank liquidity.

While company earnings have been strong and inflation is cooling, signs of excessive speculation are starting to emerge – from meme stock rallies to a surge in short-dated options and unprofitable companies tripling in value. With global risks rising and U.S. debt levels climbing, perhaps now could be a sensible time to reassess your portfolio and consider reallocating some gains into assets that have less public market risk. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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The Reece Limited (ASX: REH) share price has recorded a rough year, down around 60 per cent from A$29.20 to sub A$12.00. The company reported its results for the 12 months to 30 June, and it appears pressure on the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin from 7.4 per cent in fiscal 2024 to 6.1 per cent in the six months to June 2025 could continue. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Companies.

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Australia’s reporting season is now underway, shifting investor attention from Trump’s tariffs and cheating on the golf course to company earnings, as well as their 2026 outlook statements.  

The goal? Pinpointing sectors and businesses with the potential for genuine earnings growth. Even if Trump’s actions cause vibrations in the market, it will be the companies that can grow that will ultimately deliver the most attractive returns.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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