Insightful Insights
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It’s the End of The World (as we know it)
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2016
When Michael Stipe of REM wrote The End of the World as We Know It and penned the lyrics, “A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies, offer me solutions, offer me alternatives, and I decline.” He wasn’t thinking of the 2016 US Presidential Elections nor the resistance of consumers to lower and lower interest rates but he may as well have been. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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BOARD MOVEMENTS FOR APRIL 2016
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2016
Blenheim Partners have summarised the senior appointments and Board movements across the market for the month of April.
Please click here to read the movements by sector for April 2016.
For more information, contact Blenheim Partners, Clare McKenna on +61 2 9253 0951 or at clare.mckenna@blenheimpartners.com.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Record low interest rates and the chase for yield
David Buckland
May 18, 2016
With the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank adopting negative interest rates – 5 year sovereign bonds in Japan, Germany and France are negative 0.23 per cent, negative 0.38 per cent and negative 0.18 per cent, respectively – and the Reserve Bank of Australia following suit by cutting the record low cash rate further to 1.75 per cent earlier in May, it seems the chase for high yielding Australian stocks is back on the agenda. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Another way to make money from property
Roger Montgomery
May 18, 2016
Global returns and interest rates are so low that in Denmark borrowers are finding their mortgage balances are declining, even without making payments, because interest rates are negative. Elsewhere, high-quality companies are trading at eye-watering multiples. In private equity, too much money is chasing too few opportunities, and meanwhile investors are happy to buy property that is yielding barely more than bank interest despite the higher risk profile. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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Woolies’ struggles against interloper are just beginning
Roger Montgomery
May 17, 2016
As a consumer I love it when Woolies offers lower prices. If I was still an investor in the shares of the company, I’d be much less sanguine. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Insightful Insights.
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Some Small Cap Names to Consider
Tim Kelley
May 17, 2016
Regular readers will know that at Montgomery Investment Management we try to take advantage of technology to improve our investment process. One of the ways we do that is with machine learning algorithms. In simple terms, we gather large amounts of historical data and using that data we “teach” a computer system to distinguish between good investments and weaker ones by finding relationships between the historical data and subsequent investment performance. Our experience with these systems leads us to think that they have a useful role to play in sorting the wheat from the chaff. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights.
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The Perfect Storm has Arrived
Ben MacNevin
May 14, 2016
Incitec Pivot (ASX: IPL) has just written down the value of its fertiliser plant in Queensland by $106 million due to higher gas prices – the perfect storm in Australia’s LNG market has arrived. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Insightful Insights.
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The Business – ABC News
Roger Montgomery
May 13, 2016
In the last few weeks China has experienced an explosion of speculative trading in commodities. What does this mean for Australian resources?
You can listen to all of the team’s television interviews through browsing our media library, view more clips here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Namesake seems worried by high dividend payers
David Buckland
May 12, 2016
Following on from Roger Montgomery’s debate with Peter Switzer regarding the “safety” of high dividend paying companies, the Financial Times reports the world’s listed companies have paid more than half their profits to shareholders in the form of dividends over the past year. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Unintended Consequences
Roger Montgomery
May 12, 2016
I recently sent this excerpt, from a research note I had read, to the team. It is worth sharing with you too as it’s very concerning for Australians given declining inflation and interest rates are also evident here…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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