Roger Montgomery is the Founder and Chairman of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger has over three decades of experience in funds management and related activities, including equities analysis, equity and derivatives strategy, trading and stockbroking. Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.
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Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to share my thoughts on the outlook for Australian equities heading into 2025. We discussed how the current environment of economic growth and disinflation supports markets, but also the risks posed by rising valuations and global debt levels, which now sit at $312 trillion. With significant refinancing due in the next couple of years, tight liquidity could create challenges. I also talked about the opportunities in high-quality small-cap stocks, both locally and globally, and why innovative companies with pricing power remain a bright spot in the market.
Earlier this week, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the latest in finance. We explored the rise of Bitcoin and crypto ETFs, including their increased accessibility and the potential implications of President-elect Donald Trump’s vision for the U.S. as a leading repository for Bitcoin. I also highlighted the drawbacks of relying on charting and technical analysis compared to dollar cost averaging. We also addressed the challenges of navigating financial advice in the era of “finfluencers,” and where to find reputable information. Lastly, I shared insights into Warren Buffett’s recent decisions and what these moves reveal about Berkshire Hathaway’s strategy, while answering some of your questions along the way.
Socialism is a political and economic theory of social organisation that advocates for the means of production, distribution, and exchange to be owned or regulated by the community. Socialists believe the government is the community apparatus that should control all aspects of the economy. Continue…
As the market rises, a couple of things often occur. First, a conga line of naysayers and cassandras emerge. The earliest doom-and-gloomers point to rational reasons why the market should not be rising and why it should be going down as they earlier but incorrectly predicted. The second bunch point to how much the market has already risen and then lean on a bunch of ratios to show that the market has fallen the last time (insert ratio here) was this high. As the market continues to climb, the next bunch of people point to a ‘bubble’ and warn of an impending crash. Eventually, equities markets correct – you can count on it – but the timing is far less reliable and predictable.
Twenty-something: “Dad, I’m going to trade currencies”
Father: “What do you know about it?”
Twenty-something: “There’s a guy on Youtube, and he trades currencies, bitcoin, and the S&P500, using charts and technical analysis, and makes heaps. And he drives a Lamborghini.” Continue…
“Buffett screams sell!” “Buffett sounds alarm!” They were the headlines that greeted me recently, about Oracle of Omaha, when I opened my news app to read up on what others thought about the rally in markets since 2022 – a rally that anyone following would know we frequently and repeatedly explained would transpire, and a rally that has accelerated following the election of Donald Trump as the next U.S. President. Continue…
With a legacy exceeding 14 years, Montgomery Investment Management is committed to preserving and growing the wealth of individual investors and their families.
Over that decade and a half, we’ve watched the unique needs and goals of over 10,000 investors change and mature, and we’ve responded by innovating and expanding our range of investment strategies. Continue…
Every day, I am met with articles quoting commentators telling me that the market is high and, therefore, on the precipice of a correction. Let’s get one thing straight – markets don’t fall just because they are high. They can stay high and continue upwards for a long time. It is also a mistake to believe that a catalyst is required to cause the market to crash. Investors, to this day, debate the trigger for the 1987 crash. Continue…
In this video, Brett Craig from Aura Credit Holdings addresses the myth that private credit is illiquid and funds are locked until maturity. He explains that the Aura Private Credit Income Fund offers monthly liquidity windows, allowing investors to redeem funds from available cash or loan repayments. Continue…
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The very best investors in the world are “value” investors.”
Immediately after Donald Trump’s election as the next president of the United States, market analysts began exploring historical correlations to assess potential implications for investors.