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How to handle market correction if it hits
Roger Montgomery
April 30, 2024
The chorus of investors who believe the market is due for a correction is growing louder, and the list of reasons is growing longer.
I have some sympathy with the view the market could pull back. I believe there is an ever-present risk of such pullbacks, so if one should emerge, it would not be surprising. Additionally, I have no belief in anyone’s ability to forecast the precise timing of such a pullback consistently, so now could be as good a time as any. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, In the Press.
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U.S. public debt: An inflexion point is coming. No one knows when
David Buckland
May 16, 2024
Over the period since the global financial crisis beginning in 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has seen the yield on three-month treasury bills trade at a premium relative to the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for less than 5 per cent of the 16.5 year period in question. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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Equity Mates: Buy or sell with Gary Rollo
Gary Rollo
June 18, 2024
I joined Adam Keily on the ‘Equity Mates’ podcast to discuss eight small-cap stocks, share my insights on their performance and answer whether I would buy or sell them. In this episode, we delve into the factors influencing each company providing an analysis of their current and future potential. Tune in to discover which stocks I am currently optimistic about and the rationale behind my perspectives.
Continue…by Gary Rollo Posted in Podcast Channel, Small Caps.
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How private credit funds can be your ally during Australia’s cost of living crisis
Roger Montgomery
May 15, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss how private credit funds can be an effective strategy for Australians, especially during the current cost–of–living crisis. I delve into why these funds might be a helpful addition to your investment portfolio, particularly in these challenging economic times. I provide a general overview of private credit as an asset class and explore its potential benefits, including the potential for regular income generation and risk management. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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20%-Off at Merivale yet to influence RBA economists
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2024
I think it’s fair to say anyone with a mortgage or business loan would like to see some relief at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) bowser. While rate cuts benefit those with loans, with real estate, and mortgages, rate cuts could push real estate prices up, further hindering those who are already validly complaining about affordability. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Equity Mates: Roger Montgomery – 5 stocks he’s buying today
Roger Montgomery
April 24, 2024
Roger joined Alec Renehan and Bryce Leske on the Equity Mates Investing Podcast to discuss his current view on the market and opportunities for small caps and private credit. This episode also covers what’s next for interest rates, why now is the time to deploy cash, Roger’s investment philosophy and stock picking process and five stock stories. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Podcast Channel, Small Caps.
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The Aussie economy and society is bifurcating with the housing crisis
David Buckland
July 4, 2024
Australian governments at all levels are not known for thinking beyond the electoral cycle. Take the fact that Australia took on 540,000 immigrants last year, whilst births exceeded deaths by 110,000. Hence an additional 650,000 Australians, or 2.5 per cent of our population, at a time when our country is going through an unprecedented housing crisis. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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U.S. public debt (part 2)
David Buckland
June 24, 2024
With the U.S. official cash rate remaining in the 5.25 per cent to 5.50 per cent range and the U.S. consumer price index rising at an annual pace of 3.3 per cent in May, it appears the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will be sitting on their hands over the foreseeable future as they wait for the rate of inflation to decelerate sustainably toward two per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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Tech dreams and nightmares
Roger Montgomery
June 19, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the transformative potential of advanced technology. As futuristic innovations like flying vehicles and AI-powered robots become reality, we must consider their broader socioeconomic implications. Will these advancements enhance our lives or create new challenges? How will they impact job markets, consumer costs, and wealth distribution? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.
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Are we in an era of higher interest rates?
David Buckland
May 10, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the transition from a long period of unusually low interest rates to what may be a new era of higher interest rates. Following the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) implemented a policy of keeping the Fed funds rate extremely low, which encouraged fiscal behaviours based on the assumption of persistent low inflation. However, recent spikes in inflation and cost of living, alongside escalating U.S. public debt and government spending, prompt a reevaluation of this policy. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Video Insights.
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Read my latest article for the Australian titled, Why the onward march of AI and the tech titans demands change READ NOW