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The Australian Financial Review (AFR) is reporting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has estimated that the Australian private credit market has grown to around $40 billion, or around 2.5 per cent of total business lending¹, and my friends at Tanarra Capital have predicted Australia’s market will continue to expand with attractive yields helping the asset class win share from more volatile equity markets². Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.

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Take a journey with me for a moment back to mid-2020, right after the World Health Organisation (WHO) finally conceded the world was in a crippling pandemic. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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Today’s investors are focused on interest rates, inflation and earnings. A small group are thinking about the issues that could surface in two or three years, such as China annexing Taiwan and the consequences of artificial intelligence’s (AI) birth. An even smaller group are thinking about what lies beyond that. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Property.

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My friend Mick Mulvaney was in town recently. Mick was a former Republican Congressman for South Carolina from 2011 to 2017 and served as director of the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, acting director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and White House Chief of Staff from January 2019 to March 2020, under President Donald Trump. A big achievement for someone who had publicly called Trump “a terrible human being”. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics.

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If you haven’t yet, read Bored apes and bananas – Part 1

Since the beginning of the year, some commentators have voiced concerns that equity valuations have become historically stretched. Thanks to the rally in technology stocks, Wall Street’s major indices have displayed historically high valuation metrics such as the cyclically adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) shiller ratio. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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In his latest newsletter entitled “Shall We Repeal the Laws of Economics”, Howard Marks posited “deficits encourage the economic growth that most people enjoy, and spending more than the government takes in permits officials to give away “free stuff”, thereby gaining votes. But doing this perpetually requires ignoring the laws of economics, running up debts in the apparent belief they’ll never have to be paid. Can it go on without end? We’ll see, but I would think not”. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics.

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A wave of inexpensive Chinese products flooding the developing world is reportedly stirring tensions towards China and countries beyond Europe and the U.S. As Beijing seeks to forge alliances amid escalating trade disputes with the U.S., it asks developing nations to absorb its excess manufacturing output. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.

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This article was first published in The Australian on 30 March 2013.

Back in 2013, Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) chairman and head of a business council panel on the decline of value-adding and manufacturing in Australia Bob Every described Australia as a mere “quarry”. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.

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In this short video I was joined by Brett Craig, Director at Aura Credit Holdings, our partner in private credit for a brief discussion on managing risk through diversification in investment funds. I introduce the concept by addressing a common myth that private credit may not be diversified enough. Brett explains the approach with the Aura Private Credit Funds which focuses on diversifying risk across various industries, geographies, and lenders.   Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.

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In this video, Brett Craig from Aura Credit Holdings addresses the myth that private credit is illiquid and funds are locked until maturity. He explains that the Aura Private Credit Income Fund offers monthly liquidity windows, allowing investors to redeem funds from available cash or loan repayments. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.

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