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Temple & Webster: doubling down on growth with a clear path to $1 billion and higher margins
Roger Montgomery
August 19, 2025
Temple & Webster’s (ASX:TPW) financial year 2025 (FY25) results underline a business scaling rapidly in two markets still in the early innings of digital disruption. Revenue rose 21 per cent to $601 million, capped by a 28 per cent June surge that has flowed into FY26, where year-to-date (YTD) sales (1 July–11 August) are also up 28 per cent.
With market share at just 2.7 per cent in the $19 billion Australian furniture and homewares market – and online penetration a modest 20 per cent versus 35 per cent in the U.S. and 29 per cent in the UK – the runway is long. The $18 billion home improvement segment is even more fragmented, with only 5-10 per cent of sales online and no dominant digital-first player. Here, Temple & Webster grew revenue 43 per cent to $42 million in FY25, with management convinced this category can eventually deliver higher margins than furniture. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Artificial Intelligence is reshaping investment portfolios
Roger Montgomery
July 11, 2025
With a new financial year comes the chance to reset and consider if there’s any reason to expect forces shaping the previous year to fade away. The process might even throw up a completely new interpretation of what’s going on, as it has for me.
This article was first published in The Australian on 3 July 2025.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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Australia’s migration system: broken, according to Labor’s own minister
Roger Montgomery
September 3, 2025
Over the weekend, many Australians took to the streets to raise awareness about the adverse consequences and costs of Australia’s current migration policy. Those marches were peaceful, except, of course, in Victoria (where the government has legislated, or seeks to legislate, working from home and stealing from Woolworths, Bunnings, and Coles). Unfortunately, a radical element has grabbed the headlines, but setting those headlines aside, it is worth noting that the current architects of Australia’s migration policy have MPs who agree the system is broken and failing to deliver for Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Bonds are still flashing red
Roger Montgomery
June 18, 2025
Following strong interest from my latest video insight on the U.S. bond market this update takes a deeper look. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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Is the equity boom entering a bubble phase?
Roger Montgomery
August 15, 2025
There’s some early evidence the equity boom is entering a bubble phase.
Bubbles can last and keep inflating for a long time. Missing out can be costly, but predicting the exact moment of a bubble’s demise is a waste of time. So, the right strategy isn’t prediction but rebalancing and a little tactical asset allocation. That way, you can remain invested and still outperform, if only relatively, even if markets pull back.
This article was first published in The Australian on 05 August 2025. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Market commentary.
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Liquidity, debt, and what it means for equities
Roger Montgomery
August 23, 2025
In an interview earlier this month, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital delivered his analysis of the global liquidity environment and its implications for financial markets. His message to investors was clear: liquidity, not interest rates or economic cycles, remains the true driver of asset performance – and right now, the liquidity tide is rising. But as always, tides reverse. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Private Credit as a core allocation: Insights from Fraser Heard
Roger Montgomery
July 28, 2025
In this video, Fraser Heard, Head of Partners Private, shares his perspective on the growing role of private credit within client portfolios. He outlines why private credit is emerging as a core asset class in Australia, particularly as investors seek income and diversification away from traditional sources. Fraser discusses how Partners Private evaluates private credit opportunities, with a strong focus on manager quality, transparency, risk discipline, and the structural benefits the asset class can offer. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.
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Looking back – market cycles then and now
Roger Montgomery
July 4, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I thought I would break down an insightful article by Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital titled ‘Accord’: The Most Dangerous Word in Forex Markets. Howell highlights that we’re 33 months into a global liquidity upswing, but signs like rising bond yields and narrowing equity gains suggest we’re entering a late-stage cycle. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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No light for Australia’s poor productivity record
David Buckland
July 29, 2025
The Whyalla Steelworks was established in 1941 and employs 1,100 people. The Mount Isa copper smelter was established in 1953 and employs 550 people, and the Townsville refinery was established in 1959 and employs 500 people. Without enormous government subsidisation, all three businesses look like they will follow the Exxon Mobile refinery, Oceana Glass and plastics makers, Qenos and Trident, into oblivion. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Property.
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Over The Money Fence – smart investing at every stage of your life
Roger Montgomery
July 4, 2025
In this episode of our monthly series Over The Money Fence, with Nicola and Di, we tackle the question; ‘What does smart investing look like at every age and stage of your life?’. The answer may not be as simple as you would expect. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
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