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The artificial intelligence gold rush & bubbles past
Roger Montgomery
September 29, 2025
Last week, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published a piece commenting on the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure frenzy. As an investor, one can’t help but be awestruck while also feeling concern and a more than a hint of déjà vu.
According to the WSJ, Ellendale, North Dakota, is a sleepy town of just 1,100 now playing host to a half-built AI data centre that’s will be larger than 10 Home Depots – the U.S. equivalent of a large format Bunnings Warehouse here in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Private credit’s equity-like returns without the volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 18, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to explore why private credit is attracting growing interest from investors. It can offer equity-like returns with far less volatility, while providing both diversification and income. With stretched markets and retirees prioritising stability, private credit is fast emerging as a mainstream asset class in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
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In gold we trust
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
With trust in central financial institutions being undermined, and with the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s unassailable reserve currency being called into question, it comes as no surprise that gold is the asset cementing its place in the spotlight.
As Figure 1., reveals the exponential ascent of gold’s price. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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CEOs behaving badly
David Buckland
September 17, 2025
It is amazing when a Board of Directors goes “all in” with their Chief Executive Officer (CEO). And a short time later, despite reviews from “independent external advisers” that no allegations were substantiated, the directors do a collective about-face and terminate the employment of the CEO. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies.
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CrossBorder Capital’s liquidity warning
Roger Montgomery
October 1, 2025
CrossBorder Capital’s latest report by founder Michael Howell paints an ominous picture of a maturing global liquidity cycle, raising concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) waning role in providing liquidity (the fuel for market and asset rises) has negative implications for markets and the U.S. economy.
Howell’s analysis concentrates on the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where a 25-basis-point rate cut was delivered alongside hints of further cuts, consistent with Trump’s demands. Yet, he labels this a “hawkish cut,” emphasising the Fed’s tough stance on liquidity. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, incoming appointee Stephen Miran, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are reportedly aligned in their push to shrink the Fed’s balance sheet and minimise its market influence. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle mornings – Branch closures, job cuts and the future of Australian banking
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the banking sector, where ANZ is reportedly set to cut 10 per cent of its workforce, with similar moves from NAB, CBA and Westpac. These cuts reflect the impact of automation and artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs and wages, even as younger generations turn to online and AI-driven businesses. The challenge for banks is finding savings without hurting service or limiting future growth, especially as many customers still rely on branches.
Tune in from 35:15 to catch the conversation: ABC Newcastle Mornings.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Radio.
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Where will baby boomers put their $42 billion?
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2025
As we approach September 22, 2025, Westpac is set to redeem all $1.7 billion of its Westpac Capital Notes 5 (WCN 5, ASX code: WBCPH). It’s the beginning of an avalanche of cash to be returned to investors – mostly Boomers – that will need to find a home elsewhere. Why? Because the Hybrid market is being closed down, shuttered or phased out. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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Aura Private Credit funds receive ratings from Lonsec
Dean Curnow
September 16, 2025
We are pleased to announce that independent research house Lonsec has completed its inaugural reviews of the Aura Private Credit Income Fund (for wholesale investors) and Aura Core Income Fund (for wholesale and retail investors). Both strategies have received an ‘Investment Grade’ rating, meaning Lonsec have conviction the strategies can meet their respective investment objectives. Continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Aura Group, Montgomery News and Updates.
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Sky high bond yields: a reckoning for equity investors?
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
A falling U.S. dollar, China and Russia stacking gold and angling to take Taiwan, surging U.S. debt and a President dismantling the independence of America’s central bank. It’s no wonder bond yields are high.
Fiscal recklessness is stirring in the bond markets, and long-dated government debt appears to be under siege once again. Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries were at 4.97 per cent at the start of September – now at 4.66 per cent – and near their highest level since 2007, Britain’s 30-year gilts spiked to a 27-year high of 5.75 per cent at the start of September, while Japan’s 20-year notes flirted with levels unseen since 1999. French and Australian sovereign bonds yields are soaring too. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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NVIDIA Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings
Roger Montgomery
November 20, 2025
NVIDIA delivered another blowout quarter (Q3 2025 – ended 26 October, 2025 – released 19 November, 2025), significantly beating Wall Street expectations, and for some, partially alleviating (perhaps only temporarily) concerns about an artificial intelligence (AI) bubble. Demand for AI infrastructure remains extremely strong, with the new Blackwell graphic processing unit (GPU) architecture powering Nvidia’s latest high-performance chips for AI and Data Centres ramping faster than anticipated. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
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