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In this week’s video insight I explore signs that today’s bull market may be showing signs of a bubble. The bulls point to two key observations supporting the markets’s strength. First, market breadth is widening – with more stocks joining the rally. And second, earnings momentum is improving with over 80 per cent of U.S. companies seeing positive earnings revisions. 

While these observations appear supportive on the surface, they can also be read as signs of a maturing bull market edging towards a bubble. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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This week on ABC Statewide Drive with Jess Maguire, I explained why Bitcoin has surged to fresh record highs and whether it’s truly gone mainstream or just another bubble in the making. I broke down the origins of cryptocurrency, how blockchain removes costly intermediaries, and why central bank money printing and a weaker U.S. dollar are fuelling demand for Bitcoin as a hedge alongside gold. Importantly, Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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There is considerable academic and market commentary showing that equity markets often take time – sometimes weeks or months – to digest new information fully.

While Eugene Fama’s efficient market hypothesis posits that prices reflect available information almost instantly, we know that information is not evenly distributed. For example, studies on “post-earnings announcement drift” demonstrate that after companies release quarterly results, share prices tend to drift in the direction of the earnings surprise for an extended period. This implies investors initially underreact. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Investors are debating a number of scenarios. One is that Trump will install enough cronies on the board of the U.S. Federal Reserve that rates will be cut as many as five times in the next year. Supporters believe this could be incredibly bullish for markets, especially equities. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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Today, I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss what’s powering Bitcoin’s bull case. I explained that Bitcoin is highly sensitive to global central bank liquidity which has been rising since late 2022. With over US$300 trillion in global debt that requires constant refinancing – central banks are forced to inject liquidity, effectively deflating the U.S. dollar. That’s why Bitcoin, like gold, is increasingly being seen as a natural hedge. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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Yesterday on ABC Newcastle Mornings with Paul Turton, I shared some thoughts on the roundtable convened by Treasurer Jim Chalmers in Canberra. I discussed the widening wealth gap in Australia and how capitalism, without proper oversight, often concentrates wealth in the hands of a few. Left unchecked, this can destabilise societies and fail to account for environmental costs such as resource depletion and pollution. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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In this episode of Over the Money Fence I joined Nicola and Di to explore the different ways you can build your wealth. We talk about the incredible impact of compounding interest over time – and what you can achieve if you were to start investing from an early age. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Podcast Channel.

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In an interview earlier this month, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital  delivered his analysis of the global liquidity environment and its implications for financial markets. His message to investors was clear: liquidity, not interest rates or economic cycles, remains the true driver of asset performance – and right now, the liquidity tide is rising. But as always, tides reverse. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In today’s volatile and uncertain market environment, many investors are looking beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio of equities and fixed income to generate reliable returns.

There is growing interest in alternative investment strategies that can offer consistent income, lower volatility, and diversification from traditional asset classes.

That’s why we are delighted to introduce Digital Asset Funds Management (DAFM) as Montgomery Investment Management’s fifth investment partner – and the Digital Income Class, which we believe offers a compelling addition to, and a valuable diversifier within, an investor’s portfolio. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Digital Asset Funds Management, Montgomery News and Updates, Popular.

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Investors have faced wave after wave of uncertainty – from fluctuating interest rates, persistent inflation and more recently, volatility driven by U.S. President Trump, Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin.

While we can’t control these events, we can control where we invest.

That’s why we’ve launched a national campaign, developed with creative agency Mahlab, to spread awareness of the benefits of astutely managed private credit. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Feature Article, Montgomery News and Updates, Popular.

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