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I am somewhat aghast to read of the latest tweet from the Chinese embassy in the United States. It reminds me of a disturbing historical pattern of conflict and caused me to consider the similarities with past pre-war triggers. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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The global economy faces a complex landscape as trade tensions between the United States and China persist, threatening economic stability. This week, Ric Deverell, the highly regarded Chief Economist at Macquarie, shared insights on the potential for a U.S. recession, the resilience of China’s economy, and the ripple effects on global markets, including Australia and Europe. Our interpretation of his comments follows, and where data is independently available, we have provided that data along with sources. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Global markets, Market commentary.

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President Donald Trump’s tariff policies have understandably sparked fierce debates, with supporters praising their intent to bolster American economic strength as a reflection of the nation’s geopolitical pre-eminence and critics warning of unintended fallouts.

At their core, these tariffs aim to reshape global trade dynamics in favour of the U.S. But are these measures a masterstroke for American prosperity, or do they risk unravelling the very economic stability they seek to secure? I thought it might be worth unpacking the motivations behind Trump’s tariffs, their potential upsides, and the complex consequences that could follow. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Here’s something curious: the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) – an organisation with over 160,000 members – has a sentiment survey that offers insight into the opinions of individual investors by asking them their thoughts on where the market is heading in the next six months. They have been conducting the weekly survey of members since 1987.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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With our own construction industry grappling with challenges and vulnerabilities highlighted by a wave of recent high-profile collapses, investors – especially private credit investors – you need to sit up, pay attention and make some decisions. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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In response to Life360’s (ASX:360) March 2025 Quarterly update released on Monday 12 May, its share price has jumped 18 per cent from $23.58 to $27.85 in the past two trading days. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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TUAS Limited (ASX:TUA), an emerging player in the Singapore telecom market, has caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. With its subsidiary, Simba, driving robust subscriber growth and a bold expansion into broadband and innovative eSIM products, TUAS is positioning itself as a formidable contender in a highly competitive landscape. A 31 March, 2025 report from broker, Peloton Capital, paints an optimistic picture, valuing the stock at A$8.04 and offering significant upside potential.

Let’s see if this ASX-listed telecom stock deserves further investigation. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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For years, we’ve been fed a whimsical story that battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are on an unstoppable march to dominate our roads – spurred on by ambitious government targets, subsidies, that hydrocarbons are evil, and a steady drumbeat of headlines proclaiming that “electric is the future.” Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing.

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Two months into 2025 and a palpable sense of disquiet seems to have settled over equity markets. Far from the jubilant ascents of the previous two years, the stock market’s performance this year has been a sobering affair, marked by a notable absence of vigour. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.

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In this week’s video insight, I discuss the growth of Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX). When the Montgomery Fund, The Montgomery [Private] Fund, and the Australian Eagle Trust Long Short Funds first invested in TLX, the share price was around A$11. Since then, the company’s share price has risen to A$26.75 with a market capitalisation of A$9 billion. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.

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