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Will U.S. rates be cut this year?
Roger Montgomery
September 5, 2025
I recently penned a blog post in which I highlighted the market-related concerns of American economist, chess Grandmaster, professor of international economics at Harvard University, former International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Economist and co-author of This Time is Different: Eight centuries of Financial Folly, Kenneth Rogoff. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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FEAR + GREED – three things we learnt from earnings season
Roger Montgomery
September 2, 2025
I joined Michael Thompson on FEAR + GREED podcast to unpack one of the most volatile reporting seasons in recent memory. From sharp share price swings to three key lessons for investors — including signs of recovery, earnings downgrades, and the resurgence of small caps — this episode cuts through the noise to help you make sense of the market.
Listen to the full episode here:by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Podcast Channel.
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Private Credit, calm amid market mayhem: real insights from a real investor
Roger Montgomery
July 23, 2025
In this video, we hear from Russell, an experienced professional who chose to invest in private credit for a specific, short-term goal. Unlike long-term investors, Russell needed access to his capital within a defined timeframe for a property purchase. His story highlights how private credit can offer a flexible, lower-volatility solution for investors with clear time horizons – especially when public markets may not be suitable. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.
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Firstlinks – Should Australia follow Trump’s new brand of capitalism?
Roger Montgomery
September 4, 2025
In my article for Firstlinks, I explore whether a new brand of capitalism is emerging – one where governments take equity stakes in key industries to fund public services. Drawing on recent moves by the U.S. under Trump, I ask if Australia should consider a similar model to turn our resource wealth into broader social good, rather than relying solely on higher taxes or immigration.
You can read the article here: Firstlinks – Should Australia follow Trump’s new brand of capitalism?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, On the Internet.
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Temple & Webster: doubling down on growth with a clear path to $1 billion and higher margins
Roger Montgomery
August 19, 2025
Temple & Webster’s (ASX:TPW) financial year 2025 (FY25) results underline a business scaling rapidly in two markets still in the early innings of digital disruption. Revenue rose 21 per cent to $601 million, capped by a 28 per cent June surge that has flowed into FY26, where year-to-date (YTD) sales (1 July–11 August) are also up 28 per cent.
With market share at just 2.7 per cent in the $19 billion Australian furniture and homewares market – and online penetration a modest 20 per cent versus 35 per cent in the U.S. and 29 per cent in the UK – the runway is long. The $18 billion home improvement segment is even more fragmented, with only 5-10 per cent of sales online and no dominant digital-first player. Here, Temple & Webster grew revenue 43 per cent to $42 million in FY25, with management convinced this category can eventually deliver higher margins than furniture. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Is it time to cash in?
Roger Montgomery
September 19, 2025
There are four major criticisms for holding cash as an investment. But what if there was a simple alternative that went some way to invalidating those criticisms? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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ABC Newcastle mornings – Branch closures, job cuts and the future of Australian banking
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the banking sector, where ANZ is reportedly set to cut 10 per cent of its workforce, with similar moves from NAB, CBA and Westpac. These cuts reflect the impact of automation and artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs and wages, even as younger generations turn to online and AI-driven businesses. The challenge for banks is finding savings without hurting service or limiting future growth, especially as many customers still rely on branches.
Tune in from 35:15 to catch the conversation: ABC Newcastle Mornings.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Radio.
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Where will baby boomers put their $42 billion?
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2025
As we approach September 22, 2025, Westpac is set to redeem all $1.7 billion of its Westpac Capital Notes 5 (WCN 5, ASX code: WBCPH). It’s the beginning of an avalanche of cash to be returned to investors – mostly Boomers – that will need to find a home elsewhere. Why? Because the Hybrid market is being closed down, shuttered or phased out. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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Ausbiz – Private credit’s equity-like returns without the volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 18, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to explore why private credit is attracting growing interest from investors. It can offer equity-like returns with far less volatility, while providing both diversification and income. With stretched markets and retirees prioritising stability, private credit is fast emerging as a mainstream asset class in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
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CEOs behaving badly
David Buckland
September 17, 2025
It is amazing when a Board of Directors goes “all in” with their Chief Executive Officer (CEO). And a short time later, despite reviews from “independent external advisers” that no allegations were substantiated, the directors do a collective about-face and terminate the employment of the CEO. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies.
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The world is volatile. Your financial future doesn’t have to be. Explore our private credit funds here.