Roger Montgomery is the Founder and Chairman of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger has over three decades of experience in funds management and related activities, including equities analysis, equity and derivatives strategy, trading and stockbroking. Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.
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Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) released a trading update along with first half earnings guidance. Most analysts conclude that the update was a downgrade to the first-half consensus net profit after tax (NPAT); longer-term investors will look beyond the short-term effects of higher freight charges. Continue…
In this short video I was joined by Brett Craig, Director at Aura Credit Holdings, our partner in private credit for a brief discussion on managing risk through diversification in investment funds. I introduce the concept by addressing a common myth that private credit may not be diversified enough. Brett explains the approach with the Aura Private Credit Funds which focuses on diversifying risk across various industries, geographies, and lenders. Continue…
In yesterday’s interview with Ausbiz, we discussed the rising importance of private credit as a key asset class, with projections indicating it could double by 2028 to nearly $2.8 trillion. I explained that traditional 60/40 portfolios are becoming less effective due to the increased correlation between bonds and equities. By reallocating part of the fixed income exposure to private credit, investors can achieve higher returns and fewer losing years. A portfolio mix of 40 per cent equities, 30 per cent fixed income, and 30 per cent private credit not only enhances performance but also reduces volatility, providing greater portfolio stability without compromising equity exposure. Continue…
Last night on ABC Nightlife, I joined Philip Clark to discuss the challenges of predicting market turning points. We also explored the concerning state of China’s economy, where plummeting property prices and Xi Jinping’s attempts to shift towards a consumption-driven model akin to those of Australia, the U.S. and Europe could have significant impacts on Australia due to our strong trade ties. Lastly, we touched on Australia’s housing market, where both property prices and rents have surged dramatically since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Warren Buffett once said: “We look for three things when we hire people. We look for intelligence, we look for initiative and we look for integrity. And if they don’t have the latter, the first two will kill you.” Continue…
Here at Montgomery, we’ve always believed that partnerships are the backbone of wealth creation. It’s why, together with our key executives David Buckland, Chief Executive Officer and Scott Phillips, Head of Distribution, I have made it my job to identify and partner with those we believe can deliver exceptional outcomes for you. Continue…
The question, ‘my parents are cash-strapped, so why don’t they sell their house?’ is a familiar topic of discussion among us, Gen X’ers, aged between 43 and 59 in 2024.
In last week’s interview with Ausbiz, we discussed the recent accusations against Coles (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) for misleading shoppers about discounts. We explored how the new leadership at both companies, with female CEO’s, might bring a more nuanced and sensitive approach to crisis management. While Coles has taken a defensive stance, Woolworths’ more measured response could ultimately benefit their long-term brand value. Drawing from past examples like Qantas (ASX:QAN) and Exxon, I highlighted the importance of transparency and suggested that the supermarket that embraces change could gain a competitive edge in the market.
OpenAI has recently made waves with its launch of cutting-edge speech technology, and underscoring the company’s shift in focus. While this marks an impressive leap in artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, it also raises critical concerns that the race to release new products may be sidelining safety measures. Continue…
When I worked in derivatives trading in the early ’90s, one of the accepted truths about market behaviour was that “volatility picks up around turning points”.
It was, for example, wise to be alert to the possibility of a large move lower if volatility emerged after a long rally. And while it has been my experience that volatility does indeed cluster around major turning points, it’s possible I only remember what I want to. Continue…
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