On the surface, evidence shows that the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) may be at a crossroads. Companies like James Hardie are jumping ship for U.S. primary listings, Australian investors are piling into American stocks, and local unicorns like Canva might not even glance at the ASX for their big initial public offering (IPO) debut. It’s not a collapse – yet; remember, Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) chose Australia over a U.S. listing – but the cracks are starting to show. Is the ASX in trouble or just stuck in a tough spot? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary.

I recently joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss the five key reasons behind why the price of gold has skyrocketing. The first reason being the volatility seen across the S&P 500, NASDAQ, ASX 200, and the Small Ordinaries Index. Additionally, interest rates in developing countries are declining – meaning investors are turning toward other assets (like gold). Thirdly, I highlight that gold is an inflation hedge, meaning its value tends to increase during periods of rising inflation. Geopolitical tensions across China/U.S. and in the Middle East are also a key reason as to why the price of gold is being driven up. And lastly, investors get a ‘fear of missing out’ and tend to invest in trends.

Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

• LISTEN
• save this article
• POSTED IN Radio.

TUAS (ASX:TUA) (pronounced ‘Too-as’) is a company we have written about on the blog several times. Back in April 2024 on a ‘Spark you F.I.R.E’ podcast with Jazz Sidana, I noted that it was difficult to establish a confident valuation on this company (which at the time held a share price of $3.84) given the lack of sufficient information available. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Companies.

I joined Ausbiz last week with fellow panellists Josh Gilbert from eToro and Grady Wulff from Bell Direct, to discuss a range of developments shaping the current economic and political landscape. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

• save this article
• POSTED IN TV Appearances.

I recently met with a young investor and trader, who was just beginning their market journey. During our conversation, he noted he was currently biased towards a market correction but was waiting for a catalyst.

The idea that a catalyst is required for a stock market correction is a flawed one. Corrections can occur without an apparent trigger – just ask those people still debating the cause of the 1987 crash (also known as Black Monday), a severe unexpected stock market crash leading to a worldwide loss of ~US$1.71 trillion).

Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary.

Sales of new vehicles in Australia depict a clouded and muted picture. The market has faced its seventh decline in the last eight months, with February sales down 7.9 per cent compared to the same period last year. However, it’s important to note that the February 2025 figures represent the second highest February volume on record, surpassed only by last year. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Manufacturing.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Manufacturing.

In this week’s video insight, I discuss how investors can potentially improve the return on their liquid assets by incorporating private credit in their portfolios. 

Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) recent interest rate cut, Aura’s two private credit funds – the Aura Core Income Fund and the Aura Private Credit Income Fund – currently deliver higher yields when compared to traditional term deposits. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Aura Group, Video Insights.

Heidi Cuthbert’s article, “Why no one really wants to fix the housing crisis,” (21 March 2025), offers a sobering look at Australia’s escalating housing affordability crisis. Cuthbert highlights the rather staggering statistic that median mortgage repayments now consume just over 50 per cent of household income, and in doing so, underscores the severity of the issue. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property.

• save this article
• POSTED IN Property.