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Bonds are still flashing red
June 18, 2025
by Roger Montgomery
RM - video insight - bonds are flashing red
Bonds are flashing red
June 3, 2025
by Roger Montgomery
DB Video Insight
Australia's housing and cost of living crisis is hurting the less well off
May 30, 2025
by David Buckland
Bond markets - video insight
Bond markets signal caution – time to pay attention
May 22, 2025
by Roger Montgomery
  • Tuas: Roaring ahead with strategic acquisition and growth potential

    Roger Montgomery
    September 1, 2025

    As we have previously reported, Tuas Ltd (ASX:TUA) is a rising star in the telecommunications sector. The company continues to solidify its position as a formidable player in Singapore’s competitive telecom market. Broker Peloton Capital has also been following the company closely and recently reported on a major acquisition. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
    • save this article
    • POSTED IN Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
  • What’s powering Bitcoin’s bull case?

    Roger Montgomery
    September 1, 2025

    Bitcoin recently hit another new all-time high just above US$124,000, reflecting a bull story that has matured from a niche tech narrative into a macro thesis with institutional support. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency.
    • save this article
    • POSTED IN Foreign Currency.
  • When safe havens fail: The breakdown of the bond-equity relationship

    Roger Montgomery
    September 1, 2025

    In April this year, as U.S. equity markets fell – dragged down by Trump tariff headlines and inflation fears – long bond yields, arguably, should have declined as investors fled to safety. At first, the 10‑year Treasury yield dipped to 3.86 per cent on April 4, but by April 9, rather than continuing to fall, yields surged, with the 10‑year up to around 4.50 per cent and the 30‑year jumping 54 basis points – breaking the usual inverse correlation between stocks and bonds. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
    • 2 Comments
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    • 2
    • POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary.
  • Woolworths financial year 2025 results

    Roger Montgomery
    August 29, 2025

    Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW), one half of Australia’s supermarket duopoly, just released its full-year results for the 2025 financial year. The numbers painted a picture of significant headwinds and a planned recovery. The results were largely in line with consensus expectations, but the company spelled out a softer-than-anticipated outlook, triggering a sharp sell-off in the stock.

    At the time of writing, Woolworths shares have likely made a significant dent in super funds, having fallen to around $29 from more than $33 yesterday. Investors are particularly concerned about declining profits, margin pressures, and challenges in key segments, despite the company highlighting pockets of strength in digital operations and internationally. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
    • 3 Comments
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    • 3
    • POSTED IN Companies, Stocks We Like.
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  • The theatre of authoritarianism in Trump’s America

    Roger Montgomery
    August 28, 2025

    In what is yet another controversial move, US President Donald Trump has asserted federal authority over the Washington, D.C., police department while mobilising 800 National Guard troops to the nation’s capital. He frames the move and deployment as a necessary response to rampant crime, but critics argue it reveals deeper authoritarian tendencies. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
    • 3 Comments
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    • 3
    • POSTED IN Market commentary.
  • Auckland International Airport’s FY25 results: Ascending slowly amid headwinds

    Roger Montgomery
    August 28, 2025

    Auckland International Airport (ASX:AIA), New Zealand’s premier gateway handling the bulk of the nation’s international traffic, delivered a resilient performance for 2025, after navigating a weakening economy, airline capacity constraints, and ongoing infrastructure investments. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Airlines, Companies, Stocks We Like.
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    • POSTED IN Airlines, Companies, Stocks We Like.
  • Bulls vs. bears – bubble brewing or rally building?

    Roger Montgomery
    August 28, 2025

    In this week’s video insight I explore signs that today’s bull market may be showing signs of a bubble. The bulls point to two key observations supporting the markets’s strength. First, market breadth is widening – with more stocks joining the rally. And second, earnings momentum is improving with over 80 per cent of U.S. companies seeing positive earnings revisions. 

    While these observations appear supportive on the surface, they can also be read as signs of a maturing bull market edging towards a bubble. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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    • POSTED IN Video Insights.
  • ABC Nightlife – debt, hype and the case for diversification

    Roger Montgomery
    August 27, 2025

    Last night I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to explore Kenneth Rogoff’s warnings on the looming U.S. debt pile and the end of the “free money” era, and why investors should stay cautious. With debt levels near WWII highs, foreign buyers showing less appetite for U.S. bonds, and Trump’s tax cuts paired with massive borrowing, the risks of a crisis are mounting. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Value.able.
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    • POSTED IN Value.able.
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