This morning, I joined Ausbiz to break down the “Trump slump” and its impact on equity markets, with major indices and big technology stocks facing pressure. We explored how central bank liquidity, bond market fluctuations, and artificial intelligence (AI) revenue concerns are shaping investor sentiment. With bearish sentiment on the rise, the question now is whether this environment presents a real opportunity for active investors and selective stock picking.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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The U.S. is a flawed country, but many believe, as the New York Times’s David Brooks noted, is fundamentally a force for good. Citing the Marshall Plan, the defeat of fascism, and the defeat of the Soviet Union, as examples, and acknowledging Iraq and Vietnam, as mistakes of stupidity, naïveté and arrogance, Brooks believes the U.S. has always been well-intentioned. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio to discuss the recently announced tariffs and their impact on global markets. The market reacted swiftly, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining as investors weighed the potential consequences. Many economists believe these tariffs could have negative long-term effects, despite being designed to encourage onshore manufacturing, particularly in the technology sector. However, such policies also carry risks, including escalating trade wars between countries and disruptions to imports and exports, which could have broader economic implications. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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Two months into 2025 and a palpable sense of disquiet seems to have settled over equity markets. Far from the jubilant ascents of the previous two years, the stock market’s performance this year has been a sobering affair, marked by a notable absence of vigour. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.

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Here’s something curious: the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) – an organisation with over 160,000 members – has a sentiment survey that offers insight into the opinions of individual investors by asking them their thoughts on where the market is heading in the next six months. They have been conducting the weekly survey of members since 1987.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, I delve into the recent interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and what it means for self-funded retirees relying on cash and term deposits. With lower rates affecting returns, I explore the broader implications for retirement income and discuss private credit as one potential alternative to help navigate this changing landscape.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Video Insights.

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With reporting season coming to an end, companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) have released their half-year results, offering insights into their financial performance and strategic direction. I have summarised the results of seven companies, highlighting key earnings surprises, market reactions, and potential opportunities for investors.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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Qantas (ASX:QAN) has posted a significant rise in half-year profits, demonstrating continued momentum in the airline’s post-pandemic recovery. The company reported an underlying profit before tax of $1.39 billion, an 11 per cent increase compared with the same period last year. Statutory profits also climbed by 6 per cent, reaching $923 million. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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