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For decades, it was wise to heed Warren Buffet’s observation that gold has no utility and that over any 100-year period, you will be better off owning income-producing assets. Gold, he said, can only be looked at and fondled. I have previously noted that gold is merely a bet on increasing fear and anxiety, and given these are sentiments, their shifts can be rapid and impossible to predict. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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With the U.S. economic picture deteriorating, you might be wondering why the market is rallying. It’s simple if you remember that hope springs eternal.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s first chaotic days in office have been economically disruptive, thanks to a whirlwind 143 executive orders, a tornado of declared emergencies, and tariffs heralding a trade war – particularly the 135 per cent levy on Chinese imports. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Australian investors, engrossed in the 2025 Federal Election, may have missed a seismic shift in the global financial landscape: Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, announced his retirement at the age of 94. On Saturday, during the company’s annual shareholder meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett revealed he would step down as CEO and chairman by the end of the year, handing the reins to Vice Chairman Greg Abel. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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One of my favourite movies of all time was a 1994 commercial flop. A comedy directed by the otherwise hugely successful Coen Brothers. The Hudsucker Proxy follows Norville Barnes, a naive young man from Muncie, Indiana, who arrives in New York City with big dreams and an invention. Barnes lands a low-level mail-room job at Hudsucker Industries just as the company’s founder, who is also its president, commits suicide by jumping out of a window. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Back in February in our blog article Disinflation’s Bumpy Road we wrote: “With valuations now appreciably higher than at the beginning of 2023 and 2024, and now arguably stretched in parts of the market – particularly in high-growth tech – investors had been counting on rate cuts to justify further gains. But if the Fed remains on hold, or worse, if markets begin to price in a “higher for longer” scenario, equity risk premiums might have to adjust.”

The ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) appear to be rolling in neutral gear, with an observable slowing in earnings growth. To be clear, earnings are still growing but the rate of growth is slowing down. So what does this all mean? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.

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On May 3, Warren Buffett announced his retirement. Here’s my dictation (abbreviated) of his announcement:

“The time has arrived where Greg should become the CEO of the company at year end, and I want to spring that on the directors effectively [of Berkshire Hathaway]”. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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The front-of-mind topic for investors, now that reporting season is over, is what Trump’s trade wars and tariffs, the potential of an end to AI-related stock leadership, and general volatility mean for the stock market’s outlook. Today we touch on one of the bullish arguments I came across in my readings. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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For years I have abided by the idea that gold is useless. As Charles Munger noted; if you buy an ounce of gold today, at the end of eternity, you will still own an ounce of gold. With no industrial use and producing no income, Munger’s partner, Warren Buffett, noted gold is only good for doing two things: ‘looking and fondling’. They are right in the sense that, without any ability to compound or any commercial value, buying gold is a bet that others will subsequently buy gold at a higher price. In that sense, buying gold is speculation rather than investing.

I remain convinced, buying gold is, and will always be, a bet on fear. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, we launch our two-part series on ‘investing in gold’. In this episode I explore commentary from a few prevalent gold bulls. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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Seasoned equities investors are always prepared for the rollercoaster ride that markets can deliver, but the post-U.S.-Presidential-election period has delivered a particularly dizzying ride, especially for those riding the ‘Trump Bump’. Is it over? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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