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There’s some early evidence the equity boom is entering a bubble phase.

Bubbles can last and keep inflating for a long time. Missing out can be costly, but predicting the exact moment of a bubble’s demise is a waste of time. So, the right strategy isn’t prediction but rebalancing and a little tactical asset allocation. That way, you can remain invested and still outperform, if only relatively, even if markets pull back.

This article was first published in The Australian on 05 August 2025. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Market commentary.

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As we have previously reported, Tuas Ltd (ASX:TUA) is a rising star in the telecommunications sector. The company continues to solidify its position as a formidable player in Singapore’s competitive telecom market. Broker Peloton Capital has also been following the company closely and recently reported on a major acquisition. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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In this week’s video insight, I explore whether we’re in the midst of a genuine market boom – or drifting into bubble territory. While strong earnings, high margins, and a pause in rate hikes have fuelled the rally, valuations are stretching well beyond historical norms. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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In this video, Fraser Heard, Head of Partners Private, shares his perspective on the growing role of private credit within client portfolios. He outlines why private credit is emerging as a core asset class in Australia, particularly as investors seek income and diversification away from traditional sources. Fraser discusses how Partners Private evaluates private credit opportunities, with a strong focus on manager quality, transparency, risk discipline, and the structural benefits the asset class can offer. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.

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In this week’s video insight, I explore the rally driving equity markets, led by technology stocks and the artificial intelligence (AI) boom – which are being fueled by a flood of central bank liquidity.

While company earnings have been strong and inflation is cooling, signs of excessive speculation are starting to emerge – from meme stock rallies to a surge in short-dated options and unprofitable companies tripling in value. With global risks rising and U.S. debt levels climbing, perhaps now could be a sensible time to reassess your portfolio and consider reallocating some gains into assets that have less public market risk. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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Auckland International Airport (ASX:AIA), New Zealand’s premier gateway handling the bulk of the nation’s international traffic, delivered a resilient performance for 2025, after navigating a weakening economy, airline capacity constraints, and ongoing infrastructure investments. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Airlines, Companies, Stocks We Like.

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The Reece Limited (ASX: REH) share price has recorded a rough year, down around 60 per cent from A$29.20 to sub A$12.00. The company reported its results for the 12 months to 30 June, and it appears pressure on the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin from 7.4 per cent in fiscal 2024 to 6.1 per cent in the six months to June 2025 could continue. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Companies.

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QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE), a top 10 company in the portfolios of The Montgomery Fund and The Montgomery [Private] Fund, has delivered an impressive 2025 first-half result, significantly outperforming analyst expectations across key metrics.

Bolstered by strong investment income, favourable underlying prior-year claims development (PYD), and below-budget catastrophe (CAT) claims, QBE’s results underline its operational strength and strategic progress. Despite challenges such as moderating premium rate increases and elevated large losses in North America, the company’s reaffirmed financial year 2025 (FY25) guidance and robust capital position signal further upside potential. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Insurance, Stocks We Like.

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At one point, back in 2022, the market cap of U.S. technology giant Meta (formerly Facebook) dropped as low as US$230 billion. The company and its investors had lost US$800 billion in market capitalisation in just one year, and the shares were down 75 per cent from their previous all-time high.

While the detailed reasons for the company’s significant decline are debatable – the broader market and its peers also fell significantly – the official reasons seem to be that the company experienced slowing growth in its daily active users and rising competition from TikTok.

This article was first published in The Australian on 16 July 2025. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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The Whyalla Steelworks was established in 1941 and employs 1,100 people. The Mount Isa copper smelter was established in 1953 and employs 550 people, and the Townsville refinery was established in 1959 and employs 500 people. Without enormous government subsidisation, all three businesses look like they will follow the Exxon Mobile refinery, Oceana Glass and plastics makers, Qenos and Trident, into oblivion. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Property.

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