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Trumps massive deficit spending plan coincides with an unprecedented refinancing burden that could drain market liquidity. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Last month, the United States House of Representatives passed Donald Trump’s absurdly named “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” a 1,038-page legislative juggernaut championed to deliver on campaign promises including “a hodgepodge of controversial tax breaks for the wealthy, spending reductions and increased work requirements for food aid and Medicaid programs and huge funding increases for President Trump’s mass migrant removal program…”, according to The Hill News. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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The latest data out of China reveals the country is sliding deeper into deflation. In May 2025, consumer prices fell 0.1 per cent year-on-year, the fourth consecutive monthly decline, while producer prices plunged 3.3 per cent – the steepest drop since mid-2023. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Market commentary.

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QBE (ASX:QBE) has been a long-term holding of the Australian Eagle Long portfolio, albeit one that has faced its share of missteps over the years. However, in recent periods, the business has undergone a clear and deliberate transformation under current management, with a renewed focus on profitability, discipline and simplification. Continue…

by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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While Telstra’s share price is up about 80 per cent since the lows of Covid in 2020, the shares are trading at about where they were in 2003, and they are down 26 per cent from their 2015 highs and 45 per cent lower than their all-time highs in 1999.

Telstra has been a case study against investing for the long term, or maybe a case study in sticking to quality if you are going to invest for the long term. Time is the friend of the wonderful business, and the enemy of a business with poor economics. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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There are a myriad of solutions offered for retirees to help manage their finances and wealth during their golden years. With people living longer, the questions of ‘will it last?’ and ‘how much can I expect?’ are fuelling the proliferation of tools, calculators and apps. Meanwhile, we know that anxiety and stress about money spike during life’s transitions, of which retirement is a big one. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.

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An article published by the Shanghai Metal Market on 7 June 2025, revealed that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the seventh consecutive month, up 60,000 ounces month-on-month. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Global markets, Market commentary.

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Global financial markets are enjoying a period of relative calm, with investors seemingly unperturbed by the unpredictability of U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term. The spectre of a trade war between the United States and China, which once loomed large, has, for now, receded, with optimism about deregulation and tax cuts replacing those concerns. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Most of the time, you can ignore monthly economic data – it rarely, if ever, changes trends in markets. But with Trump fiscal profligate ways, a huge global debt refinancing event coming in 2026/27 and threats to democracy itself, it probably now pays to keep a closer eye on how the U.S. economy is faring. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Twenty years ago, U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders delivered a powerful explanation of a political tactic used to persuade voters to support policies that benefit the wealthy, often at the expense of their own interests. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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