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The bond market is currently grappling with significant turbulence, driven by a confluence of fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical factors. Investors are shying away from bonds, particularly U.S. Treasurys, as yields climb and uncertainty mounts. This article explores what’s happening in the bond market, why it’s occurring, and the implications for equity markets in both the short and long term, offering guidance for investors navigating this challenging landscape. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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One of my favourite movies of all time was a 1994 commercial flop. A comedy directed by the otherwise hugely successful Coen Brothers. The Hudsucker Proxy follows Norville Barnes, a naive young man from Muncie, Indiana, who arrives in New York City with big dreams and an invention. Barnes lands a low-level mail-room job at Hudsucker Industries just as the company’s founder, who is also its president, commits suicide by jumping out of a window. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, we launch our two-part series on ‘investing in gold’. In this episode I explore commentary from a few prevalent gold bulls. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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The global economy faces a complex landscape as trade tensions between the United States and China persist, threatening economic stability. This week, Ric Deverell, the highly regarded Chief Economist at Macquarie, shared insights on the potential for a U.S. recession, the resilience of China’s economy, and the ripple effects on global markets, including Australia and Europe. Our interpretation of his comments follows, and where data is independently available, we have provided that data along with sources. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Global markets, Market commentary.

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TUAS Limited (ASX:TUA), an emerging player in the Singapore telecom market, has caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. With its subsidiary, Simba, driving robust subscriber growth and a bold expansion into broadband and innovative eSIM products, TUAS is positioning itself as a formidable contender in a highly competitive landscape. A 31 March, 2025 report from broker, Peloton Capital, paints an optimistic picture, valuing the stock at A$8.04 and offering significant upside potential.

Let’s see if this ASX-listed telecom stock deserves further investigation. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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In this week’s video insight, I discuss the growth of Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX). When the Montgomery Fund, The Montgomery [Private] Fund, and the Australian Eagle Trust Long Short Funds first invested in TLX, the share price was around A$11. Since then, the company’s share price has risen to A$26.75 with a market capitalisation of A$9 billion. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.

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With our own construction industry grappling with challenges and vulnerabilities highlighted by a wave of recent high-profile collapses, investors – especially private credit investors – you need to sit up, pay attention and make some decisions. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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President Donald Trump’s tariff policies have understandably sparked fierce debates, with supporters praising their intent to bolster American economic strength as a reflection of the nation’s geopolitical pre-eminence and critics warning of unintended fallouts.

At their core, these tariffs aim to reshape global trade dynamics in favour of the U.S. But are these measures a masterstroke for American prosperity, or do they risk unravelling the very economic stability they seek to secure? I thought it might be worth unpacking the motivations behind Trump’s tariffs, their potential upsides, and the complex consequences that could follow. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Last night, I appeared on ABC News to discuss Westpac’s (ASX:WBC) half-year financial results, where CEO Anthony Miller reported disappointing numbers. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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In this week’s video insight, I explore the complex interplay between Trump’s political theatrics and the U.S. bond market. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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