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What’s powering Bitcoin’s bull case?
Roger Montgomery
September 1, 2025
Bitcoin recently hit another new all-time high just above US$124,000, reflecting a bull story that has matured from a niche tech narrative into a macro thesis with institutional support. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency.
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Are liquidity and deflation risks emerging? One economist is worried
Roger Montgomery
September 10, 2025
Investors are debating a number of scenarios. One is that Trump will install enough cronies on the board of the U.S. Federal Reserve that rates will be cut as many as five times in the next year. Supporters believe this could be incredibly bullish for markets, especially equities. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Hidden in the sands: Iluka’s rare earth revival
Sean Sequeira
October 22, 2025
At face value, Iluka Resources (ASX:ILU) is best known as a mineral sands producer. However, the market continues to undervalue the hidden strategic and financial assets embedded across its diversified portfolio. With a current market capitalisation of over A$3 billion, Iluka trades below the implied value of its tangible holdings alone – ~A$1 billion in mineral sands inventory, ~A$1.3 billion in rare earths concentrate feedstock (potentially greater than A$2 billion Net Present Value (NPV)) and a A$450 million equity stake in Deterra Royalties (ASX:DRR) – therefore ascribing very little value to the core mineral sands business. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Do new highs make sense?
Roger Montgomery
September 4, 2025
There is considerable academic and market commentary showing that equity markets often take time – sometimes weeks or months – to digest new information fully.
While Eugene Fama’s efficient market hypothesis posits that prices reflect available information almost instantly, we know that information is not evenly distributed. For example, studies on “post-earnings announcement drift” demonstrate that after companies release quarterly results, share prices tend to drift in the direction of the earnings surprise for an extended period. This implies investors initially underreact. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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MEDIA
Over the Money Fence – Building wealth – Tips for the younger generation
Roger Montgomery
September 4, 2025
In this episode of Over the Money Fence I joined Nicola and Di to explore the different ways you can build your wealth. We talk about the incredible impact of compounding interest over time – and what you can achieve if you were to start investing from an early age. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Podcast Channel.
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MEDIA
Statewide Drive – Stagflation and rising debt
Roger Montgomery
September 5, 2025
This week on ABC Statewide Drive with Jess Maguire, I explored the risks of stagflation and rising debt. While markets may look strong on the surface, the reality is more complex. Stagflation – when economic growth slows or stalls while prices continue to rise – creates a challenging environment for investors. We’re beginning to see signs of a slowing economy alongside persistent inflation, and that combination is far from ideal. So, what does this mean for share prices, and how should investors think about adapting their portfolios?
Listen to the full conversation from 1:44:30 here: Statewide Drive – Stagflation and rising debt
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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MEDIA
Is there a stock market bubble? Here are the warning signs
Roger Montgomery
October 22, 2025
During a boom, warnings of bubbles and crashes are swept under a rug woven with proclamations such as “we’ve entered a multi-year bull market” and “there’s so much money on the sidelines waiting to invest”.
This article was first published in The Australian on 06 October 2025. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Insightful Insights, Market commentary.
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Celebrating another milestone – 96 positive consecutive monthly returns, 9.55% p.a. since inception
Roger Montgomery
September 9, 2025
Montgomery Investment Management recently celebrated the 8th anniversary of the Aura Private Credit Income Fund (the Fund), and its 96 consecutive positive monthly cash distribution, delivering a compound net return of 9.55 per cent per annum since inception in August 2017.* Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.
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The power of Private Credit
Roger Montgomery
September 12, 2025
In today’s dynamic financial landscape, and with public market volatility constantly rising, investors are increasingly seeking opportunities that strike a balance between solid returns and stability and diversification. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Bitcoin gains ground in mainstream strategy
Roger Montgomery
September 11, 2025
I joined Ausbiz with Clint Maddock, Founder and Director at Digital Asset Funds Management – our newest partner, an Australian investment manager specialising in digital asset markets – to discuss the growing role of digital assets like Bitcoin in investment portfolios. Once considered purely speculative, digital assets are now increasingly recognised as a legitimate component of diversification, sitting alongside equities, bonds, and property. We explored why they’re moving into the mainstream, the opportunities they present, and how investors can approach the space with a balanced view on both strategy and risk.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Digital Asset Funds Management, TV Appearances.
The world is volatile. Your financial future doesn’t have to be. Explore our private credit funds here.










By now, every investor has heard the bubble warning. Yet, when markets are soaring on optimistic expectations for future growth, high prices seem entirely reasonable. Indeed, and somewhat worryingly, in the midst of a boom, high prices validate the optimism.