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Climbing the ‘Wall of Worry’ – is the market rally built to last?
Roger Montgomery
July 24, 2025
This week I explored the growing warning signs lurking beneath the market’s strong performance. From ballooning U.S. fiscal deficits and overexposure to a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, to sky-high artificial intelligence (AI) valuations that echo the dot-com era – there are clear signals that caution is warranted.
While the current market resilience is impressive, now is the time to focus on quality stocks and diversifying your portfolio. Exploring alternative asset classes like private credit – which remains uncorrelated to public markets – could help investors navigate what comes next.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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Private Credit, calm amid market mayhem: real insights from a real investor
Roger Montgomery
July 23, 2025
In this video, we hear from Russell, an experienced professional who chose to invest in private credit for a specific, short-term goal. Unlike long-term investors, Russell needed access to his capital within a defined timeframe for a property purchase. His story highlights how private credit can offer a flexible, lower-volatility solution for investors with clear time horizons – especially when public markets may not be suitable. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Popular, TV Appearances.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – markets look past the noise
Roger Montgomery
July 22, 2025
I joined Paul Turton this morning to unpack why markets are climbing despite geopolitical tensions and economic headwinds. Wall Street is edging toward record highs, encouraged by shifting perceptions of Trump’s policy agenda, including tax exemptions for U.S. tech giants. Surprisingly, markets have remained resilient amid high tariffs, Middle Eastern conflicts, and military tensions in Europe. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Nabtrade – a backdrop of uncertainty isn’t causing disruption…so far
Roger Montgomery
July 22, 2025
In my latest article for Nabtrade, I explore why markets continue to climb despite ongoing global uncertainty.
Momentum in sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) and expectations of policy support are helping to overshadow global uncertainty. However, elevated valuations and Trump’s unpredictability suggest a degree of caution would still be wise for investors. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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The reboot: TechnologyOne’s UK redemption story
Sean Sequeira
July 21, 2025
TechnologyOne (ASX:TNE), has been a steady presence in the UK since 2006 but its recent transformation under a focused Software as a Service (SaaS) strategy has changed the firm’s earnings growth trajectory. After years of laying foundations in the education and local government sectors, the company is delivering robust growth and structural improvements that are now recognised by the market. With accelerating Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and a supportive digital transformation backdrop, TechnologyOne’s UK operations are poised for sustained momentum. Continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Treasury’s tough truths: tax reform, housing crisis, and global risks
David Buckland
July 18, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I unpack the leaked Treasury report warning the Albanese Government that Australia’s budget cannot be sustainably repaired without both raising taxes and cutting spending. The report also casts doubt on the government’s ambitious housing targets, with rising construction costs and surging demand making them increasingly unrealistic. Political support for a ‘Big Australia’ is compounding the strain on housing supply and intensifying the cost of living crisis. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.
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How is it the iron-ore price remains so resilient?
David Buckland
July 17, 2025
Metallurgical or coking coal, a major input in steelmaking, has seen its price decline from US$670/tonne to the current US$183/tonne over the past three years. A global oversupply of steel, low steel prices and uncertainty regarding global trade has led to muted demand. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Manufacturing, Market commentary.
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Taxing our way to irrelevance
Roger Montgomery
July 14, 2025
The title of this blog post was going to be ‘How to mismanage an economy’. I decided against it because the cynical answer could seriously abbreviate the blog post to just, Give it to Victoria’s Labor government.
In Victoria, State Member for Warrandyte, Nicole Werner, recently outlined and commented on the state government’s imposition of yet another new tax. A new land tax on those running any business activities from their homes. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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