TV Appearances

Last night, on ABC’s 7.30 news report with Michael Rowland, I discussed whether surging investment in artificial intelligence (AI) is pushing large technology companies to unsustainable valuations. I noted that investors often become highly enthusiastic when new technologies emerge that are believed to reshape the world, but history shows this can inflate expectations. In the case of AI, the scale of spending by tech hyperscalers is immense, and to justify it they would need extraordinary levels of revenue.

Watch the full segment here: ABC News – Are AI investors causing tech companies to be overvalued?

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market commentary, On the Internet, Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances.

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Today on Ausbiz with Juliette Saly, I explained that while low valuations in 2022 set the stage for strong returns, we’re now at the opposite end of the spectrum, with very high price-to-earning ratios (P/Es), elevated enthusiasm (especially around artificial intelligence) – and growing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which point to lower returns and greater volatility in 2026. We’re also seeing signs of speculative excess in the AI thematic, from soaring private valuations to rising constraints around energy and water that are likely to create speed bumps for the sector.  continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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Today on Ausbiz I joined Juliette Saly to discuss why artificial intelligence (AI) remains a powerful long-term thematic but is now exhibiting classic bubble warning signs. We need to question whether the exponential share-prices, circular vendor-financing deals, and the huge capital expenditure (CapEx) that we are seeing today, are sustainable.

While AI will undoubtedly transform the world, the economics underpinning today’s spending frenzy look increasingly stretched, with key leaders unable (or unwilling) to explain how trillion-dollar commitments will be funded. In times like these, disciplined rebalancing is a smart approach.

Watch the episode on Ausbiz here: What Nvidia could be telling us about an AI bubble continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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Today on Ausbiz I joined Sue Lannin to discuss the striking similarities between the 2011 iron ore boom and today’s artificial intelligence (AI) investment frenzy. Back then, surging optimism and over-investment in mining services ended abruptly when supply outstripped demand. I’m seeing echoes of that now in AI, with forecasts of trillions in annual spending that don’t appear sustainable or supported by realistic revenue. With companies like Meta and Microsoft already under pressure, I believe we’re nearing the end of this boom as investors start questioning whether the numbers truly add up.

Watch the episode on Ausbiz here: What does the AI Boom have to do with iron ore?

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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I joined Juliette Saly from Ausbiz yesterday to discuss the surge in gold buying and why it may be driven more by fear than logic. With queues forming outside bullion dealers, many investors are chasing gold as a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, or geopolitical risk – reasons that have existed for years. Yet, as prices hit record highs and physical gold carries steep costs and little utility, the rush looks more like Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) than sound investing. While gold can’t generate income and its vertical price rise seems unsustainable, those still bullish might consider exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over physical bars, which offer lower friction and better financial sense.
Catch the episode on Ausbiz here: Are we paying too much for gold?

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market Valuation, TV Appearances.

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Yesterday on Ausbiz with Juliette Saly, I discussed why record-high markets may carry more risks than opportunities. While the artificial intelligence (AI) boom has powered enthusiasm, I cautioned that valuations across the broader market are now at unprecedented levels, with all companies effectively being priced as winners – something history shows is unsustainable. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances.

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I joined Ausbiz to explore why private credit is attracting growing interest from investors. It can offer equity-like returns with far less volatility, while providing both diversification and  income. With stretched markets and retirees prioritising stability, private credit is fast emerging as a mainstream asset class in Australia. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.

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I joined Ausbiz with Clint Maddock, Founder and Director at Digital Asset Funds Management – our newest partner, an Australian investment manager specialising in digital asset markets – to discuss the growing role of digital assets like Bitcoin in investment portfolios. Once considered purely speculative, digital assets are now increasingly recognised as a legitimate component of diversification, sitting alongside equities, bonds, and property. We explored why they’re moving into the mainstream, the opportunities they present, and how investors can approach the space with a balanced view on both strategy and risk.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Digital Asset Funds Management, TV Appearances.

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I joined Juliette Saly from Ausbiz to discuss America’s growing debt crisis and the looming risk of stagflation – the mix of slowing growth and stubborn inflation. We explored why rising borrowing costs, political pressure on the Federal Reserve, and stretched equity valuations are fuelling concerns, and what this means for investors navigating fragile markets. We also looked at the drivers behind the recent gold price surge.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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I joined David Taylor on ABC The Business to discuss signs that the market might be entering bubble territory.  

Sharemarkets continue to climb, driven by fear of missing out (FOMO), expectations of interest rate cuts, and easing global tensions. But these same forces are also evidence that this boom could be shifting into the early stages of a bubble. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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