Media Room
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The Australian – AI optimists face a reality check as surging bond yields signal market trouble
Roger Montgomery
June 3, 2026
Bullish investors believe AI is a new, infinite fourth factor of a nation’s production and wealth creation. In the past, we had labour, capital and land as production inputs, all of which were, of course, finite. Land provided the raw materials, labour the muscle and the mind to transform them, and capital was the tool.
Enter AI. The transformative aspect of this fourth ingredient is that, unlike the physical limitations of land or the finite hours of the human workforce, data is a resource that is functionally unlimited. And, importantly, it’s the only factor of production that actually grows more abundant the more we use it.
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This article was first published in The Australian on 27 May 2026.by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Technology & Telecommunications.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – From oil shocks to space stocks
Roger Montgomery
June 2, 2026
I joined Niav Owens on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss what history tells us about oil-price spikes and share markets, and why falling oil prices are not always positive for equities. We also explored the growing excitement around SpaceX, including the bullish case for the company, concerns about its proposed IPO structure, and why investors should be cautious of getting caught up in market hype. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Radio.
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- POSTED IN Global markets, Market commentary, Radio
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MEDIA
ABC Statewide Drive – Oil, markets, and lessons from history
Roger Montgomery
May 29, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss what rising oil prices and the conflict in the Middle East could mean for markets. We looked at historical data showing that past oil-price peaks have often been followed by weaker share markets, and also explored the growing excitement around SpaceX, including the opportunities and risks for investors considering investing in the company.
Tune in from 1:46:33 here: ABC Statewide Drive continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources, Global markets, Market commentary, Radio.
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Ausbiz – Global equities may be closer to a peak than many investors expect
Roger Montgomery
May 28, 2026
I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz today to discuss why global equity markets may be closer to a peak than many investors expect. We explored the historical link between oil-price spikes and weaker share markets, why even strong artificial intelligence (AI) –driven earnings growth may not protect valuations in a higher-rate environment, and how the excitement surrounding SpaceX is pushing many listed “proxy” space stocks into hyper-exponential territory untethered from fundamentals.
You can watch via Ausbiz here: Global equities may be closer to a peak than many investors expectby Roger Montgomery Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – Bulls, Bears and the AI boom
Roger Montgomery
May 19, 2026
I joined Niav Owens on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the growing divide between market bulls and bears, and how artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the investment landscape. We explored why investors are becoming increasingly optimistic about AI’s long-term potential and the productivity gains it could unlock across the economy. We also discussed the risks rising inflation, higher bond yields and elevated interest rates could pose to markets and asset valuations if economic conditions deteriorate.
Listen to the segment here: ABC Newcastle Mornings continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market Valuation, Radio.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market Valuation, Radio
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Ausbiz – Budget risks and market warnings
Roger Montgomery
May 14, 2026
I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz today to discuss the 2026 Federal Budget and whether changes to Capital Gains Tax (CGT) and negative gearing could ultimately create unintended consequences for younger Australians. While the reforms are aimed at improving housing affordability, I explained why reduced incentives for investors and forecasts for fewer homes to be built could place further pressure on supply and long-term wealth creation. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.
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Over The Money Fence – Why everything still feels so uncertain right now – and what it means for your money
Roger Montgomery
May 14, 2026
This week I am back with Over The Money Fence with Nicola Dale and Di Edwards.
This series aims to help you take control of your finances with clarity and confidence.
In this episode, I reassure Nicola and Di that despite everything that’s going on globally, it’s not all doom and gloom when it comes to the economy and markets.
Are we in a recession? I discuss the cost-of-living crisis and how this is changing our spending habits, plus the latest pricing tricks used by supermarkets and airlines.
We also talk about property and why I believe that people who are predicting that property prices in Australia will fall by 40 per cent are wrong. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Investing Education, Market commentary, Podcast Channel.
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ABC The Business – Currency, Commodities and Investor Confidence
Roger Montgomery
May 11, 2026
I joined David Taylor on ABC’s The Business to discuss the recent strength in the Australian dollar and why markets are viewing the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as one of the more hawkish central banks globally. I explained that investors are increasingly betting on further Australian rate rises, which has helped push the Australian dollar higher relative to other currencies. We also discussed how rising oil prices, ongoing geopolitical tensions and the upcoming federal budget could all influence inflation and the future direction of interest rates. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle Mornings – How your data is driving prices higher
Roger Montgomery
May 5, 2026
I joined Paul Turton today on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the growing use of personalised or “surveillance” pricing, where companies use data like your browsing history, location or even behaviour in-store to charge different prices for the same product, often without consumers realising. I explained how this is already happening in areas like airline bookings and online shopping, and warned it could soon extend to essentials like groceries, with algorithms identifying what individuals are willing to pay and adjusting prices accordingly. While legal in many cases, I argued this practice erodes transparency, removes consumers’ ability to compare prices, and ultimately risks everyday Australians paying more, highlighting the need for stronger regulation to balance profit motives with fairness. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.
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ABC Statewide Drive – Budget talk
Roger Montgomery
May 1, 2026
I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to break down what’s actually on the table ahead of the federal budget. With a large deficit, ongoing inflation and rising government spending, I said this is an important budget and a time when rumours can spread quickly. I pushed back on claims of an inheritance tax and a cash ban, noting there’s little political appetite for either, while highlighting that changes to superannuation for higher balances are already in place. We also discussed how an EV road user charge could be introduced over time as fuel excise declines. On housing, I said policy tweaks like negative gearing changes are unlikely to have much impact, with credit availability and migration remaining the key drivers. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary, Radio.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary, Radio
There’s a battle playing out right now between Wall Street’s most bullish artificial intelligence (AI) optimists and the bond market traders quietly sounding the alarm. The outcome of that contest will matter enormously to investors with skin in the game.