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I joined Ausbiz to discuss the market’s strong reactions to earnings surprises this reporting season, the competitive advantages driving companies like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ahead of rivals, and Nick Scali’s growth through strategic acquisitions. I also shared my broader market outlook, highlighting the importance of disinflation, economic growth, and liquidity for a bull market, while questioning the sustainability of liquidity in future gains. Listen to the full interview here: Ausbiz – should we be less certain on a bullish 2025 for now? 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, TV Appearances.

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I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio yesterday to discuss the potential impact of rate cuts, the key drivers of the U.S. market’s strong performance, and what investors should focus on moving forward. We also touched on how markets are reacting to the deferral of tariffs, adding uncertainty to the outlook. Given these factors, I emphasised the importance of focusing on businesses with steady earnings growth rather than trying to predict macroeconomic trends, as long-term returns will ultimately reflect the strength of the underlying companies. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to discuss market trends, noting that while disinflation and economic growth provide support, tightening liquidity could impact small caps this year. I highlighted real estate as an opportunity, where temporary setbacks, like the REA Group (ASX:REA) CEO’s resignation, may offer buying chances. Looking ahead, U.S. and China tensions and debt refinancing remain key risks, with history suggesting a potential market decline despite the bullish backdrop. You can watch my full interview here: Ausbiz – 2025 wildcards beyond the White House continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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Last night, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to talk about the growing calls for a market correction and why I don’t see the signs of a bubble. We also discussed how disinflation, economic growth, and liquidity are lifting equity prices, and the challenges of investing in new technology, with DeepSeek’s rise showing how quickly disruptors can shake up the market. We also covered the broader market and economic news and answered some questions from listeners. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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Yesterday morning, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss U.S. President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs – 25 per cent on Mexico and Canada, 10 per cent on China, and their impact on inflation, interest rates, and global markets. We also covered the emergence of DeepSeek artificial intelligence (AI), Elon Musk’s support for Trump, and what I think it all means for the Australian economy.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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In my latest article for Firstlinks, I unpack a fundamental question: why do investors react differently to market fluctuations when they own a listed company versus a private business? If a private enterprise consistently grows its profits, owners dismiss lowball offers. Yet in public markets, investors often panic over short-term price movements, even when the business is thriving. This disconnect has important implications for portfolio construction, particularly for retirees navigating sequencing risk. I also explore whether private credit could offer a more stable income alternative. Read the full article here: Firstlinks – An alternative asset class for income-seeking retirees continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel, Technology & Telecommunications.

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Although recent Federal Reserve statements about slowing the pace of future rate cuts prompted a swift market pullback and led to higher bond yields, many analysts believe any downturn will be short-lived.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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In yesterday’s interview on Statewide Drive with Jess McGuire, I discussed how 2025 is shaping up for investment markets. As we approached the U.S. presidential inauguration, global markets performed strongly, with the S&P 500 up 3 per cent and tech stocks, predominantly led by the ‘Magnificent 7,’ also showing gains. Meanwhile, Chinese markets struggled, down around 3 per cent year-to-date, driven by deflationary pressures impacting consumer spending. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Radio.

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