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In my recent article for The Australian, I explore the growing competition for capital between the U.S. government and the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. As government borrowing and AI infrastructure spending accelerate, the resulting pressure on bond yields could reshape the investment environment, with important implications for equity valuations and long-duration growth stocks.

Download the article here: A new battle for cash has begun – and it could sink stocks

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Technology & Telecommunications.

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• POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Technology & Telecommunications

In my latest article for The Australian, I look at the growing pressure facing Australian homeowners as rising living costs, higher interest rates and mortgage repayments stretch household budgets. With mortgage stress at its highest level in 18 years, I explore the economic pressures behind the figures and what they could mean for households if conditions remain challenging.

Download the article here: Homeowners pay the high price of Labor’s fiscal mismanagement continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary, Property.

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In my article for Firstlinks, I explore whether the extraordinary investment boom in artificial intelligence (AI) could ultimately end in financial pain for investors, even if the technology itself transforms society. History shows that revolutionary technologies can deliver enormous benefits while destroying the capital of those who overpaid to build them. With Big Tech committing hundreds of billions of dollars to AI infrastructure, costs rising, competitive moats weakening and the price of intelligence rapidly falling, the pressure to generate adequate returns is mounting. As cash flows come under strain and the AI trade begins to unwind, investors are left with a critical question: can the hyperscalers generate enough profit to justify the scale of spending, or is the AI boom following a familiar historical path?

You can read the article here: Firstlinks – Will AI destroy investor capital? 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.

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I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to unpack the key lessons from the 2026 reporting season. We discussed why results were generally better than feared, the importance of revenue growth over cost cutting, the volatility across individual companies, and what the results could signal for the year ahead.

Tune in from 1:45:36 here: ABC Statewide Drive

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.

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On Ausbiz today, I discussed why the artificial intelligence (AI) boom may be reaching a crossroads. I looked at the enormous capital being deployed by hyperscalers, falling free cash flow and rising depreciation, and why growing competition and higher funding costs could make it increasingly difficult for these companies to generate sufficient returns on their AI investment.

Watch here: The AI spending spree investors should fear

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances.

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• POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances

Australia’s FY26 reporting season looked reasonably strong on the surface, with aggregate profits rising by around 11.6 per cent. But underneath the headline numbers, the recovery was much narrower – and investors were often more interested in what companies said about FY27 than the profits they had just reported.

I speak with Michael Thompson from Fear + Greed, about my 10 lessons from reporting season. We discuss why consumers are still spending but demanding value, expensive bank valuations, the limits of cost-cutting, opportunities in healthcare and why stock selection is becoming increasingly important. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Podcast Channel, Popular.

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In my article for The Australian, I look at why many Australians are feeling worse off despite the economy continuing to grow. Rising living costs, expensive housing and weak productivity are making it increasingly difficult for households to get ahead.

I also discuss how government decisions around housing, taxation and spending may be adding to these pressures, with younger Australians in particular facing higher rents, falling affordability and greater financial strain.

Download the article here: Labor’s economics making us all poorer continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary.

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I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss why traditional approaches to diversification may no longer offer investors the same protection they once did. We explored how persistent inflation has changed the relationship between shares and bonds, the growing concentration of global share markets in a handful of artificial intelligence (AI) linked companies, and why investors may need to diversify beyond traditional asset classes and markets by considering a broader range of investment strategies.

Listen to the full segment from 1:46:20 – ABC Statewide Drive continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio.

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I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss why traditional approaches to diversification may no longer provide the same protection for investors. We explored persistent inflation, growing concentration in equity markets, the risks emerging around AI and hyperscaler spending, and why investors may need to look beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio towards alternative strategies, including private credit.

Watch the full episode on Ausbiz here: Why Roger thinks 60/40 diversification is dead continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Economics, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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In my latest article for The Australian, I explore the growing risks facing global markets as cracks emerge across technology, fixed income and inflation. With artificial intelligence (AI) investment increasingly circular, government debt climbing and inflation remaining stubborn, investors may need to prepare for a more volatile and challenging market environment.

Download here: Global markets face reckoning as triple threat fractures appear continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation.

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