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I joined Money News with Clinton Maynard on 2GB to discuss Australia’s declining productivity and why it matters for inflation, interest rates and our standard of living. We explored how productivity measures efficiency rather than simply working harder, and how government policies, workplace regulations and tax settings can influence business growth and investment. I also questioned the Government’s decision to exclude tax and workplace relations from the Productivity Commission’s review, despite their significant role in improving productivity and easing cost-of-living pressures. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Radio.

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I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the latest developments surrounding NVIDIA and the potential risks facing the AI investment boom. We explored how smaller AI models running directly on phones and laptops could reduce demand for expensive data centres, what this could mean for major technology companies and investors, and the potential implications for Australians’ superannuation.

Tune in from 1:46:20 here: ABC Statewide Drive

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Radio.

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I joined Juliette Saly on ausbiz to discuss how smaller AI models running directly on personal devices could challenge the economics of major AI providers and the data centre boom. We also explored what this shift could mean for companies such as Nvidia and hardware manufacturers including Apple, Dell and Lenovo.

Watch here: Is the trillion-dollar AI trade building the wrong future? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances.

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In my latest article for The Australian, I examine how the Albanese Government’s policy decisions have contributed to Australia’s rising cost of living and ongoing economic pressures. From housing affordability and electricity prices to persistent inflation, government spending and workplace reforms, I argue that many of the challenges facing Australian households and businesses are the result of domestic policy choices rather than global economic forces.

Download the article here: Labor broke the economy continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary, Popular.

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I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) warning about the ‘five horsemen’ threatening Australia’s $4.8 trillion superannuation sector. We explored the risks posed by geopolitics, the AI investment boom, market concentration, operational vulnerabilities and liquidity pressures as more Australians enter retirement. I also explained why it is important for Australians to understand where their super is invested and whether it aligns with their risk tolerance.

Listen here: ABC Statewide Drive  continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Radio.

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As the blame game erupts within Republican ranks over the midterms rout, what was an extraordinary day in Washington saw a remarkable rally on Wall Street. The best day in 20-months for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, while tech stocks rose on the Nasdaq. But Elon musk’s Tesla and SpaceX took a hit. The billionaire spending hundreds of millions of dollars unsuccessfully backing Republicans in the midterms.

I believe the clean sweep by the Democrats raises questions about Starlink’s government grants and contracts, as well as those involving SpaceX and Tesla.

The oil price slump also appeared to boost global stock markets, but I remain unconvinced the optimism will last. While investors may expect a less antagonistic U.S. foreign policy towards the Middle East, Donald Trump remains a lame duck president with the power to issue executive orders that could continue to destabilise markets. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances.

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• POSTED IN Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances

In my latest article for The Australian, I explore why government bonds are becoming increasingly attractive after more than a decade of low yields and market volatility. I examine the forces driving U.S. Treasury yields, including economic growth, interest rate expectations and demand for safe assets, and explain why a slowing economy could create opportunities for bond investors through both income and potential capital gains, while presenting challenges for equity markets.

Download the article here: Bonds were down and out – now they could beat stocks continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.

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On Ausbiz, I discussed the mounting pressures facing Australian retailers, using David Jones’ financial difficulties as a reflection of broader challenges across the sector. We also explored the potential flow-on effects for Australian brands, employment and shopping centres, as rising costs and weaker consumer spending continue to weigh on retailers.

You can watch the episode here: David Jones’ woes and the domino effect. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary, TV Appearances.

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With interest rates, inflation and broader economic uncertainty continuing to influence Australia’s property market, what lies ahead for property prices and investors?

In this episode of The Propertybuyer Podcast I joined host Rich Harvey to discuss the outlook for Australia’s property market and the factors that could shape its future direction. The conversation explores the changing economic environment and what investors should consider when navigating market uncertainty, with a focus on the forces influencing property markets and long-term investment decisions.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel, Property.

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This week on ABC Statewide Drive, I discussed the recent sell-off in AI stocks and whether the AI bubble is beginning to burst. We explored how rising bond yields, growing debt burdens and uncertainty around profitability are putting pressure on the sector. While AI has the potential to transform industries, the current investment boom may face further challenges before more sustainable opportunities emerge.

Tune in here: ABC Statewide Drive 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary, Radio.

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