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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Private credit’s equity-like returns without the volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 18, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to explore why private credit is attracting growing interest from investors. It can offer equity-like returns with far less volatility, while providing both diversification and income. With stretched markets and retirees prioritising stability, private credit is fast emerging as a mainstream asset class in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
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The bull case for small caps
Roger Montgomery
September 26, 2025
If you were listening carefully during reporting season, you might have noticed a growing buzz around small-cap stocks, both here in Australia and in the United States.
More investors are now seeing small caps as a hidden gem. Small caps seem undervalued, overlooked, and are showing signs of a strong recovery.
If you don’t already have an allocation to small caps in your portfolio, now could be the right time to take a closer look. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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The artificial intelligence gold rush & bubbles past
Roger Montgomery
September 29, 2025
Last week, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published a piece commenting on the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure frenzy. As an investor, one can’t help but be awestruck while also feeling concern and a more than a hint of déjà vu.
According to the WSJ, Ellendale, North Dakota, is a sleepy town of just 1,100 now playing host to a half-built AI data centre that’s will be larger than 10 Home Depots – the U.S. equivalent of a large format Bunnings Warehouse here in Australia. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Negative Equity Risk Premium – what does it all mean?
Roger Montgomery
September 25, 2025
I recently read an interesting post on Substack about the state of the market. However, there was one paragraph whose significance might have been missed, even by those who subscribe to the author’s musings.
Here’s the paragraph in question, followed by what I hope will prove a useful explanation.
The paragraph was titled “No Equity Risk Premium.”
“Meanwhile the macro-middle scenario that has prevailed in 2025 has helped stocks push higher, and with still elevated bond yields that has squeezed the forward-looking “prospective equity risk premium” deeper into the negatives. That may not matter this week, this month, or even this quarter, but it does tell us the forward looking risk vs return set points to an entirely different regime than what we’ve become accustomed to.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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In gold we trust
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
With trust in central financial institutions being undermined, and with the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s unassailable reserve currency being called into question, it comes as no surprise that gold is the asset cementing its place in the spotlight.
As Figure 1., reveals the exponential ascent of gold’s price. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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MEDIA
ABC Newcastle mornings – Branch closures, job cuts and the future of Australian banking
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the banking sector, where ANZ is reportedly set to cut 10 per cent of its workforce, with similar moves from NAB, CBA and Westpac. These cuts reflect the impact of automation and artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs and wages, even as younger generations turn to online and AI-driven businesses. The challenge for banks is finding savings without hurting service or limiting future growth, especially as many customers still rely on branches.
Tune in from 35:15 to catch the conversation: ABC Newcastle Mornings.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Radio.
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Where will baby boomers put their $42 billion?
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2025
As we approach September 22, 2025, Westpac is set to redeem all $1.7 billion of its Westpac Capital Notes 5 (WCN 5, ASX code: WBCPH). It’s the beginning of an avalanche of cash to be returned to investors – mostly Boomers – that will need to find a home elsewhere. Why? Because the Hybrid market is being closed down, shuttered or phased out. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.
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Are the Magnificent Seven still magnificent?
Roger Montgomery
September 23, 2025
In 2025, so far, the seven most influential U.S. tech giants – The Magnificent Seven, or Mag 7 (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla and Nvidia) – have continued to assert their dominance and reinforce their role in determining the S&P 500’s trajectory. Despite what appears to be artificial intelligence (AI) hype, or perhaps because of it, the seven giants have collectively outpaced the broader S&P 500’s 12.47 per cent year-to-date (YTD) rise, delivering a gain of 15.9 per cent through Monday’s close. At the same time, however, their market-capitalisation share has dropped slightly from a peak of 32.2 per cent in mid-August to 31.3 per cent of the S&P 500’s total value. That indicates some stocks outside of the Mag 7 have been outperforming them. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like, Technology & Telecommunications.
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CEOs behaving badly
David Buckland
September 17, 2025
It is amazing when a Board of Directors goes “all in” with their Chief Executive Officer (CEO). And a short time later, despite reviews from “independent external advisers” that no allegations were substantiated, the directors do a collective about-face and terminate the employment of the CEO. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies.
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Sky high bond yields: a reckoning for equity investors?
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2025
A falling U.S. dollar, China and Russia stacking gold and angling to take Taiwan, surging U.S. debt and a President dismantling the independence of America’s central bank. It’s no wonder bond yields are high.
Fiscal recklessness is stirring in the bond markets, and long-dated government debt appears to be under siege once again. Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries were at 4.97 per cent at the start of September – now at 4.66 per cent – and near their highest level since 2007, Britain’s 30-year gilts spiked to a 27-year high of 5.75 per cent at the start of September, while Japan’s 20-year notes flirted with levels unseen since 1999. French and Australian sovereign bonds yields are soaring too. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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