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Is Big Australia a big mistake or a big lie?
Roger Montgomery
December 19, 2024
Why do we have a housing crisis? We’re told it’s because there isn’t enough housing, so the price to purchase or rent is too high for young people. There’s no denying the truth of those two answers. One might, however, choose to dig a little deeper: Why do we not have enough houses in Australia, and why are prices so high? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Farewell 2024, hello 2025
David Buckland
January 2, 2025
The Magnificent Seven (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla), which rose by an average 111 per cent over calendar 2023, continued the strong upward trajectory, increasing a further 63 per cent, on average, over calendar 2024.
Continue…by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Any fears for 2025?
Roger Montgomery
December 17, 2024
At the beginning of 2024, investors and commentators were almost unified in their belief that after a solid 2023, more modest returns were likely. An article in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) at the beginning of the year described the market thus: “An inexplicable and self-perpetuating melt-up that veteran analysts unanimously agree defies the fundamentals is powering the broader index to all-time highs.” Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Kmart and chemicals (not Bunnings) powers Wesfarmers result
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) delivered a solid set of half-year results for financial year 2025, exceeding market estimates at the earnings-before-tax (EBT) level and marginally at the top line. Strong performances by Kmart and WesCEF (chemicals, energy and fertilisers) drove the positive surprise, while Bunnings met expectations. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s stellar result
Roger Montgomery
February 14, 2025
The largest position in The Montgomery Fund’s portfolio, at almost eight per cent of the portfolio, is the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), purchased back when the price was below $78 per share. This week, the company released its December half-year profit results, revealing a business reinforcing and extending its competitive advantages in a fiercely competitive market. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Has China just burst an AI bubble?
Roger Montgomery
January 28, 2025
You gotta love it when a party ends and the lights come on. Blinking and adjusting to the bright lights, you begin to see clearly that which was previously blurry and obscured.
One of the most repeated mistakes equities investors make is the assumption that their poster-child industry leader will always remain so. Nobody ever seems to assume that competitors will emerge and take a significant share from the first mover. That failure leads to sky-high price-to-earning (P/E) ratios and unrealistic pricing. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
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A year of resilience and strategic evolution
Brett Craig
December 23, 2024
As the global economic landscape navigated another year of heightened uncertainty and subdued conditions, Aura Credit Holdings remained steadfast in its commitment to delivering value, adapting to change, and laying the groundwork for future growth. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Why Wall Street shares should continue their winning ways in 2025
Roger Montgomery
January 28, 2025
The American sharemarket continues to prove its resilience heading into 2025, despite periodic bouts of volatility that have stirred concerns among investors.
Although recent Federal Reserve statements about slowing the pace of future rate cuts prompted a swift market pullback and led to higher bond yields, many analysts believe any downturn will be short-lived.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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February 2025 reporting season calendar
Roger Montgomery
January 30, 2025
As February’s reporting season kicks off, investors are keenly focused on company profits as ASX-listed companies release their half-year financial results. During this time share price movements can be frequent, with some potential for noticeable fluctuations, particularly if results come in below expectations. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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ARB Corporation: from local manufacturer to global 4×4 powerhouse
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
From the first days of this blog, back in 2009/10, we have been writing about ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB), classifying it as one of the highest ‘A1’ quality companies listed on the ASX. Back in 2009, the share price was below $3.00 (and many thought it was on a high price to earnings (P/E) ratio then!). Today, ARB shares trade at nearly $40 dollars, and it’s paid out $7.62 in dividends since. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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