Insightful Insights
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What are they thinking?
Roger Montgomery
February 3, 2015
I didn’t think the Reserve Bank of Australia would cut just yet. David Buckland however did. You can find his call on the video. But it makes no difference to our investment strategy or long term results if we are right or wrong. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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“Dummies” Yielding Losses
Roger Montgomery
February 2, 2015
Chris Joye (who wrote this piece about Montgomery) and whom I regard extremely highly, has written a useful piece for the Australian Financial Review today, which he has also distributed via email. It’s a piece that yield hungry investors MUST read. Too much money can be lost by not heeding his words and we couldn’t have written it better ourselves. Chris’ email reads below:
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education.
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Stratton the Saviour?
Ben MacNevin
January 30, 2015
We consider Carsales.com (ASX:CAR) to be one of the highest quality businesses on the ASX and has been favoured by Montgomery Investment Management for a number of years. Yet in September 2014, we exited our position based on a number of concerns which we detailed here. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education.
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Eastern Europe – the epicenter of our next crisis?
David Buckland
January 29, 2015
It’s official. European consumer prices fell an annual 0.2 per cent in December 2014. German five-year bonds and Swiss ten-year bonds are now paying a “negative rate of interest.” European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi continues to “do whatever it takes” with last week’s announcement of the 1,100 billion euro (US$1,250 billion) bond purchase program over 2015 and 2016. Mario thinks this will steer the Euro area away from deflation by convincing investors his latest strategy is audacious enough to stimulate their relatively fragile economy. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Looking back but forward
Russell Muldoon
January 29, 2015
Here is a simple investing rule: share prices will follow a business’ profitability over the long term. In the words of Warren Buffett, “Put together a portfolio of companies whose aggregate earnings march upward over the years, and so also will the portfolio’s market value”. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights, Investing Education.
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The oil price slump and the declining rate of inflation
David Buckland
January 27, 2015
The slump in the oil price since mid-2014 has seen global inflation rates continue to trend down. European consumer prices fell an annual 0.2 per cent in December 2014 and European Central Bank president continues to “do whatever it takes” by unveiling a 1,100 billion Euro (US$1,250 billion) bond buying program over 2015-2016. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Energy / Resources, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Greased Lightning
Ben MacNevin
January 23, 2015
The sudden fall in the oil price in the December 2014 half-year was unexpected by the market, but the speed of contraction in oil-related investment should come as no surprise. As the German economist Rudi Dornbusch observed, “In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will and then happen faster than you thought they could”. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights.
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Is it time to look at mining services?
Tim Kelley
January 23, 2015
Among the biggest casualties of falling resources capex have been the various engineering, contracting and construction firms that provide services to the resources sector. Monadelphous (ASX: MND) is a case in point: With strong demand to fuel its growth, the Mondaelphous share price rose 50-fold in the decade leading up to 2012. Over the last few years however, a decline in earnings has seen the share price fall by around 70 per cent – a painful drop in any language. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights, Property.
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Did Christmas come at all?
Russell Muldoon
January 21, 2015
Following on from our anecdotal feedback we posted last week that Christmas trading came very, very late for retailers, the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI) has trumped even our most negative expectations.
ACCI produce a quarterly survey of a group of businesses and their investing confidence. The latest survey for the December 2014 quarter described the all-important Christmas retailing period as “the worst for 23 years”. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Consumer discretionary, Insightful Insights.
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MEDIA
what looks attractive this year
Tim Kelley
January 20, 2015
In these highlights from Your Money Your Call, Tim Kelley discusses expectations around quantitative easing out of the European Central Bank and attractive companies in the Australian market. Watch here.
by Tim Kelley Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, TV Appearances.
