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While Telstra’s share price is up about 80 per cent since the lows of Covid in 2020, the shares are trading at about where they were in 2003, and they are down 26 per cent from their 2015 highs and 45 per cent lower than their all-time highs in 1999.

Telstra has been a case study against investing for the long term, or maybe a case study in sticking to quality if you are going to invest for the long term. Time is the friend of the wonderful business, and the enemy of a business with poor economics. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.

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Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW), one half of Australia’s supermarket duopoly, just released its full-year results for the 2025 financial year. The numbers painted a picture of significant headwinds and a planned recovery. The results were largely in line with consensus expectations, but the company spelled out a softer-than-anticipated outlook, triggering a sharp sell-off in the stock.

At the time of writing, Woolworths shares have likely made a significant dent in super funds, having fallen to around $29 from more than $33 yesterday. Investors are particularly concerned about declining profits, margin pressures, and challenges in key segments, despite the company highlighting pockets of strength in digital operations and internationally. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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Commonwealth Bank’s (ASX:CBA) financial year 2025 (FY25) result might just have been a study in strategic restraint. Cash profit rose 4 per cent to $10.3 billion – right on consensus –underpinned by stronger wholesale banking in the second half and solid growth in both home and business lending. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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REA Group, the company behind realestate.com.au, has, perhaps unsurprisingly for those who have followed our commentary here at the blog, delivered another impressive financial performance, this time for the 2025 fiscal year (FY25). Record dividends and robust growth have been recorded despite the ongoing market challenges with respect to residential property listings. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Property.

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You might not like the man or his personality, but I wonder whether a new brand of capitalism and a new brand of government are emerging that prioritise the greater good. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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In this week’s video insight, the focus is on Rolls Royce’s groundbreaking technology that could transform the green energy landscape. They have partnered with Skoda JS to manufacture components for a new 470-megawatt-electric pressurised water reactor, which is compact and capable of powering a million homes for sixty years – with zero emissions. As the world shifts towards more reliable energy sources, Rolls Royce’s advancements in nuclear technology promise a smarter, emission-free future. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX:JBH), stamped its leadership on Australia and New Zealand’s retail landscape again, delivering impressive financial year 2025 (FY25) results, and demonstrating exceptional resilience across its portfolio of brands – JB Hi-Fi, The Good Guys, and the recently acquired E&S. With its laser-like focus on technology, consumer electronics, and home appliances, JB Hi-Fi continues to win customers, and market share, particularly among younger, tech-savvy shoppers. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.

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TechnologyOne (ASX:TNE), has been a steady presence in the UK since 2006 but its recent transformation under a focused Software as a Service (SaaS) strategy has changed the firm’s earnings growth trajectory. After years of laying foundations in the education and local government sectors, the company is delivering robust growth and structural improvements that are now recognised by the market. With accelerating Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and a supportive digital transformation backdrop, TechnologyOne’s UK operations are poised for sustained momentum. Continue…

by Sean Sequeira Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Technology & Telecommunications.

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When it comes to the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, few events command as much attention as Nvidia’s quarterly earnings calls. With so much riding on the boom enduring, including Nvidia’s $US4.15 trillion market cap, analysts and traders understandably dissect every nuance – from the precise wording of forward guidance to the subtle inflections in CEO Jensen Huang’s voice. They’re looking for clues about whether excitement or caution lies ahead or is presently justified. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like.

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Kenneth Rogoff, the American economist, chess Grandmaster, professor of international economics at Harvard University, former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist and co-author of This Time is Different: Eight centuries of Financial Folly, has spent his career chronicling the anatomy of financial collapses. In his latest article for Foreign Affairs (Sep/Oct 2025), Rogoff issues a stark warning: the U.S. is flirting with a once-in-a-century debt crisis – and its current political and economic trajectory makes a crisis not just possible, but probable. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Global markets, Market commentary.

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