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If you were listening carefully during reporting season, you might have noticed a growing buzz around small-cap stocks, both here in Australia and in the United States.

More investors are now seeing small caps as a hidden gem. Small caps seem undervalued, overlooked, and are showing signs of a strong recovery. 

If you don’t already have an allocation to small caps in your portfolio, now could be the right time to take a closer look. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Investing Education, Market commentary.

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I recently read an interesting post on Substack about the state of the market. However, there was one paragraph whose significance might have been missed, even by those who subscribe to the author’s musings.  

Here’s the paragraph in question, followed by what I hope will prove a useful explanation.

The paragraph was titled “No Equity Risk Premium.”

“Meanwhile the macro-middle scenario that has prevailed in 2025 has helped stocks push higher, and with still elevated bond yields that has squeezed the forward-looking “prospective equity risk premium” deeper into the negatives. That may not matter this week, this month, or even this quarter, but it does tell us the forward looking risk vs return set points to an entirely different regime than what we’ve become accustomed to.” Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Investing Education.

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I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss how scandals at Super Retail Group, Qantas, and Star Entertainment reveal a troubling pattern: CEOs behaving badly and boards failing to act. From cover-ups to ignored red flags, weak oversight has led to billions in fines, lost trust, and damaged valuations. I stressed that it’s often the cover-up that sinks a CEO – and that boards must demand transparency, independence, and stronger governance to protect investors.

Listen to the full interview from 1:46:00 here: Statewide Drive – when boards fail, investors will pay the price

by David Buckland Posted in Radio.

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There’s a lot going on in cryptocurrency markets and while many still dismiss them as a fad, recent announcements and enacted legislation in the U.S., demands investors begin to pay attention to the emerging asset class, if they haven’t already. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Australia’s reporting season is now underway, shifting investor attention from Trump’s tariffs and cheating on the golf course to company earnings, as well as their 2026 outlook statements.  

The goal? Pinpointing sectors and businesses with the potential for genuine earnings growth. Even if Trump’s actions cause vibrations in the market, it will be the companies that can grow that will ultimately deliver the most attractive returns.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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Financial markets are riding a wave of bullish enthusiasm, with stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other speculative assets soaring to new heights. Fueled by optimism around cooling inflation, robust corporate earnings, and the transformative potential of artificial intelligence (AI), the rally has pushed valuations to levels some are saying is reminiscent of the 1999/2000 dot-com era. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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With Jim Chalmers’, Treasurer of Australia, three-day roundtable kicking off yesterday, I thought it would be interesting to hear what different parts of the community were seeking. Of course, while collaboration is expected, consensus will be impossible, partly because of the diverse attendees, which includes representatives from the unions, government, business and civil society.

The other issue is that solutions require an understanding of the problem’s root cause.  And when we are talking about labour productivity, most cannot even agree on first principles. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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As August 2025 has now wrapped up, Australia’s reporting season has again delivered a snapshot of the economy’s trajectory. For years, we’ve heard the refrain of a “resilient” domestic market weathering global headwinds, interest rate hikes, and inflationary pressures. But this time around, the narrative has evolved. Companies across the ASX are signalling that resilience is giving way to tentative recovery, particularly in consumer spending and the housing sectors. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.

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Anecdotal evidence. Dismissed as mostly irrelevant, anecdotal evidence becomes useful often only in hindsight. Until then, it’s a novelty, statistically unsound, unreliable, lacking objectivity and unverifiable.

But boy, it’s fun to inquire.

That was then

In the 1920s, the stock market was ‘roaring’, enjoying widespread optimism and even euphoria amid new innovations. On October 15, 1929, after the market had experienced a nine-year rise, the first celebrity Yale economist, Irving Fisher, gave a speech in New York City. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.

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With apologies to William Shakespeare, signs of a bit of froth and frenzy have begun to be acknowledged in markets this last week. As we have previously noted, liquidity is the fuel for such episodes, and as long as liquidity remains abundant, we should expect more, rather than less, evidence of irrationality. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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