Market commentary
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How to invest into an unknowable future
Roger Montgomery
April 17, 2020
Danish physicist, Niels Bohr, is reputed to have quipped that “It is very hard to predict, especially the future.” And never has this been more so than right now. Amid a confluence of events for which there are no precedents, it is impossible to make perfectly informed investment decisions. However, even with this extreme level of uncertainty, I believe there are principles investors can use to help guide their decisions. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Beware when the market and the economy are out of sync
Roger Montgomery
April 16, 2020
Following its one-month 36 per cent decline from peak (20 February 2020) to its low (23 March 2020), the ASX200 has bounced 20 per cent. That’s a return most investors would be happy with over a year. The question is whether such optimism is warranted. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Looking through market volatility for opportunities
Gary Rollo
April 8, 2020
As we look ahead the key questions for markets is how long will global economies remain closed for business, and what will demand look like on the other side of the valley? continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary, Montgomery News and Updates.
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What is the recent market strength telling us?
Tim Kelley
April 7, 2020
If the recent market rally has taken you by surprise, you’re not alone. Since hitting a low around 23 March, the S&P/ASX200 Index has rebounded almost 20 per cent, despite a steady flow of grim health and economic news coming out of Europe and the US. So does that mean the market has bottomed? continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Are we there yet?
Roger Montgomery
April 7, 2020
That’s the question on many investors’ minds these days. And it’s certainly one that our team is starting to ponder as the prices of many high quality businesses become more reasonable. However, before we start investing significant amounts of our clients’ capital, there are four things we want to see. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Where to next?
Roger Montgomery
April 3, 2020
To describe recent market volatility as high is to understate the facts. Since the peak on February 19, the US market has registered the most rapid sell-off ever, its biggest three-day gain since the 1930s, the biggest one-day percentage gain since 1933 and the second ever largest one-day fall. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Is it time to get back in?
Roger Montgomery
April 2, 2020
With so many companies now trading at cut-price valuations, many of our readers are asking whether it’s time to start buying again. Over the past six weeks many companies are down. And some of them are very high quality indeed. A new reality exists, and one with the same opportunities as 1987. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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COVID-19 Testing data – An update on the US
Gary Rollo
April 2, 2020
With the data and markets changing so quickly, we thought it best to simply give you the data and our interpretation in all its raw glory. We checked the US data this morning and the NY data is tracking worse than bad. continue…
by Gary Rollo Posted in Market commentary.
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How will COVID-19 impact society in the long run?
Andreas Lundberg
April 2, 2020
As the Coronavirus crisis unfolds, social commentators are making predictions for how the world will change once the pandemic ends. I’m sure you’re also making your own predictions – and we’d really like to hear them. What broad, long-lasting trends do you think we’re about to see? continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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Your questions: Fund Positioning
Dean Curnow
April 1, 2020
In a month characterised by pandemics and corrections, it has been fair to say the Montgomery team has been busy on all fronts. Our ongoing commitment to keeping our investors as informed saw us host webinars on both the domestic and global front. At each presentations, our investors were welcomed to ask questions directly of the Montgomery team. I have shared a number of the common questions here. continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Market commentary.
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