Market commentary
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The Global Private Equity Rage
David Buckland
November 25, 2018
On 10 October, Navitas (ASX: NVT) announced it had received an unsolicited, preliminary, conditional and non-binding proposal from BGH Capital, Australian Super and Mr Rodney Jones to acquire 100 per cent of the shares in Navitas at $5.50 per share. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Bitcoin takes a plunge
Joseph Kim
November 23, 2018
Following 3 months of relative stability, the price of Bitcoin started diving last week and crashed through the perceived $6000 per “coin” floor, and then below the psychological support level of $5000 before eventually bottoming out in the short term at $4300. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Market commentary.
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Stocks to watch if the market over-corrects
Roger Montgomery
November 22, 2018
As Australian property prices correct, it will also drag down the value of a number of allied businesses, such as whitegoods retailers. If the market over-corrects – as it so often does – some good buying opportunities should emerge. Let’s have a look at a few businesses for your watchlist. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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It’s time to say adios to the Global Everything Boom
Roger Montgomery
November 21, 2018
Over the last 10 years, quantitative easing (QE) by many of the world’s central banks has driven down interest rates and steered large numbers of ‘investors’ to speculate on the appreciation of anything, creating what’s been called the Global Everything Boom. But now the boom is waning, and highly indebted speculators better watch out. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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A “pullback” or a “serious bear market”?
David Buckland
November 8, 2018
Over the past five decades the share-market, as measured by the US S&P 500 Index, has recorded 24 “pullbacks” exceeding ten percentage points. On six of these occasions, or one in four of the “pullbacks”, we have witnessed a “serious bear market”, or a decline exceeding 25 per cent, as illustrated in the table below. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Volatile world markets are telling us to stay cautious
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2018
For the last year or so, we’ve been warning readers that the extended run-up in world markets was getting closer to the end. While October’s price falls saw some of the froth blown off the top, we think this may be just the beginning of a long grind lower. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Navigating Choppy Markets
Tim Kelley
October 29, 2018
October has been unkind to equity investments. As I write, the ASX200 is down more than 8 per cent month to date, and most global indices show similar numbers. At a time like this, concepts that previously seemed theoretical become much more tangible, and investor focus naturally shifts from return to risk. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Unemployed or underemployed?
Andreas Lundberg
October 25, 2018
Australian Bureau of Statistics released their September labour force statistics on Thursday last week. As you might have seen in the newspaper, the headline number was positive showing a sharp drop in the unemployment rate which fell by 0.3% points from August to 5.0 per cent which is the lowest since before the mining industry downturn in 2012. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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Is our market lulled into a false sense of security?
Roger Montgomery
October 22, 2018
One look at the best performers on the ASX tells you the market is sanguine about risk. How else to explain the soaring valuations of companies like Afterpay, Appen and Altium? I fear this is the calm before the storm, and today’s high returns and low volatility might soon make way for lower returns and higher volatility. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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When will the gap between the most expensive and cheapest companies contract?
Roger Montgomery
October 19, 2018
If the last few months has reinforced anything, it is that the market can remain irrational for a very long time. Despite already being expensive, the disparity between the cheapest and most expensive has widened even further in recent months. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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