Market commentary
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What New Zealand’s rate tightening cycle tells us
David Buckland
October 11, 2022
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand was the first English-speaking Central Bank out of the blocks in their tightening cycle. Commencing in October 2021, the RBNZ has increased its official cash rate on eight separate occasions to 3.50 per cent. Here are my observations on the impacts. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Three scenarios that could kickstart a new bull market
Roger Montgomery
October 10, 2022
As you’ve no doubt noticed, the world’s market commentators, brokers and analysts have turned decidedly bearish. And they have good reason to be pessimistic. But this bear market will eventually end, to be followed by the next bull market. To my mind, there are three distinct economic scenarios that could kickstart the next upswing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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The tightening interest rate cycle is now biting
David Buckland
October 6, 2022
With the exception of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which commenced its monetary policy tightening cycle in October 2021, well ahead of their English-speaking counterparts – the other major English-speaking Central Banks have tried to play “catch-up football” in recent months to counter the multi-decade growth in inflationary expectations. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Focus on inflation if you want to profit from market volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 28, 2022
Global markets are clearly spooked by the U.S. Federal Reserve pushing up interest rates in order to rein in inflation. But fear not. Because inflation is always followed by disinflation. And research shows that shares do very well in a disinflationary environment. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Why the risk-reward ratio is looking good for quality small caps
Roger Montgomery
September 23, 2022
Since January, world markets have been selling off. As a result, a number of quality small cap businesses are now trading at very attractive multiples. Is now a good time to invest in quality small caps? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
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What three billionaire investors think the future holds
Roger Montgomery
September 21, 2022
In a recent podcast, famed U.S. investor Howard Marks noted that “there are no facts about the future, just opinions.” But that truism hasn’t stopped three of his fellow billionaires – Bill Ackman, Stanley Druckenmiller and Ray Dalio – airing their views on the prospects for the global economy and investment returns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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How to profit from today’s market volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 20, 2022
When markets head south, it’s a time for investors to rejoice and not despair. Because falling markets give you the chance to invest in quality businesses – often at knock-down prices. So, my advice right now is to make the market correction your ally, remembering that the lower the price you pay, the higher your long-term return is likely to be. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to investors 09 September 2022
Brett Craig
September 12, 2022
The RBA has raised rates for the fifth month in a row bringing the cash rate to 2.35% with the expectation of reining in inflation by the end of the year. Largely in line with market expectations, the RBA raised the cash rate by 50 basis points. This is the highest cash rate since early 2015. continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to Investors 02 September 2022
Brett Craig
September 5, 2022
The retail trade and APRA July 2022 data released this week provided more data to support RBA hikes in the coming months. This week the ABS released data for retail trade turnover and volume. This dataset includes references to retail businesses including stores and online sales. continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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Why the Fed’s war on inflation could lead to bargains for investors
Roger Montgomery
August 30, 2022
On Friday at Jackson Hole in the U.S., Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, spoke for eight minutes and 38 seconds reinforcing the idea that restrictive monetary policy is likely to be maintained for some time – all in the name of fighting inflation. World markets quickly went into reverse. The good news is that savvy investors may now get another chance to buy quality businesses at attractive prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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