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Adairs sheets home the blame for its poor HY23 result
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2023
If you needed more convincing that Australia’s retailers are doing it tough, take a look at the HY23 result from manchester and homewares retailer Adairs (ASX:ADH). ‘Weak’, ‘disappointing’, ‘a miss’. That’s how various commentators described the result. But with the share price already in the doldrums, and the company paying an attractive dividend, the market seemed none too concerned. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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The silver lining in higher rates
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2023
Financial media is replete with stories observing the fastest increase in interest rates in recent memory, the end of the declining interest rate era, how the fastest rise in short-term rates is inverting the yield curve (2-year bond yields higher than 10-year bonds) and predicting a recession, rising rates are causing the property market to collapse, and how causal inflation is responsible for it all and the financial destruction of many peoples’ lives. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group.
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Why I don’t think this is a dead cat bounce
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2023
With equity markets steaming ahead, there’s no shortage of people calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’ and, by implication, predicting another market correction. History, however, suggests that 2022 was simply an isolated poor year for markets, and that we have now returned to ‘normal programming’. If I’m right, then 2023 could be a good year for investors. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Ausbiz: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
With an inflation rate of 6.4 per cent, the U.S. economy is still experiencing inflation, making Gold, Real Estate, Commodities and high fixed cost, cyclical producers investments worthy of consideration. But that inflation rate is coming down. It’s not uncommon for markets to fall amid fear an ‘event’ might occur and then rally when the event does occur. In my conversation with ausbiz we cover how the U.S. economy is growing, which means we are on the right-hand, ‘boom’, side of the matrix.
Watch: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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What is next for small caps?
Polen Capital
February 17, 2023
The past year posed considerable challenges for equity investors, including runaway inflation, a rising interest rate environment, geopolitical tensions, and the lingering effects of the pandemic. The confluence of these headwinds – and a lack of positive catalysts – roiled market sentiment, resulting in most equity analysts adjusting their expectations for corporate earnings growth substantially lower. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Editor's Pick, Polen Capital.
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Distracted by sentiment? You’ve missed 16 per cent!
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
Over the last six months, we have provided a growing list of arguments favouring investment in equities. We have shown the compression of P/E ratios of 2022 rendered high-quality companies cheap, and we’ve revealed arithmetic demonstrating investors will receive a return commensurate with the earnings growth rate of the company they buy even if stocks don’t become popular again. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Is Europe heading for a recession?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
Our financial media focuses on Australia, the U.S. and China, and pays scant attention to Europe. But from the little we hear, Europe is doing it tough. Economic growth is anaemic, and then there’s the small matter of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the impact on energy prices. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Is Breville good value after its recent results?
Roger Montgomery
February 16, 2023
Breville (ASX:BRG) the kitchen appliance company this week reported another record for half-yearly sales, albeit slightly below consensus. First half 2023 revenue grew 1.1 per cent to A$888.0 million, which was also 0.7 per cent higher, on a constant currency basis, than the first half of FY22. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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