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Ausbiz – New CEOs but same old mistakes…
Roger Montgomery
October 8, 2024
In last week’s interview with Ausbiz, we discussed the recent accusations against Coles (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) for misleading shoppers about discounts. We explored how the new leadership at both companies, with female CEO’s, might bring a more nuanced and sensitive approach to crisis management. While Coles has taken a defensive stance, Woolworths’ more measured response could ultimately benefit their long-term brand value. Drawing from past examples like Qantas (ASX:QAN) and Exxon, I highlighted the importance of transparency and suggested that the supermarket that embraces change could gain a competitive edge in the market.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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OpenAI arrives at the crossroads of progress and safety
Roger Montgomery
October 4, 2024
OpenAI has recently made waves with its launch of cutting-edge speech technology, and underscoring the company’s shift in focus. While this marks an impressive leap in artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, it also raises critical concerns that the race to release new products may be sidelining safety measures. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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MEDIA
Market volatility and the unbottling of ‘turning points’
Roger Montgomery
October 2, 2024
It was, for example, wise to be alert to the possibility of a large move lower if volatility emerged after a long rally. And while it has been my experience that volatility does indeed cluster around major turning points, it’s possible I only remember what I want to. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary.
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ABC News – What Coles and Woolies can do to rescue their reputations after fake discount claims
Roger Montgomery
October 1, 2024
Last week, I appeared on ABC News to discuss what Coles (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) can do to rebuild their reputations after accusations of fake discount claims, which caused a drop in both share prices. Coles is set to defend itself to the Australian Compeititon & Consumer Commission (ACCC), but both companies must act quickly to regain public trust. One of them has the chance to rally community support by being the first to address the issues openly and make meaningful changes to their pricing strategies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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Myth-busting private credit
Roger Montgomery
October 1, 2024
In this week’s video insight, Brett Craig, Director at Aura Credit Holdings, our partner in private credit, and I discuss some common myths surrounding private credit. Together, we explore the evolving landscape of lending to small and medium-sized corporates in Australia, shedding light on the risks, returns, and opportunities. Brett provides valuable insights into the Aura Private Credit Income Fund, and we take a closer look at the strategies used to mitigate risks in this growing market. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.
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A portrait of Australia
Roger Montgomery
September 30, 2024
A portrait of Australia’s biggest issues in eight charts. Why eight? – it’s a lucky number of course!
I have put together a concise snapshot of the complex economic challenges shaping Australia today.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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Fed rate cuts and market returns
Roger Montgomery
September 27, 2024
In my professional opinion, there’s limited value that can be garnered from historical patterns, especially when those patterns examine the correlation between a single input and its result. Economies and markets are complex adaptive systems, and a myriad of inputs produce the market returns we subsequently experience. Just because something happened five, ten or fifteen times in the past, it is dangerous to conclude it will occur again next time. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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When I worked in derivatives trading in the early ’90s, one of the accepted truths about market behaviour was that “volatility picks up around turning points”.