Bond markets signal caution – time to pay attention READ HERE to learn more.
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ABC Statewide drive – why is private credit gaining traction?
Roger Montgomery
March 21, 2025
Yesterday I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss why private credit is gaining traction as a popular investment option.
Following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) banks faced increased regulation, making particular loan types less profitable for them. As a result, banks stopped offering these types of loans, creating a gap in the market. The private credit sector has stepped in to fill this void. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Ausbiz – Why understanding the nuances of private credit matter
Roger Montgomery
March 21, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to discuss the growing appeal of the private credit sector and why it is emerging as a popular investment option for retail investors. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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Trump’s tariff gambit – reshaping global trade or stirring economic chaos?
Roger Montgomery
March 21, 2025
U.S. President Donald Trump has embarked on what some say is a belligerent and dangerous mission to upend and reshape the international economic and competitive landscape through a series of aggressive tariff policy changes. His approach which is characterised by sudden shifts and strategic reversals, aims to bolster American manufacturing and fill government coffers. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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ABC Newcastle Mornings – market volatility
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2025
I recently joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to discuss the recent market volatility. The S&P 500 headed into the 10 per cent correction zone last week and is currently in recovery. We also discussed challenges around domestic manufacturing and its potential effect on the Australian economy and national security. Tune in at 34:20-45:15 to hear the segment: ABC Newcastle: Mornings with Paul Turton
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Ausbiz Private Access – Independent ratings make risk vs reward crystal clear
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2025
I joined Ausbiz Private Access to explore the rise of private credit in Australia, driven by a $350 billion funding gap for small to medium enterprises (SMEs). I highlight opportunities for non-bank lenders, growing demand from retirees for stable income, and the importance of risk management within private credit funds. Watch the full interview here: Ausbiz: Private Access: Independent ratings make risk vs reward crystal clear
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
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Red light, green light – equity markets stalling or pedal to the metal?
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2025
Back in February in our blog article Disinflation’s Bumpy Road we wrote: “With valuations now appreciably higher than at the beginning of 2023 and 2024, and now arguably stretched in parts of the market – particularly in high-growth tech – investors had been counting on rate cuts to justify further gains. But if the Fed remains on hold, or worse, if markets begin to price in a “higher for longer” scenario, equity risk premiums might have to adjust.”
The ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) appear to be rolling in neutral gear, with an observable slowing in earnings growth. To be clear, earnings are still growing but the rate of growth is slowing down. So what does this all mean? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Fat tails indicate that the S&P 500 is unexpectedly strong
Roger Montgomery
March 19, 2025
It hasn’t been widely reported (which could, of course, mean I am about to repeat the common mistake of reading too much into a central banker’s utterances), but earlier in March, Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, dropped a subtle remark that may shed light on the central bank’s mindset. As the Federal Reserve heads into its meeting this week, Powell’s words may also carry weight for the unpredictable economic road ahead. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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The three key influences of market performance
Roger Montgomery
March 19, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I explore the three key influences of market performance – inflation, economic growth, and liquidity – and how they can adversely or positively affect the market. In January and February this year we have already seen; the launch of a Chinese LLM (Large Language Model) which created waves in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) space, Trump’s imposition of tariffs (across China, Canada, Mexio and Europe), rising inflation, and increased geopolitical tension. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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