Property
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What captured your interest in Q2 2014?
Roger Montgomery
January 7, 2015
Over the next few days, we will take a look back at 2014 and highlight the most popular articles based on your views and comments.
The mention of house prices falling and negative gearing was a popular post.
In May, we talked Coca-Cola Amatil share price having declined by 40 per cent, and the duopoly that makes up Australia’s grocery retail landscape has putting the company on a strict diet of shrinking volumes, values and loss of market share to Schweppes and more particularly, the category known as “Private Label” soft drinks.
The forecast Australian population growth from 23 million to 40 million by 2060 bodes well for self-storage providers – and small-cap National Storage is no exception. We take a closer look at how the third-largest self-storage provider is positioned. Note, you will need to log in as a subscriber to see this paper.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Property, Value.able.
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Bubble Watch #18 Tallest Buildings warns of impending stock market crash?
Roger Montgomery
December 7, 2014
There are all sorts of coincidences that can be mistaken for signs that a crash is imminent. We don’t put much store in those, however it is never uninteresting reading about them. One that is gaining a little traction is something known as the Edifice Complex.
In conventional terms, the Edifice Complex is the desire to build lasting edifices or buildings as a legacy to one’s greatness. In today’s context, the Edifice Complex represents the historically coincident construction/completion of these buildings with stock market crashes. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property, Value.able.
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Property; be careful! Equities; get ready!
Roger Montgomery
November 17, 2014
It doesn’t seem that long ago, but the Global Financial Crisis-inspired rout in the stock market began in late 2007 and even though it bottomed in March of 2009, the symptoms that triggered the collapse, are even worse today.
But before you go jumping at shadows keep in mind that while interest rates remain low, the status quo is very likely to be maintained. Indeed low or lower rates could trigger an equity bubble before any correction is experienced. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Property, Value.able.
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Chinese property prices: it ain’t Sydney or Melbourne
Roger Montgomery
October 31, 2014
Hot on the heels of data showing GDP in China is growing at its slowest rates since the GFC, the Chinese property industry displayed signs of continuing deceleration. Housing sales have declined 10.8 per cent by value from a year earlier in the first nine months of 2014, and average city home prices declined 1.3 per cent in September – the first fall in nearly two years. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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ACCC Takes Aim at Coles Supermarkets
Roger Montgomery
October 17, 2014
The ACCC yesterday issued a press release on its proceedings against Coles Supermarkets for their alleged contravention of the Australian Consumer Law. We’ve highlighted what we believe to be of interest below. You can read the full ACCC statement here. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property, Value.able.
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Can Rupert Murdoch sell homes in the US?
Scott Shuttleworth
October 2, 2014
REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) announced that they are partnering with News Corp (Nasdaq: NWS), a majority owner of REA, to acquire US-based company Move Inc (Naqdaq: MOVE) for a total of US$950 million. As per the chart below, Move Inc has an interesting history, and has most recently benefitted from the recovery in the US housing market. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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REA Group’s strategic stake in iProperty
David Buckland
August 14, 2014
Following our recent post on REA Group, I thought it worthwhile to observe the patience in which some companies invest their expansion capital. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Property.
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Real estate chess: Buckle up!
Roger Montgomery
July 29, 2014
This is intriguing on so many levels. Game theory is being played out live over at REA Group’s realestate.com.au, and we are glued to our screens. Can a business with possession of several competitive advantages, including monopoly power, network effect and the most valuable competitive advantage – the ability to raise prices without a detrimental impact on unit sales volumes – lose its competitive advantage? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Property, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Winter Is Coming
Scott Shuttleworth
July 28, 2014
Ray White Group has thrown its weight behind a group of estate agents called Real Estate Digital Marketing Services (REDMS), to negotiate online ad rates, reported the SMH on Thursday. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Companies, Property.
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China watch….it’s only just begun
Roger Montgomery
June 10, 2014
China’s property slump appears to be deepening. It might not be on the front pages of our papers nor leading the business radio and TV reports but efforts in recent weeks to kick-start housing sales are failing. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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