Market commentary
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Why you shouldn’t worry about ‘what comes next’
Roger Montgomery
February 28, 2023
Lately, I’ve seen a number of media reports pondering if world economies – and equity markets – are headed for a soft, hard or no landing. To me, this kind of talk is a bit of a distraction. Because, as a long-term investor, the objective is still the same: to buy quality companies at good prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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I was late to the party, but “I’ve got to contain inflation”
David Buckland
February 22, 2023
“I’ve got to contain inflation. I’ve got to convince the community that we’re serious about that. That’s our job and its unpopular and I accept that”. Philip Lowe, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Why I don’t think this is a dead cat bounce
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2023
With equity markets steaming ahead, there’s no shortage of people calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’ and, by implication, predicting another market correction. History, however, suggests that 2022 was simply an isolated poor year for markets, and that we have now returned to ‘normal programming’. If I’m right, then 2023 could be a good year for investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Is Europe heading for a recession?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
Our financial media focuses on Australia, the U.S. and China, and pays scant attention to Europe. But from the little we hear, Europe is doing it tough. Economic growth is anaemic, and then there’s the small matter of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the impact on energy prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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RBA raises interest rates again, to a 10-year high
David Buckland
February 7, 2023
All English-speaking Central Banks seem committed to higher official cash rates. This interest rate tightening cycle began in New Zealand on 6 October 2021, and six months later Australia was the last to blink, on 6 April 2022. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
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Why I’m cautiously optimistic about 2023
Roger Montgomery
February 6, 2023
A number of commentators are calling the current rebound in global markets a ‘dead cat bounce’. Veteran fund manager, and famous ‘perma-bear’, Jeremy Grantham, has even warned that stocks could plunge a ‘stomach-churning 50 per cent’ from here. But I’m not so sure. I think there are plenty of reasons to be cautiously optimistic about the year ahead. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Australian small companies outlook for 2023
Michael Gollagher
February 1, 2023
Having not long finished the festive season and commenced a new year, many of us take the moments shortly after to reflect on the year that was, and also consider what we would like to see in the year ahead. continue…
by Michael Gollagher Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What can we expect from markets in 2023?
Scott Phillips
January 20, 2023
The calendar year of 2022 proved to be a tough one for most investors. In fact, it is only the third time in the last 100 years that both equities and bonds have recorded a down year together (those years being 1931, 1969 and now 2022). Bonds, which usually provide a cushioning effect for portfolios in times of equity market weakness proved ineffective as inflation soared, pushing bond yields higher and bond prices lower. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Hello 2023
David Buckland
January 3, 2023
Many commentators point to the twelve months to December 2022 as being one of the toughest annual periods for the performance of the share market and the bond market for several decades. This was led by the severe sell-off in Government Bonds, aggressive tightening of most Central Banks’ official cash rate and the 33.1 per cent decline in the US-tech heavy Nasdaq Index. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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Think like a bargain hunter
David Buckland
December 22, 2022
In his latest memo, Oaktree’s Howard Marks wrote “In my 53 years in the investment world, I’ve seen a number of economic cycles, pendulum swings, manias and panics, bubbles and crashes, but I remember only two sea changes. I think we may be in the midst of a third one today.” continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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