Insightful Insights
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Will 2015 be the year Australia enters a recession?
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2015
This week the question, whether 2015 will be the year Australian enters a recession, was asked by one of our subscribers, here is what I had to say in response: continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights, Market commentary.
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Not always a leisurely path
Ben MacNevin
February 20, 2015
A company that generates stable cash flows is highly appealing, as it allows management to redistribute capital with a considerable amount of visibility. Yet investors should always value new growth opportunities on a stand-alone basis, and not allow the stability of the core business to influence the perceived risk of new endeavours. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights.
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China Watch #2
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2015
Recently Australian Financial Review Journalist Angus Grigg reported an interesting admission by a director at China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE). It’s a big deal for a SAFE official to be making such statements publicly.
Here’s the highlights: continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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IMF: Discussion with Management
Ben MacNevin
February 18, 2015
IMF Bentham (ASX: IMF) released pleasing first-half 2015 results, though there were some particular points which required clarification, as highlighted in our previous post. We have since met with management where these key points, amongst others, were discussed. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights.
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Will the Greeks wreck your retirement?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2015
On Monday night, the US markets were closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday but Greece was not sleeping comfortably.
To understand whether there are risks to your wealth from Greece’s posturing (and remember the US markets return to work tonight) it pays to understand where we are currently and how we arrived at this juncture. If you would like to know more read on. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Financial Services, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights, Market commentary.
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It’s Coco-nuts!
Roger Montgomery
February 16, 2015
Chasing yield, wherever it can be found, is a pastime for many baby boomers whose income returns from traditional securities and bank deposits are being decimated. The fad global and Basel III banking capital requirements are potentially legitimising some securities, that under normal interest rate settings, might not have seen the light of day. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Financial Services, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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IMF: A Step-Change
Ben MacNevin
February 13, 2015
Regular followers of the blog should be well aware of our favourable view of Bentham IMF (ASX: IMF) – see here. We are pleased with the company’s recent 2015 half-year results. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Intrinsic Value, Montgomery News and Updates.
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PWC’s: The World in 2050
David Buckland
February 12, 2015
PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC) has recently released a report analysing how the world economy could look in 2050. As countries with large populations; including Saudia Arabia, Vietnam, Nigeria, Bangladesh and Iran, continue the urbanisation process Australia was predicted to slip from 19th in the world currently, down to 28th position by 2050. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Do Property Prices Ever Fall?
Roger Montgomery
February 11, 2015
It was December 14, 2011. The Australian Resource Boom was in full swing and the Pilbara was ground zero. In Port Hedland the median house price had almost doubled in four years from $600,000 in 2007 to more than $1 million, according to Real Estate Institute of WA figures. In Wedge Street, you needed plenty of ‘wedge’ – $995,000 to be exact – to buy a brand new ‘off the plan’ two-bedroom unit in a multilevel apartment complex.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights, Property.
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How low can you go? Deflation and negative bond rates
Roger Montgomery
February 10, 2015
With everyone getting very hot under the collar or excited (depending on whether you are a borrower or a lender) about the prospect of Australia’s cash rate falling below two per cent, we thought it might be interesting to point to something even more interesting that transpired last week in Europe. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
