Global markets
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The growth v value conundrum
David Buckland
September 28, 2020
Since the market bottom of the Global Financial Crisis in March 2009, the Russell 1000 Growth Index (R1G) has outperformed the Russell 1000 Value Index (R1V) by over 300 per cent cumulatively. Many investors seem fearful that this current era of growth style dominance will end with the same thud as its predecessor, when the Nasdaq Composite stock market index, after appreciating by 400 per cent from 1995, proceeded to decline by 78 per cent from its peak in March 2000 to October 2002. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Lockdown, reopen, lockdown, reopen, repeat
Roger Montgomery
September 24, 2020
Globally, investors have hitherto been blissfully optimistic about the end of hard lockdowns, the development of a potential vaccine and broad economic re-openings. But all that may be about to change. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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What if we get a vaccine but people refuse to be jabbed?
Roger Montgomery
August 19, 2020
Global share markets are being held aloft partly by the hope of a coronavirus vaccine coming sometime soon. But new research shows many people – including around 50 per cent of Americans – could refuse to get a jab. If that happens, then is it possible that what we are now living through will be the new normal? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Farewell fiscal 2020, hello fiscal 2021
David Buckland
July 1, 2020
Twelve months back, who could have predicted the world would be in the state it’s currently in? And yet, despite the pandemic-induced turmoil, some world markets are not that far from where they were a year ago. Here’s a quick look at the year that was. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Could US lockdowns slam the breaks on this market rally?
Stuart Jackson
June 29, 2020
The COVID-19 data coming out of the US is grim and getting grimmer. My concern is that many investors have been pricing in an increasingly positive economic recovery, which may not eventuate if governments in the US need to re-introduce lockdowns. And that spells danger for share prices in the US – and other markets as well. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why I’m not a fan of the Fed buying corporate bonds
Roger Montgomery
June 23, 2020
In March, the U.S. Federal Reserve moved to prevent a coronavirus-induced downturn by promising to set up an entity to buy corporate bonds and ETFs, including junk bonds and junk bond ETFs. My concern is that the Fed has simply created another time bomb that future generations will have to defuse. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Is the economy on the ropes, or getting back on its feet?
Roger Montgomery
June 13, 2020
Recent economic surveys paint a grim picture of business conditions, job ads and home lending. The question is: can the economy bounce back from the pummeling it took at the hands of the COVID-19 lockdown? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Why this market bounce has got me so perplexed
Roger Montgomery
June 11, 2020
The 11-year bull market in global equities, which COVID-19 finally brought to an end, came to be derided as the most unloved bull market in history. So, what to make of the strong, and similarly disparaged, bounce since March? Many investors look to be pricing in better times ahead, but media headlines are telling a different story. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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US reporting season & earnings
Dean Curnow
May 13, 2020
With the U.S reporting season almost done and dusted, I thought I would share with our wider audience some interesting charts I have collected throughout the period. Whilst the commentary has started to turn to loosening the lockdown provisions and a return to normal, it is now key to track how companies earnings have and will continue to be impacted and how quickly management and the market can expect a recovery. continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Global markets.
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Are you taking a longer-term view?
David Buckland
May 7, 2020
Currently, the US S&P 500 stands at 2,870 points, down 15 per cent from its February 2020 peak. (Meanwhile, the Australian All Ordinaries Index at 5,450 points is 25 per cent below its peak). On most fundamentals, markets have justified high valuations on the back of historically low interest rates. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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