Global markets
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Rain Man and the Australian All Ordinaries Index (Part 2)
David Buckland
March 24, 2020
There have been seven bear markets since the early 1970s. That’s an average of one every seven years. Five of the bear markets, being 1974-75, the early 1980s, the early 1990s, the early 2000s, and the GFC from late 2007 until early 2009, all took approximately eighteen months to play out and all lost approximately 50 per cent from peak to trough. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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What nobody’s talking about…yet
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2020
Our analysis of the COVID-19 data indicates that as testing increases so do confirmed cases. This may seem obvious once articulated but the reality is that in February the United States – a country of 340 million people – was conducting a total of 92 tests per day! continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Health Care.
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How value investors could benefit from this market correction
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2020
It’s been a tough few years for value investors, with value stocks now trading at the largest discount to growth stocks since the 1999 tech bubble. But I think the discount will close as the market correction separates quality businesses from expensive, high beta, high hope stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Why we need to focus on earnings expectations
David Buckland
March 11, 2020
Ever since Paul Volcker, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, tamed the inflation genie in the early 1980s we have seen the US ten-year bond yield decline from 15.84 per cent to the current record low of 0.54 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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Australia’s worst equity performance day since the GFC – some observations
Scott Phillips
March 10, 2020
Yesterday saw the ASX 200 Index sell off a whopping 7.3 per cent in what was the most brutal fall in our Australian equity market since 10 October, 2008, which was in the height of the GFC. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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How investors could benefit from the coronavirus
Roger Montgomery
March 4, 2020
Looking purely from an investing perspective, the global sell-off caused by the coronavirus pandemic could be manna from heaven for cashed-up value investors. I think we’re about to see some wonderful buying opportunities. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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What’s really infecting markets?
Roger Montgomery
March 2, 2020
Can you see how coronavirus can be contained? Let’s think practically about this, especially in light of the revelation that the incubation period may be longer than two weeks and is infectious before symptoms present. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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How the Coronavirus is infecting China’s activity
Roger Montgomery
February 27, 2020
Humans often take their cues from the news and their assessment of risk often coincides with the subject’s prominence in the media. However, to be a successful investor you need to see through the noise. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Chinese supply chain impacts from tariffs and coronavirus
Andreas Lundberg
February 26, 2020
A lot has been written in media on the current impact of the coronavirus on both the Chinese citizens and the Chinese economy. Although most of what I read is concerned with the short-term and not on the potential longer-term implications. To that extent, I wanted to relay a small snippet of information that came out of a company meeting I recently attended. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Global markets.
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Two reasons this bull market is set to continue
Roger Montgomery
February 7, 2020
Since early 2009, soaring global markets have made shares an extremely rewarding place to invest. With profits likely to keep recovering, and interest rates and inflation likely to stay low, I see no reason why this bull market will not continue. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Market commentary.