Editor’s Pick
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Reporting season highlights opportunities for value investors
Roger Montgomery
March 15, 2019
While the recent reporting season painted a mixed picture about the outlook for Australia, it also left me optimistic. Any bouts of volatility this year will provide investment managers like us with the opportunity to find value among quality businesses. Let me explain. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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Will we see a further decline in the Australian property market?
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2019
While APRA has not yet released the data for the December 2018 quarter for housing loan approvals, we can see September 2018 showed a 56 per cent decline of interest only loans approved. With investors less active and less foreign buyers, and new buyers at 17-years lows, it seems the real decline in residential building activity is yet to materialise as we look at the correlation between building approvals and building starts.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Australia heads for a car sales crash
Roger Montgomery
March 5, 2019
Is Australia’s debt-fuelled party about to end? It looks like it. National new car sales have fallen off a cliff. This new era of belt tightening poses a threat to the national economy. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Manufacturing.
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Does criticism of Buffett signal a market top?
Roger Montgomery
February 28, 2019
For 10 years now, the S&P 500 has been on a run, soaring from under 800 points to around 2800 points. But is this as good as it gets for now? Warren Buffett seems to think so. And criticism of his recent investment decisions could signal that the market is due a breather. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Australia – A Coming Financial Crisis?
Roger Montgomery
February 26, 2019
Alex Saunders from Nugget’s News published a video documentary delving into the systemic changes that have taken place in recent years in Australia’s economy, which might now put us at risk of an economic slowdown. This video interviews Roger on the economy.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Talks.
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Welcome to the Great Australian Deleveraging
Roger Montgomery
February 22, 2019
Record levels of debt accompanied by declining asset prices means we have entered a deleveraging phase putting other spending on the backburner. In this article for Cuffelinks Roger identifies the reason behind this. Read here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, On the Internet.
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YOUR MONEY WITH TICKY FULLERTON FEATURING ROGER MONTGOMERY: 15 February 2019
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2019
Roger joined Ticky Fullerton to discuss the RBA’s recently revised growth forecasts from 3.25 per cent to 2.75 per cent and the impact on consumers. The recent declines in property have some people with negative equity which is resulting in less spending.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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House prices in Box Hill down 41%
Roger Montgomery
February 15, 2019
As you would well know, we have been bearish property for more than two years, warning those who feared missing out, to be extra cautious about borrowing to buy at the peak. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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MEDIA
Your Money: What JB Hi-fi says about Australia’s economy
Roger Montgomery
February 15, 2019
Roger joined James Daggar-Nickson on Your Money to discuss their impressions on the current reporting season. JB Hi-Fi is seen as a bellwether for retail, consumer confidence and the overall Australian economic wellbeing so what conclusions can we draw from their result? Watch here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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An investment thesis on Sydney Airport
Joseph Kim
February 6, 2019
In this week’s video insight Joseph introduces Sydney Airport and outlines the investment thesis as well as the key drivers for the earnings outlook. The company has an impressive track record with an enviable monopoly status leveraged to a positive structural thematic. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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