Editor’s Pick
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Why the onward march of AI and the tech titans demands change
Roger Montgomery
July 16, 2024
Remember the television show The Jetsons?
I am showing my age by declaring I looked forward to watching the Hanna-Barbera produced cartoon, The Jetsons. Perhaps I couldn’t articulate it at the time but there was something promising and hopeful about seeing George Jetson arrive home in a flying car, then sitting down to a family meal served by robot maid, Rosie. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Technology & Telecommunications.
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How Treasury Wine Estates is turning tariffs into triumph
Alan Kwan
July 15, 2024
The Australian Eagle Asset Management investment team has had a long history with Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE). The most recent holding was for several years prior to the pandemic with positive performance supported by growing profit and margins generated by the success of Penfolds in China. This time around, we see another opportunity for medium-term change thesis that may drive a material re-rating of the share price. continue…
by Alan Kwan Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – The consumer discretionary stocks defying the gloom
Sean Sequeira
July 11, 2024
In this morning’s interview on Ausbiz, I discussed key market trends in anticipation of the upcoming U.S. and Australian reporting seasons. I highlighted the importance of the impending reporting season to support the current market momentum, emphasising the need to closely observe outlook statements and key sectors, such as consumer discretionary companies like JB Hi-Fi (ASX: JBH) and Premier Investments (ASX: PMV). I also addressed the pressures on Australian banks, including Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA), noting their significant contributions to market performance but also their current high valuations and need for earnings growth. Lastly, I touched on the resource sector, particularly lithium stocks, and the importance of upcoming production reports in shaping future market directions. continue…
by Sean Sequeira Posted in Editor's Pick, TV Appearances.
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Rex Minerals shareholders to take the money and run
David Buckland
July 11, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the often overlooked “cost of growth” by analysts, using Rex Minerals (ASX:RXM), a minerals exploration and development company, as an example. Despite significant resource potential, Rex Minerals has faced substantial capital requirements and market volatility, highlighting the financial challenges of bringing projects to production. This week, MACH Metals Australia made a takeover bid, valuing Rex Minerals at $393 million, a significant increase from earlier valuations, underscoring the complex relationship between growth costs and company valuation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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The Aussie economy and society is bifurcating with the housing crisis
David Buckland
July 4, 2024
Australian governments at all levels are not known for thinking beyond the electoral cycle. Take the fact that Australia took on 540,000 immigrants last year, whilst births exceeded deaths by 110,000. Hence an additional 650,000 Australians, or 2.5 per cent of our population, at a time when our country is going through an unprecedented housing crisis. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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FAREWELL FISCAL 2024, HELLO FISCAL 2025
David Buckland
July 2, 2024
The Magnificent Seven (Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Meta (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which rose by an average 111 per cent over calendar 2023, continued their strong upward trajectory, increasing a further 37 per cent, on average, over the six months to June 2024. This helped drag up the Nasdaq, which jumped 18.1 per cent and 28.5 per cent for the 6 and 12 months to June 2024, respectively. The S&P 500 also did very well, up 22.7 per cent for the year and up 14.5 per cent for the six months to June 2024. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Foreign Currency.
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Webinar – Investing mastermind Series
Roger Montgomery
June 27, 2024
I had the pleasure of joining Chris Batchelor to present a webinar hosted by Stockopedia as part of their Investing Mastermind series. We delved into unlocking the secrets of stock selection and identifying high-quality stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like, Talks.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – Global market insights
David Buckland
June 25, 2024
In this week’s interview with Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio, we discussed several key financial trends and their global impacts. We covered the significant growth of the S&P 500 over the last four years, driven largely by technology stocks and the artificial intelligence revolution. We also delved into the current economic climate in Australia, examining the rising inflation and consumer price index (CPI), and how these factors are influencing discretionary spending and mortgage interest rates. Additionally, we explored the dynamics of the Chinese economy, focusing on the implications of Australia’s coal and iron ore exports to China. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Radio.
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Send a burrito to the GYG naysayers
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2024
We recently wrote about the then-upcoming Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) float. That post and its associated social media mentions engendered some polarized views. Curiously, perhaps the bullish camp was filled with those who eat and enjoy Guzman y Gomez’s products. Those who thought the burritos missed the mark assumed the initial public offering (IPO) would do likewise. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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20%-Off at Merivale yet to influence RBA economists
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2024
I think it’s fair to say anyone with a mortgage or business loan would like to see some relief at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) bowser. While rate cuts benefit those with loans, with real estate, and mortgages, rate cuts could push real estate prices up, further hindering those who are already validly complaining about affordability. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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